370 likes | 473 Views
Air freight logistic trends and key issues and challenges A Qantas perspective 20 May 2004. Introduction. Air freight is a dynamic and volatile industry sensitive to GDP growth and world events. 1981 Recession. 1985-86 Recession. 1982 Falklands War. 1991 Recession & Gulf War I.
E N D
Air freight logistic trends and key issues and challenges A Qantas perspective 20 May 2004
Introduction • Air freight is a dynamic and volatile industry sensitive to GDP growth and world events 1981 Recession 1985-86 Recession 1982 Falklands War 1991 Recession & Gulf War I 1997-98 Asian Economic Crisis 2001 Technology bust 9/11 World/Regional Air Cargo Market Overview 2003: Boeing
Introduction • Constant ‘shocks’ in the global arena • economic downturns, technology bust, fallout from 9/11, Iraq War and SARS • Responding to rapid change is our biggest challenge
Introduction • QF primarily a passenger airline • Air freight part of core business • freight carried in underfloor space of aircraft • additional capacity on leased or joint venture freighter aircraft • Combination passenger and freighter capacity offers QF flexibility and maximises yield
Introduction • A newcomer to the industry • Objective look at air freight • Qantas Freight Commercial portfolio covers everything outside of terminal operations & capacity • includes: strategy, marketing, sales, customs, e-business and customer relations
Introduction • QF markets three products on all international flights: • Cargo • Mail and • Express services • Domestic Freight • Australian air Express (AaE) – a joint venture between QF and Aus Post
Introduction • Australian market: top five airlines Source: Air Transport Statistics 2002, Bureau of Transport & Regional Economics
Represents 73% of world traffic Introduction • Nearly half the top world carriers of Air Cargo are from Asia • Qantas a ‘player’ in the global arena. Source: World/Regional Air Cargo Market Overview 2003: Boeing
Background • Where we’ve come from ... • QF world’s second oldest airline • Carrying freight since inaugural service Nov 1922 • 1935 QF’s first international flight carrying mail to the UK via Darwin and Singapore
Background • In the early days passengers jammed into cabin - just another bit of freight • We’ve come a long way since those early days
Background • Today QF operates around 540 international services p/w to 85 destinations & 35 countries • Freight on every one of those flights • global airline industry with over 700 airlines • Freight a by-product of passenger continues to grow – multi-billion dollar industry • Shippers, forwarders, passenger and freighter airlines and integrators • Moving in excess of 10m tonnes per year
Key challenges • We’ve come a long way…but QF and the industry face enormous challenges ahead • Key challenges • Maintaining profitability (reducing costs) • Matching our customers expectations • keeping to service levels and turnaround times • Responding to the challenges of a constantly changing market
Key challenges Maintaining profitability Matching customer expectations Responding to change
Profitability: yield & load factors • As companies looked for increases in efficiency and profitability emergence of dedicated cargo businesses within airlines • Lufthansa, Singapore Airlines, Emirates, Cathay and Malaysian airlines • October 2003 QF announced an organisational restructure • Performance at the bottom line
Profitability: yield & load factors • Struggle to put a value on the belly space of passenger flights a by-product of the core passenger airline • Marginal costing contributed to downward pressure on yields • Yields through mix and load factor improvements …tailoring products and services to meet changing customer needs
Profitability: Passenger v. Freighter • Differences in market demands • Passengers want return tickets, non stop flights direct to destinations, high frequency • Freight usually one way, shorter sector lengths – but still demanding frequency for premium products • Passenger – more comfort, inflight entertainment and interactive systems … reduce capacity …accelerated move to freighters
Profitability: Passenger v. Freighter • Why fly freighters... • Means of generating revenue and profit • Complement pax belly space and provide a service • Freighters will continue to grow but if you get it wrong, they are a great way to tear up money • Profitability linked to keeping market offerings in line with market demands • Dedicated freighter services play vital role but underfloor capacity in pax is a major force
Profitability: Passenger v. Freighter • On some routes underfloor capacity offers greater flexibility and cost efficiencies • Asia’s economic boom, new destinations come online, air trade opportunities will increase, particularly intra-asia • Intra-asian cargo growth a resilient annual growth of 10.4% per year, significantly higher than other regions • QF devotes nearly 1/4 of seats across international passenger network to service Asia region …whatever happens in Asia will affect our interests
Key challenges Maintaining profitability Matching customer expectations Responding to change
Matching customer expectations:Products and service reliability • Airlines slow to match their products and capacity to customer demands? • Failure to meet customer expectations … challenge we face is to evolve our product range to match those expectations and at the same time to do it profitably • Two-pronged effect – allows us to improve yield through better mix • Customers (shippers/forwarders) say reliability is the most important factor in making their decision
