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IT-Trends 2005-2010

4.12.2002 http://www.fraber.de/. IT-Trends 2005-2010. My Guess. Radical improvement after a number of incremental steps. No major new Disruptive Technologies anymore. Competitiveness depends on the capability to implement projects. Some Trends. General Trends Moore’s Law Globalization

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IT-Trends 2005-2010

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  1. 4.12.2002http://www.fraber.de/ IT-Trends2005-2010

  2. My Guess Radical improvement after a number of incremental steps No major newDisruptive Technologiesanymore Competitiveness depends on thecapability to implement projects

  3. Some Trends General Trends • Moore’s Law • Globalization • Digitalization • Mobility (GRPS&WiFi) • Knowledge Value • IT Commoditization Specific Trends • Importance of Security (every computer connected to the Internet needs security) • Machine-to-machinecommunication • Open Source Software Read it everywhere!

  4. Conceptual Model:Extended Company Technologies • Collaboration & Project Rooms • Web Services • Extranet/VPN • Sales Support • CRM/SCM/… • Collaborative Forecasting • ... Providers Manufacturer Clients Sub-contractors

  5. My Guess No major newDisruptive Technologiesanymore • Ideas have been tested during the Dot.Com era • “Applications à la carte” methodologies • “Value patterns” (supply chain, integration, network, …) have become common knowledge

  6. Clients Providers Partners Employees Investors Media . . . Disruptions à la Carte How to define my IT-Strategy? Market Share Value Reduce Costs Service Time to Market Extend Brand Client Retention Put here: • where you are • where you want to go and • what applications to use

  7. Implementation Jam How to implement my IT-Strategy? 18m B2C Product Catalog ROI Procurement DataConsolidat. B2B Catalog & Order Track 12m ProductionTracking Demand Forecasting 6m Intranet& KM. Bench-marking DataWarehouse Dependency 0m 250k€ 500k€ 1M€ 2M€ Cost

  8. My Guess No major newDisruptive Technologiesanymore • Disruptive Technologies have to be easy to learn in order to be successful • Disruptive Technologies have to satisfy basic needs

  9. The Limits of Disruptive Technologies ERP Force peopleto use it SCM Learning Effort ProjectRooms Peoplelike it Intranet Messenger Google Audio WWW Video unstructured indexed formalized Content Formalization

  10. The Limits of Disruptive Technologies • Build around existing processes • Supported by innovative management practices • Limited by learning complexity • Implemented by digitalizing existing processes • Look at your processes and digitalize them • Examples: • Volkswagen/Seat Project • Recent announcement by General Electric • . . . • Look at your processes and digitalize them

  11. B2C Product Catalog 18m 3rd PartyProcurement Market Share Value Reduce Costs Service Time to Market Extend Brand Client retention ROI DemandConsolidat. B2B Catalog & Order Track Clients 12m Put here: • where you are • where you want to go and • what applications to use Providers ProductionTracking Partners Demand Forecasting Intranet& KM. Employees Outlet Benchmark 6m DataWarehouse Investors Media Dependency . . . 0m 250k€ 500k€ 1M€ 2M€ Cost My Guess 2010 Competitiveness depends on thecapability to implement projects

  12. IBM – PwC Deal? Capability to Implement Projects Critical Factors • IT Infrastructure • IT Strategy • Change Management • Project Management • Look at your processes and digitalize them Standardization?

  13. StandardizedInfrastructure? Just an idea... Shared Services • Maintenance Support • Firewall Security • Web Server Security • Incident Tracking • Backup • VPN Clients Shared Systems • Firewall • VPN Access • Web Server with Intranet/Extranet • File Server (VPN) • Email • Develop a service around the standard xDSL Internet ERP Web/Mail PC . . . PC FW Router Local Area Network DMZ

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