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The pace of change is accelerating. Adoption of innovative new consumer technologies. 80%. 1937. 1939. 1950. 1962. 1964. 1980. 1968. 1995. 2003. Penetration rate of US households, %. Radio. Color TV. Micro- wave. VCR. Cellular phone. 60%. Internet. Electricity. Facebook. 40%.
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The pace of change is accelerating Adoption of innovative new consumer technologies 80% 1937 1939 1950 1962 1964 1980 1968 1995 2003 Penetration rate of US households, % Radio Color TV Micro-wave VCR Cellular phone 60% Internet Electricity Facebook 40% 2010 2013 Tablet Wired telephone 20% Automobile Refrigerator Dishwasher 1890 1900 1923 1950 1960 1972 1984 1990 2006 2010 2020 SOURCE: US Census Bureau, The New York Times (Nicholas Felton), Marketer.com in Enjeux-Les Echos, Sep. 2014
Tech transformation is nascent in Mining, with significant value at stake • Inflection point Technological revolution by industry • Advanced incumbents and estab-lished “startups” constitute the new normal • Entertainment • Tourism • Telco • Financial services • Retail • Today • High tech • Health • Automotive • Laggard incumbents fail • Utilities • Infrastructure and security • Mining • Time • Oil and gas SOURCE: Global Executive Study and Digital Business Research Project
Most companies are unprepared for innovation and disruption Percentage of global executives (%) • Although most executives agree that innovation is critical for their business … • … few are satisfied and involvedin making it happen 84% 6% • Satisfied with innovation performance • Innovation is important to growth strategy 23% • Leadership involved in setting budgets/targets 80% • Business models are at risk SOURCE: McKinsey Global Innovation Survey, McKinsey Innovation Practice
The Eight Essentials determine mastery of innovation Aspire Do you accept innovation-led growth as absolutely critical, and do you have cascaded targets that reflect this? Choose • Strategy Do you invest in a coherent, time-risk balanced portfolio of initiatives that are resourced to win? • Discover Do you have actionable and differentiated business, market and technology insights that translate into winning value propositions? • Evolve • Ideas Do you create new business models that provide defensible, robust and scalable profit sources? • Accelerate Do you beat the competition with fast and effective development and launch of innovations? • Scale Do you launch innovations in the relevant markets and segments at the right magnitude? • Scale-up • Extend Do you win by creating and capitalizing on external networks? • Mobilize • Mobilized org Are your people motivated, rewarded and organized to repeatedly innovate?
Companies that master more Essentials generate superior returns Index of Economic Profit Generated by Mastery of Essentials Mastering 5 or more Essentials is needed to realize exponential value creation from innovation Innovation practices are synergistic—an integrated operating model with strong performance management is needed Source: McKinsey Innovation survey 2016 McKinsey & Company • 5
Differences between innovation leaders & laggards • Top-quartile performing companies • Bottom-quartile performing companies Aspire 6x Choose • Strategy 10x • Discover • Evolve • Ideas • Accelerate • Scale • Scale-up • Extend • Mobilize • Mobilized org SOURCE: Innovation Diagnostic Benchmarking Survey 2016
A bold but plausible Destination Aspire: Set a bold but plausible Destination for innovation to deliver “ I believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, of landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the earth. • – President John F. Kennedy,Address to Congress on Urgent National Needs, May 25, 1961
Quantify the Aspiration to create accountability and measure progress CLIENT EXAMPLE • 2025 Target • The “green box” is what innovation needs to deliver, and can be broken down into the business as targets • If the green box is not greater than zero, your organization will (quite rationally) not innovate • Innovation Theme Protect the Core(BUs 1 & 2) $0.8B • $1.5B $6.4B Diversification and Adjacencies $0.3B • $2.0B Building Partnerships $0.2B • $2.0B $2.0B • $0.5B New business models $0.2B Where you are now(2018E) Market growth (i.e., fair share) Operating & Commercial Improvements Inorganicgrowth (M&A) Innovation Where you want to be (2025) Total Green Box $1.5B “Pick well” “Do better” “Buy stuff”
Aspirations take many forms—but they must be specific and measurable • Exemplary Aspirations from a variety of contexts: • A few Aspirations we’ve set with our clients: • Reach another 300M children and prevent 6M more unnecessary deaths by 2020 – by accelerating vaccine uptake, improving efficiency of delivery, ensuring program sustainability, and shaping the market • Drive $500M of incremental revenue by 2022 through reframing our core markets, building tomorrow’s business models, and growing emerging markets • Med Tech • Grow membership by 50% and reduce healthcare costs by 35% by innovating our customer and provider experience • Payor • Attract 300M new members through digital platforms and ecosystems • Auto-motive Services • Create $700M of growth over the next ten years: $400M from new businesses to complement the core, and $300M from reinventing the core, e.g. adopting new processes and reducing costs to help fund new initiatives. • Lead the transformation from a “mobile-first” to an “AI-first” world, putting AI and deep learning at the heart of our services • Generate $150M of incremental EBITDA by shaping our core markets, moving closer to our end-customers, and leading in production processes • Mining • Double clean-tech revenue and investment in 10 years, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 1% in 7 years SOURCE: McKinsey Innovation Practice
Choose: Construct a portfolio that can deliver the aspiration Different archetypes of projects across the portfolio … … require different development pathways Potential ImpactUpper bound EBIT, USD millions De-risking • Competes with (part of) our core business • High level of ambiguity on delivery path 60 Disrupt 50 De-riskingand accelerating • Unknown path to solution • Uses technologies & capabilities new to company • Significant cross-BU & change management required 40 30 Breakout growth 20 Accelerating • Generally known solution • Limited capability and infrastructure set up to deliver • Previous use cases exist • Limited Cross-BU implications Core 10 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Uncertainty score Indicated range of value divided by high EBIT