Matching customer expectations:Most important aspects of freight service • QF Freight Customer Satisfaction Monitor • If we deliver expected service, get products on time and intact to their customers... perceived value for money 87% 81% 48% 41% 32%
Matching customer expectations:Terminals • Potential barriers to service delivery • Terminals geared to handle general cargo • Tendency to automate old practices – not create new • Latest technology in place but need to constantly review processes, practices refined and upgraded • Terminals a direct pipeline from aircraft to customer
Matching customer expectations:Terminals • Terminals of the future... • Everywhere you look change is occurring – terminals no different • To meet current and future customer expectations service standards must be measured, recorded and be ever more demanding • Moving target • Technology a key player
Matching customer expectations:Information systems • Accelerate the pace … • Customers are demanding to know where their freight is from comfort of office or wherever they may be • Internet not enough, proactively notified, SMS • Technology constantly changing • QF at forefront of industry but need to maintain the momentum
Matching customer expectations:Electronic trading exchanges • 1990s saw dot com boom come and go … not many dot coms survived • QF time and effort assessing situation • Concentrated on developing qantasfreight.com • Leading edge • Benefits: productivity and customer satisfaction
Matching customer expectations:Electronic trading exchanges • Recent initiative …launch of Ezycargo internet cargo portal • QF along with Singapore Airlines Cargo, Cathay Pacific and Japan Airlines founding member • Customers can now select information, book space with multiple carriers on a single site …one stop portal • Efficiency and ease of doing business for customers
Key challenges Maintaining profitability Matching customer expectations Responding to change
Responding to change:Security • Post 9/11 threat of terrorism remains • Nationally and internationally aviation industry faced with an increased regulatory environment • Changes to customs reporting and increased security measures will put pressure on airlines to keep to service levels and turn-around times • Australia: • CMR program • Aus government committed A$100m to tighten airport security, inc. screening of freight
Responding to change:Increased regulatory environment • USA: • shippers moving goods in/out of US required to provide details about cargo before it arrives at US borders • airlines required to provide advanced manifest information 4 hours prior to arrival of goods into US • house air waybill data required • Several options available. Preferred option direct from forwarders host system, or via qantasfreight.com
Responding to change:Submit FHL function • As of July 2004 you’ll be able to submit HAWB data for consolidated shipments online at qantasfreight.com • Submit FHL application is easy to use, convenient and one of the many free online services we offer to qantasfreight.com registered users
Responding to change:Increased regulatory environment • Implications: • significant changes to way we do business in order to comply with changes • lots of work to be done in a short time • immediate short-term threat of increased cycle times and costs
Responding to change:New initiatives • Route changes • 2002/3 rationalised approach to route management • Many unprofitable or low yield routes disappeared • Tailored approach better yield management • 2002/3 QF boosted international freight capacity with intro of 6 x 747-400 Extended Range aircraft serving North America … increased capacity • June 2004 commence 3 x 747- 400 direct services ex BNE to LAX • 2004 new India and China services
Responding to change:New initiatives • Australian Airlines • Launch of AO, international, all economy class full service carrier • services key Asian routes inc. Singapore, Japan, Hong Kong and Malaysia • This month AO commences twice weekly 767-300 services to Singapore via Darwin and Cairns … expanding capacity to Asia
Responding to change:New initiatives • Shanghai service • February 2004 QF commenced twice weekly freighter service to Shanghai via Sydney and Singapore… • growing demand for capacity generated by China’s economic boom • Shanghai emerging as a leading hub in Asia region • Currently evaluating expansion of Shanghai services • recently negotiated Taipei, Korea and Hong Kong rights
Summary • Growing industry expanding in volume and some regions growing in double digit numbers • volatile but resilient industry … relatively quick recovery from SARS • future looks optimistic, remains need to review business practices, reduce costs, improve service levels and match customer expectations • increasing demands placed on technology … reduction in paper flows • information systems facility increase in security and screening
Summary • Our customers will demand and get integrated solutions to their distribution with guaranteed service standards • only efficient, effective and competitive will survive …airlines, integrators and forwarders • big will get bigger and small will probably be reduced to niche players or be absorbed • Asia and in particular China will play a major role as the region continues economic transition • Future optimistic but tough and competitive