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Business Council of New Orleans Louisiana’s Future May 2, 2012. 60 Million Years Ago. 40 Million Years Ago. 20 Million Years Ago. Today. Source: Earth Systems Research Laboratory. Mississippi River & Tributaries (MRT). Gulf of Mexico-Energy. Deepwater Horizon Well Site.
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Business Council of New OrleansLouisiana’s FutureMay 2, 2012
Today Source: Earth Systems Research Laboratory
Strategic Petroleum Reserves [Pink]
LNG Terminals [Green]
Natural Gas Market Center (Hubs) [Orange]
Oil Import Sites/Seaports [Purple/Red]
Petroleum Refineries [Purple Squares]
Natural Gas Processing Facilities [Green Diamonds]
National Perspective: Energy #1 producer of domestic oil in the U.S. #2 producer of natural gas in the U.S. Produces or transports one-third of oil & gas Top domestic reserves of oil & gas Only supertanker energy port in the U.S. #2 oil refining capacity $5 billion/annually to US Treasury restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast
National Perspective: Seafood/Wildlife #1 producer in fisheries in the Lower 48 States #2 producer of oysters #1 producer of blue crabs #1 producer of crawfish #1 producer of shrimp #1 habitat for migratory waterfowl and songbirds restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast
Ecosystem Services • Five million waterfowl • 25 million songbirds • America’s largest wintering habitat for migratory waterfowl and songbirds • 70 rare, threatened, or endangered species • Top source of wild seafood in the continental United States. • Wetlands serve as part of the hurricane protection system
The Louisiana Purchase "It is New Orleans, through which the produce of three-eighths of our territory must pass to market...” Thomas Jefferson to Robert R. Livingston, Washington, April 18, 1802
National Perspective: Ports-Cargo Top tonnage port in the nation Five of the top 15 tonnage ports in the US One of the largest cargo port complexes in the world 19 percent of all domestic waterborne commerce Over 30 states depend upon Louisiana’s ports for imports and exports….. restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast photo LA DOTD
Land Area Change in Coastal LA1932 - 2010 Land Loss Land Gain Historic Land-Water Change from 1932-2010 Couvillion et al (USGS), 2011
Louisiana is Experiencing a Coastal Crisis Potential to lose up to 1,756 square miles of land over the next 50 years Predicted Land Change Over Next 50 Years
Louisiana is Experiencing a Coastal Crisis Projected Land Change 2012-2061 Currently experiencing -16 square miles/year Future could reach -51 square miles/year
Our Communities and Livelihoods at Risk Predicted Future Flooding from a 100 Year Flood Event Future Without Action Potential for expected annual flood damages to reach $7.7 to $23.4 billion by 2061
Master Plan 2012 Our Objectives: • Reduce economic losses from storm-based flooding • Promote a sustainable coastal ecosystem by harnessing natural system processes • Provide habitats suitable to support an array of commercial and recreational activities coast-wide • Sustain Louisiana’s unique heritage and culture 5. Provide a viable working coast to support industry.
Utilize Modeling in a Systems Context Stage, Salinity, Water Quality Land Configuration, Elevation Stage, Salinity 2 3 4 1 Stage, Salinity Sediment Dominant Vegetation Dominant Vegetation Upper Trophic Land Configuration, Elevation Land Configuration, Elevation Dominant Vegetation Island Configuration 7 6 5 Stage Surge Surge, Waves
Responding to the CrisisLouisiana’s Coastal Program: Past, Present, and Future
Master Plan Outcomes - Southeast Coast • 84 miles of shoreline protection & ridge restoration projects • 57,888 acres of marsh creation projects • 18,041 acres or 40 miles of barrier island/headland projects NEARLY 58,000 ACRES OF MARSH CREATION PROJECTS
Keystone of the 2012 Master Plan: Reconnecting the River UPDATE
Keystone of the 2012 Master Plan: Reconnecting the River The projects in the plan would use up to 50% of the Mississippi River’s peak flow for sediment diversions, in addition to using water and sediment from the Atchafalaya River.
Greater New Orleans Area • Greater New Orleans High Level Levee – aimed at providing the area with 500 year level of protection • Lake Pontchartrain Barrier project • Greater New Orleans LaPlace Extension • Maintain West Bank Levees (>100 year level of protection) • New Orleans East Land Bridge Restoration • Central Wetlands Marsh Creation project • Lake Borgne Marsh Creation project • Mississippi River Diversion into Barataria and Breton provide significant protection and benefits to Greater New Orleans
What the Draft Master Plan Delivers $18.1 Billion Decrease over Future Without Action $5.4 Billion Decrease over Future Without Action
United States Geological Survey Preliminary Land Loss/Gain 1930-2010
Keys to Future Success • New project delivery systems *Corps of Engineers/Funding 2. Programmatic approach to coast 3. Venue for organized collaboration *academia, private sector, NGOs, government scientists (Water Institute) 4. Recognition of urgency