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A Demographic Profile of California: The Challenge to Equity and TRIO Professionals A Case Study. Dr. Howard Wray California State University, Long Beach COE Annual Conference September 2005. Factors Affecting College Enrollment of Underrepresented Students at CSULB.
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A Demographic Profile of California:The Challenge to Equity and TRIO ProfessionalsA Case Study Dr. Howard Wray California State University, Long Beach COE Annual Conference September 2005
Factors Affecting College Enrollment of Underrepresented Students at CSULB • Significant increases in underrepresented groups in the California and LA county • Shifts in population areas • Gaps in educational opportunities between underrepresented and represented groups
CSULBCalifornia’s Population Size CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB • 36.8 million • 14 million larger than the next size state (Texas) • One of eight Americans calls California home. Source: California Department of Education, Educational Demographics Unit
California’s Population Growth • California’s growth last year was at the slowest pace since the recession of the 1990’s. Nonetheless, the state grew by more than half a million people for the sixth straight year in 2004. • Past fifty years, population has more than tripled. • For the past decade, the number of new Californians each year would be the size of the City of Long Beach (450,000+) • By 2020, population is projected to reach 42-50 million
California’s Population, 1940-2040 (in millions) 6.9 15.9 23.8 33.9 45.5 63.0 Source: California Department of Finance
California’s Diversity • 2000 Population • 47% White • 33% Hispanic/Latino • 11% Asian/Pacific Islander • 7% African American • 3% Other • 5% Multi-Racial (not included in total) • Increasingly multi-ethnic Multi-racial/ethnic births is the third largest category in California (17%) following Latinos (42%) and White (20%)
Racial/Ethnic Composition of California Newborns, 1997 Source: California Department of Health Services
Students Enrolled in CaliforniaK-12 Public Schools, 2002-03 11% 8% 45% 34% Source: RAND Education: California’s K-12 Public Schools
California K-12 Percentage of English Learners Source: California Department of Education
Poverty in California • In 1970, 1.9 million people were poor in California. By 2000, the number of poor had more than doubled to 4.37 million. • Since 2000, poverty rates in California continue to increase and remain higher than the rest of the nation.
Poverty Rates Adjusted by Housing Costs, California and the Rest of the Nation, 1996-2003 Source: Public Policy Institute of California
Poverty and California’s Children • The highest in the percentage of children living in poverty… 19% or roughly 1.75 million children. • If there were a city containing only California’s poor under the age of 18, it would be the third largest city in the state.
Child Well-Being United States California 29.6 23 23.4 20.4 18.3 19.5 18.2 16.6 Children living in high poverty areas Children below poverty Children living in high poverty areas Children below poverty
Ethnic Composition of All California Children and Those Living in Poverty
Regional Poverty Rates in California, 2000 Source: Public Policy Institute of California
Of Every 100 WhiteKindergartners in CA: Source: Oakland Unified School District.
California Demographics • First in Population Among States • Second in African American Population • First in Latino Population: 1 in 3 Latino children in U.S. live in California • First in Asian population: 1 in 2 Asian children in the U.S. live in California • One of every four Californians is an immigrant • Without immigration, California’s population would decline
California ranks 50th among all states in the drop-off between the share of Latinos and African Americans in the 18-year-old population and the share of undergraduate degrees awarded to students in those ethnic groups.
Los Angeles County is.. • The largest metropolitan area in the nation with over 10 million residents, 3% of the nation. • 27% of the population are children and teens under age 18. • Over half of residents (56%) speak a language other than English at home. • Five of the top ten occupations in the number of new jobs pay less than poverty level wages. One-third of those in poverty are “working poor.”
Los Angeles CountyRacial/Ethnic Breakdown1940-2000 Source: Lewis Center for Regional and Policy Studies, University of California, Los Angeles
Long Beach Demographics • Population of 461,522 within 50 square miles • Fifth largest city in California • 1970- 90% white • Designated as the most diverse major city in the nation • Hispanic/Latino 35.8% • White 33.1% • African American 14.5% • Asian 13.2% • 70,000 families live at or below poverty
Long Beach Demographics (cont.) • One-third of population speak limited English • As many as 65 languages spoken in LB schools • Second highest in LA County in hate crimes committed by youth • Seventh largest gay/lesbian population in the U.S. • Largest Cambodian community outside of Cambodia • Fifth largest senior population in the nation
CSULBTidal Wave II CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB California Public High School Graduates Completing All Courses Required for UC and/or CSU Entrance Source: California Department of Education, Educational Demographics Unit
CSULBTidal Wave II CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB Los Angeles/Orange County Public High School Graduates Completing All Courses Required for UC and/or CSU Entrance Source: California Department of Education, Educational Demographics Unit
CSULB CSULBTidal Wave II CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB Tidal Wave II: CSU Enrollment Projections 37% increase by 2010 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education
Falling Short: If current trends continue, California’s workforce in 2020 may require more highly educated workers than the state can provide. Source: Public Policy Institute of Calif.
Why? • The best-educated Californians will be amongst the oldest, as baby boomers head to retirement. • The greatest growth in the state will be among Latinos, who tend to be concentrated at younger ages and tend to have low levels of educational attainment.
California State University, Long Beach The Big Challenge
Competitive Admissions • Started in 2002 to decrease enrollment by establishing higher admission criteria than the CSU index.
TRIO Concerns • What impact would competitive admissions have on: • Low-income students • First-generation college students • Underrepresented students