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Simple WINS and LOSSES for HITTERS Tom Hanrahan. Batters’ records are very complex: Batting AVG, on-base average, slugging PCT, HR, hits, stolen bases, runs, RBI, walks…. ______________________________________ Pitchers’ records are comparatively simple:
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Simple WINS and LOSSES for HITTERS Tom Hanrahan
Batters’ records are very complex: Batting AVG, on-base average, slugging PCT, HR, hits, stolen bases, runs, RBI, walks…. ______________________________________ Pitchers’ records are comparatively simple: Wins Losses ERA
ERA: maybe the Best Simple Metric for pitcher effectiveness, but it is not used much for career records: 1.82 1.89 1.90 2.02 2.03 Ed Walsh Addie Joss Jim Devlin Jack Pfiester Smokey Joe Wood
Pitchers’ career records are commonly expressed by their Wins and Losses Most WinsMost W minus L Cy Young 511-316 Cy Young 511-316 195 W Johnson 417-279 Mathewson373-188 185 Mathewson 373-188 Clemens 354-184 170 Alexander 373-208 Alexander 373-208 165 P Galvin 365-310L Grove 300-141 159 W Spahn 363-245 K Nichols 361-208 153
If only hitters had Wins and Losses…. Batter “win” = ______ ? Batter “loss” = ______ ? Games are won by Scoring Runs! Games are lost by Making Outs! Therefore: Batter Wins == R + RBI Batter Losses == outs (at bats minus hits)
How to turn R + RBI into WINSand OUTS into LOSSES ?W always = L ; so pick X and Y such that (R+RBI) /Xshould = OUTS / YI used: eeeeeeeeee (R+RBI) / 12 = WINS OUTS / 34 = LOSSES
Batters’ career records expressed By “Wins” and “Losses” Most WinsMost W minus L H Aaron 373-253 B Ruth 366-163 203 B Ruth 366-163 Gehrig 324-155 169 B Bonds 352-203 Williams 303-149 154 T Cobb 349-213 B Bonds 352-203 149 C Anson 339-202 J Foxx 306-161 145 W Mays 330-223 C Anson 339-202 137 S Musial 325-216T Cobb 349-213136
The Fun Part – matching similar BATS with ARMS W Spahn 363-245 118 G Maddux 355-227 128 R Clemens 354-184 170 Kid Nichols 361-208 153 R Johnson 303-166 137 Mathewson 373-188 185 Nolan Ryan 324-292 32 Hank Aaron 373-253 120 Barry Bonds 352-203 149 Cap Anson 339-202 137 Jimmie Foxx 306-161 145 Lou Gehrig 324-155 169 Pete Rose 290-288 2
More fun matching similar BATS with ARMS Lefty Grove 300-141 159 Cy Young 511-316 195 W Johnson 417-279 138 P Alexander373-208 165 T Seaver 311-205 106 P Martinez 219-100 119 B Blyleven 287-250 37 T Williams 303-149 154 Babe Ruth 366-163 203 plus pitching 460-209 251 Ty Cobb 349-213 136 Stan the Man325-216 109 T Speaker 284-197 97 J DiMaggio 244-136 108 Ron Santo 206-173 33