Growth Management & Draft Land Budget

1. June 24th, 2013 Growth Management & Draft Land Budget Planning Services Department

2. Growing planning challenges Provincial Growth Plan policies aim to: curb urban sprawl, revitalize downtowns, create complete communities, protect natural resources and agriculture and increase housing and transportation choices. Through compact oriented development Overview

3. Land Budget Analysis - Policy Basis

4. Population Forecasts Hierarchy, 2031 Durham Region Share: 960,000 people GROWTH PLAN DURHAM REGION OFFICIAL PLAN Clarington Share: 140,340 people CLARINGTON OFFICIAL PLAN forecasts Courtice 36,600 Bowmanville 64,200 Newcastle 19,300 Orono/Rural: 20,300

5. Durham Region Official Plan ForecastsClarington

6. Designated Greenfield Area Built-Up Area Built-Up Area Built Boundary Urban Boundary Designated Greenfield and Built-Up Areas Greenfield Development 13, 462 units 68% Greenfield density 50 people/jobs per ha A minimum of 40 % of residential building permits within the Built-Up Area Intensification within Built-up Area 6,181 Units 32% • Built-Up Area • Designated Greenfield Area • Built Boundary • Urban Boundary • Built-Up Area • Vis • Built-Up Area • Designated Greenfield Area • Built Boundary • Urban Boundary • Built-Up Area • Visualization of Built Boundary • ualization of Built Boundary

7. Forecasted Units to 2031 Intensification Greenfield

8. Number of years current committed and proposed (9,247) units will last 6 years 5 years 15 years 11 years 19 years 13 years 3 years 3years 13 years 10 years

9. There are no easy ways to Land Budget "This is that critical point in the planning process where the planning staff hashes out the issues so that they are all on the same page."

10. Current Supply of Gross Developable Land (ha), as of January 2013 Total remaining units: 10,337 Total land available: 665 ha 274 ha 194 ha Hectares (ha) 78 ha 67 ha 47 ha 5 ha

11. Land Supply vs. Demand to 2031 Built-Up Area Hectares (ha)

12. Land Supply vs. Demand to 2031 Greenfield Area Hectares (ha)

13. CourticeURBAN STRUCTUREGrowth Forecasts 2031

14. BowmanvilleURBAN STRUCTUREGrowth Forecasts 2031

15. NewcastleURBAN STRUCTUREGrowth Forecasts 2031

16. Development of Greenfield Areas that are greater than approximately 20 hectares shall only proceed in accordance with an approved Secondary Plan. Clarington will also have to develop more detailed phasing policies to guide the Secondary Planning process including: the consideration of the amount of available land infrastructure and public facilities costs fiscal capacity of the municipality Managing Growth: Secondary Plan Policies and Phasing

17. Accommodating intensification will be a challenge for Clarington Municipality will need to more than double its Intensification rate to meet the Region’s targets community acceptance and support for compact development Large portion of the committed Greenfield (draft approved and proposed) development does not have sufficient services Overall.... Clarington has sufficient land to accommodate the Regional Official Plan population forecasts and intensification targets for the Community. Adoption of sustainable land development principles and building practices is vital to reducing the potential environmental pressures of growth. There will be a need for strong urban design polices to ensure community character is protected and enhanced. Challenges

18. June 24th, 2013 Growth Management & Draft Land Budget Planning Services Department