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Air Quality Update Wind River Mountains. Shoshone and Bridger-Teton National Forests May, 2008. Objectives. GYACAP and assessment Wind River Range network Monitoring network data analysis NADP high elevation lakes bulk deposition visibility Ozone challenges and modeling results
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Air Quality Update Wind River Mountains Shoshone and Bridger-Teton National Forests May, 2008
Objectives • GYACAP and assessment • Wind River Range network • Monitoring network data analysis • NADP • high elevation lakes • bulk deposition • visibility • Ozone challenges and modeling results • Status of coordination efforts • Workload • Discussion and questions
GYACAP and Assessment • GYACAP and purpose • Technical advisory group to GYCC • Forum for communication • Coordination of monitoring • Assessment and purpose • Identify and address issues • Foster partnerships and secure funding
Assessment Summary • Membership • Park Service, Forest Service, BLM, Fish and Wildlife Service, State DEQs (ID, MT, WY) • Issues • Urban and industrial emissions • Oil and gas development in SW Wyoming • Prescribed fire and wildfire smoke • Snowmobile emissions
NADP Gypsum Creek Pinedale South Pass Mercury (South Pass) Other Monitoring CASTNet (Pinedale) WARMS (Pinedale) Quasi-IMPROVE (South Pass) WY DEQ Ambient Air Monitors and Cameras (3) Long-term Lakes Hobbs Black Joe Deep Upper Frozen Saddlebag Ross IMPROVE Aerosol (Pinedale) Transmissometer (Pinedale) Camera (Pinedale) Bulk Deposition Hobbs Black Joe Monitoring Network
Summary of South Pass Data • NH4 is on an upward trend and has basically doubled at most sites • NO3 shows no trend but values have increased substantially in winter, spring and fall seasons • SO4 is on a downward trend and has decreased by 25-50% • Inorg-N shows no trend at 95% level but upward trend at 90%, which is a concern
Summary of Lake Data • ANC is on a downward trend • Perhaps explained by upward NO3 trend • Magnitude of change at Ross Lake a real concern • Black Joe Lake is an exception • NO3 is on an upward trend • Upward trend at lake inlets and no trend at outlets a real concern relative to eutrophication • SO4 is on a downward trend • Perhaps due to reduction in use of high-sulphur diesel
Summary of Bulk Deposition Data • Above average total N and S at Hobbs and Black Joe Lake sites for 2005. • Same high values at Black Joe Lake for 2006. • Total N • Black Joe Lake 2005 & 2006 = 3.74 & 3.79 kg/ha/yr (Average total N = 2.66 kg/ha/yr) • Hobbs Lake 2005 & 2006 = 3.66 & 2.44 kg/ha/yr (Average Total N = 2.30 kg/ha/yr)
Bulk Deposition (cont.) • Rocky Mtn. NP has established a “critical load” for N deposition of 1.5 kg/ha/yr. • Changes in Lake Diatom Communities Affecting Lake Function • BTNF N deposition is > 2x that level some years. • BTNF average N depositions are 50-75% greater than NPS critical load. • Need to conduct more studies on BTNF. • BTNF looking to adopt that critical load.
Summary of IMPROVE Data • Visibility has improved slightly since 2002, however: • Pinedale site is not ideally located for monitoring impacts from nearby developments. • Securing a new monitor for monitoring maximum impact from developments. (2008) • Modeling for NEPA projects show visibility impacts are occurring.
Ozone Challenges • Ozone Issues(2005, 2006 and 2008) • State issued 5 ozone warnings in February and March 2008 • Exceeded old standard 7 times and new standard 14 times • 3 year average may place the area in “Non-Attainment” • May affect human health, visibility and plant growth on the Forest • Ozone Study (2007 and 2008) • Need to re-think science of ozone formation – not just a warm weather event • Ammonia Study (2007 and 2008)
NEPA Modeling Findings • Visibility – show days of impairment in Class I areas (PAPA 2000-2005 45 days > 1 dv, cumulative 77-88 days) • PM 10 – levels nearing Class I Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) Significant Impact Level (SIL) • NOx – emissions higher than originally modeled (PAPA 2000 693.5 tpy vs 2005 3,512 tpy, 5 x higher) • Ozone – models predict levels exceeding new NAAQS
Concern Summary • Visibility degradation in Class I areas • Lake chemistry changes • Increasing nitrogen deposition • Ozone • Scale and pace of oil and gas development
Coordination Efforts • Wyoming DEQ-AQD • EPA • BLM • Industry
FS workload • Continue existing monitoring • Add additional monitoring • Continue review of upwind NEPA efforts • Continue dialogue with industry, State, and Federal agencies • Solidify critical loads documentation • If needed, certify impairment of wilderness values