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Loan Administration for the New Century presentation at The Servicing Management Workshop. Doug Duncan MBA Chief Economist June 21, 2000. Questions to Administer Loans By. Will only the big live long? What’s up with cost economies? Is there really revenue other than servicing and late fees?
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Loan Administration for the New Centurypresentation atThe Servicing Management Workshop Doug Duncan MBA Chief Economist June 21, 2000
Questions to Administer Loans By • Will only the big live long? • What’s up with cost economies? • Is there really revenue other than servicing and late fees? • Will borrowers cause mortgage bankers any problems?
In considering those questions we will cover... • Company/Servicing Profits • Costs • Revenues • Demographic factors
…by using data from... • The Cost Study • The Cost of Servicing Study • MBA/Stratmor Peer Group Roundtables • IT Cost Study (this is pro forma)
…and concluding that... • Only the “mid” die young • Direct cost economies are achieved at a fairly low number of loans serviced • Yes, even you can earn ancillary income • Probably, by being delinquent more than you’d like and not cross buying as much as you’d like
Question 1: Will only the big live long? (total company) Percent The Cost Study - 1998 data
Question 1: Will only the big live long? (servicing only) Percent The Cost Study - 1998 data
Performance Measures Backdrop • Key Performance Measurement Problems • Book equity is frequently unrealistic --- returns are therefore distorted • GAAP profits do not reflect the capital risks involved and market return expectations • Possible Alternatives • Base returns on an Adjusted Equity measure • Evaluate performance based on Mortgage Banking Return on Capital (“MBROC”)
PGR Servicing Equity • Equity = Avg Portfolio Balance x Avg Servicing Value x Equity Ratio where: • Avg Portfolio Balance = actual average portfolio balance • Avg Servicing Value = actual portfolio value • Equity Ratio = 33.3% (assumes 2:1 leverage)
Weighted Average Return on Required Equity Source: Peer Group Roundtables
COSS Sample Characteristics • 35 participants • Annual data collection • Operational analysis • Coordinated data definitions with the PGR • Full spectrum of companies by size
Selected COSS Contents • Aggregate income statement • 17 direct cost center top line numbers aggregate to the 5 in the PGR • 27 direct expense categories within each cost center • 9 indirect expense items • 13 revenue items • 8 technology categories with specific software identification • Company and weighted average payment system data • Company and weighted average collection method data • State-level geographic distribution of servicing volume • Outsourcing data by share of function outsourced • Investor Mix
Question 2: What’s up with cost economies? • Direct vs total • Outsourcing • Productivity • Technology • Other
Direct Cost: Escrow Administration, Taxes, and Insurance (5 column)
EATI Productivity loans/fte
Systems Cost Distribution Note: avg. of 9.37 fte’s
Question 3: Is there really revenue other than servicing and late fees? • Total revenue • Servicing fees • Subservicing • Late fees • Ancillary income • Escrow