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The South African Economy

The South African Economy. Presented by: Dawie Roodt 14 September 2006. Real Economy. GDP. GDP. Relative size to GDP, 2006 Q2. Fiscal Policy. State Finances. State Finances. State Finances. State Finances. Monetary Policy. Inflation. Inflation. Interest rates. Interest rates.

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The South African Economy

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  1. The South African Economy Presented by: Dawie Roodt 14 September 2006

  2. Real Economy

  3. GDP

  4. GDP

  5. Relative size to GDP, 2006 Q2

  6. Fiscal Policy

  7. State Finances

  8. State Finances

  9. State Finances

  10. State Finances

  11. Monetary Policy

  12. Inflation

  13. Inflation

  14. Interest rates

  15. Interest rates

  16. Exchange rates R/$ $/Euro

  17. Prime and PSCE %

  18. Mortgages

  19. Motor Trade

  20. Petrol Price

  21. Capital Expenditure

  22. Economic Impact of the 2010 FIFA World Cup • Direct expenditure of R12,7 billion; • Contribute R21,3 billion to the GDP of South Africa; • Generate the equivalent of 159 000 annual jobs • Additional R7,2 billion will be paid to Government in taxes. Source: Gauteng Tourism Authority

  23. Debt Levels

  24. Credit Extension

  25. Household debt to disposable income Source: SARB

  26. Debt Servicing Cost Source: SARB

  27. Savings to disposable income of households Source: SARB

  28. Summary • Strong capital expenditure • Short term inflation risk (PPI) • Interest rate in upwards cycle • Currency less volatile • Effect of interest rate on consumer spending

  29. Building Statistics

  30. Building: Non-Residential

  31. Building: Non-Residential

  32. Building Plans Passed: Office and Banking Space

  33. Building Plans Passed: Shopping Space

  34. Building Plans Passed: Industrial and Warehouse

  35. Balance of Payments

  36. Balance of Payments

  37. Shares Performance- Top 40 (price movement), 12 months

  38. A comparison

  39. Percentage of World GDP ‘04 Source: UNAIDS

  40. 4% of African area 23% of African GDP 21.2% of African Exports

  41. GDP Source: UN

  42. Countries Compared to Provinces Source: UN

  43. AIDS Source: UNAIDS

  44. Mistakes made in Africa ? ? ? ? • Private Property Rights • Regulated Prices • Idolise Leaders • Marketing Boards • Nepotism • Incompetence • Corruption • Poor Fiscal Discipline • Poor Monetary Policy • Unrealistic Projects

  45. Development Data & Statistics Source: World Bank

  46. Zimbabwe: GDP Source: IMF

  47. Zimbabwe: GDP Source: IMF

  48. Zimbabwe: Inflation Source: IMF

  49. Asset Allocation

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