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3 mo treasury yield borrowing costs Dow industrials

NY Times 18 Sept 2008 front page. 3 mo treasury yield borrowing costs Dow industrials. Stat 153 - 16 Sept 2008 D. R. Brillinger Chapter 3. mean function. variance function. autocovariance. Strictly stationary Normal/gaussian - all joint distributions jointly normal.

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3 mo treasury yield borrowing costs Dow industrials

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  1. NY Times 18 Sept 2008 front page 3 mo treasury yield borrowing costs Dow industrials

  2. Stat 153 - 16 Sept 2008 D. R. Brillinger Chapter 3 mean function variance function autocovariance

  3. Strictly stationary Normal/gaussian - all joint distributions jointly normal Wide sense stationary vs. second-order

  4. Properties of autocovariance

  5. Useful models Purely random Building block

  6. Random walk not stationary

  7. *

  8. Moving average, MA(q) From * stationary

  9. Backward shift operator Linear process. Need convergence condition

  10. autoregressive process, AR(p) first-order, AR(1) Markov * Linear process For convergence/stationarity

  11. a.c.f. From * p.a.c.f.

  12. In general case, Very useful for prediction

  13. ARMA(p,q)

  14. ARIMA(p,d,q).

  15. Yule-Walker equations for AR(p). Correlate, with Xt-k, each side of For AR(1)

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