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NS3041 Comparative Economics Francesco S. Leonini

“Developmental State Model”. NS3041 Comparative Economics Francesco S. Leonini. East Asia versus Latin America. “Deep Determinants” of Economic Development. ● Geography: Natural Resources, Distance from Equator ● Integration: Overall Participation with Global Economy

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NS3041 Comparative Economics Francesco S. Leonini

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  1. “Developmental State Model” NS3041 Comparative Economics Francesco S. Leonini

  2. East Asia versus Latin America

  3. “Deep Determinants” of Economic Development ● Geography: Natural Resources, Distance from Equator ● Integration: Overall Participation with Global Economy ● Institutions: Success of Public Institutions

  4. Indicators of Macroeconomic Performance ● Domestic Savings ● Investment ● Trade Openness

  5. Gross National Savings (% of GDP) Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (Elson pg. 100)

  6. Gross Domestic Investment (% of GDP) Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (Elson pg. 100)

  7. Exports & Imports (% of GDP) Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (Elson pg. 100)

  8. Factors Accounting for Latin American Stagnation ● Persistent Macroeconomic Instability ● Weak Integration Into Global Economy ● Poor Public Institutions

  9. Causes of Macroeconomic Instability ● Lack of Stable Policy Environment ● High Levels of Inflation ● Non-Competitive Exchange Rates ● Zero to Negative Interest Rates

  10. Regional Integration Into the Global Economy ● No change in the rate of Total Global Exports of Latin America between 1980 and 2000 ● East Asia experienced higher rates of global exports and higher rates of intra-industry trade ● Between 1985-2000 East Asia received twice the amount of FDI

  11. Share of World Imports (%) Share of World Exports (%) Source: UN Comtrade Data and IMF, World Economic Outlook (pg. 105)

  12. Quality of Public Institutions Surveys are used to measure institutional effectiveness: ● Government effectiveness (EA 71.3 vs. LA 50.4) ● Regulatory quality (EA 68.5 vs. LA 59.4) ● Political stability (EA 59.4 vs. LA 51.2) ● Democratic accountability (EA 6.0 vs. LA 7.8) ● Bureaucratic quality (EA 7.4 vs. LA 5.1)

  13. Income Inequality Lowest Quintile Highest Quintile Gini Latin America 0.49 Argentina (1989) 4.8 52.1 0.36 Brazil (1989) 2.1 67.5 0.57 Chile (1994) 3.5 61.0 0.51 Mexico (1992) 4.1 55.3 0.48 Venezuela (1990) 3.6 58.4 0.54 Asia 0.40 China (1995) 5.5 47.5 0.41 Indonesia (1993) 8.7 40.7 0.32 S. Korea 0.36 Malaysia (1989) 4.6 53.7 0.48 Philippines (1988) 6.5 47.8 0.41 Thailand (1992) 5.6 52.7 0.47 Source: World Bank Development Report 1997; Baer and Maloney (1997)

  14. Real GDP Growth per Capita

  15. Real GDP Growth per Capita

  16. Questions? Comments?

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