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Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme

Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme. Marta Moren Abat Climate change and environmental risks Unit European Commission - DG Research Environment Directorate. Background – Policy context Natural Hazards in the Research Framework Programmes FP6

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Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme

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  1. Natural Hazards ResearchFrom the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme Marta Moren AbatClimate change and environmental risks UnitEuropean Commission - DG Research Environment Directorate

  2. Background – Policy context Natural Hazards in the Research Framework Programmes FP6 Total support Some example projects FP7 general Structure Budget Time plan FP7 Natural Hazards Specific programme Work programme 2007 and beyond Information sources / Links From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme

  3. Climate related (Hydro-meteorological Hazards) Avalanches, Floods, Drought, Storms, Forest fires, … Geological Hazards Multi-Hazards Earthquakes, Volcanic eruptions, Mass movements, Tsunamis, … Addressing Natural Hazards

  4. Earthquakes Industrial accidents Floods Fires Volcanic Eruptions Landslides Droughts

  5. International Strategy for Disaster reduction – Hyogo Framework for action 2005-2015, Kobe world Conf. 2005 International Council for Science – ICSU Natural and human induced environmental hazards (6 year plan 2006-2012) International year of Planet Earth 2008 (UNESCO, IUGS, ..) GEO (Group on Earth Observation – 10-Year GEOSS Implementation Plan) Addressing Natural Hazards: Research Policy Context – International level

  6. FP5/4 years – Overall support: 48 Mio Euro FP6/5 years – Overall support: 58 Mio Euro FP7 – First year estimate: 13 Mio Euro Some examples of projects… Addressing Natural Hazards: European Framework ProgrammesEnvironment research programmes

  7. Topic: Volcanic Risk Assessment VOLUME: Volcanoes: Understanding subsurface mass movement (3,1 Mio Euro) http://www.volume-project.net NOVAC: Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric change (2,6 Mio Euro)http://www.novac-project.eu Remark : TTC call + INCO partners in both projects (central/Latin America) Topic: Long-term forecasting of landslides and Avalanches (Global 3) IRASMOS: Integral Risk Management of Extremely Rapid Mass Movements (2,4 Mio Euro) http://www.slf.ch/irasmos GALAHAD: Advanced Remote Monitoring Techniques for Glaciers, Avalanches and Landslides Hazard Mitigation (1,6 Mio Euro) BV http://www.galahad-europroject.org FP6 STREP Projects

  8. Topic: Floods FLASH (Strep):Observations, Analysis and Modelling of Lightning Activity in Thunderstorms, for use in Short Term Forecasting of Flash Floods (1,2 Mio Euro) MMA HYDRATE (Strep): Hydro-meteorological data resources and technologies for effective flash flood forecasting (2,4 Mio Euro) managed by I.3 FLOODSITE(IP): Integrated flood risk management methodologies (9,68 Mio Euro) MMA – http://www.floodsite.net Topic: Forest Fires(Managed by Unit I3) FIREPARADOX (IP): Integrated forest fire management (12 Mio Euro) www.fireparadox.org FP6 STREP Projects

  9. Topic: Seismic Early Warning SAFER: Seismic Early Warning for Europe (3,6 Mio Euro)www.saferproject.net SEAHELLARC: Seismic Risk Assessment and Mitigation Scenarios in Western Hellenic Arc (1,3 Mio Euro) BV Topic: Tsunami Risk in Europe TRANSFER: Tsunami Risk and Strategies for the European Region (3,3 Mio Euro) www.transferproject.eu NEAREST: Integrated Observation from Near Shore sources of Tsunami-Golf of Cadiz (2,8 Mio Euro) FP6 STREP Projects

  10. Topic: Multi-risks LESSLOSS (IP): Risk Mitigation for Earthquakes and Landslides (6,43 Mio Euro)- BV – www.lessloss.org - (Seismic engineering) FORESIGHT (STREP):Frequent Observation-driven Realistic Evaluation and Simulation of Interacting Geophysical Hazard Triggers (1,08 Mio Euro) www.acri-st.fr/foresight/ 3HAZ CORINTH (STREP): Earthquakes, tsunamis and landslides in the Corinth rift, Greece (1,49 Mio EURO) BV ARMONIA (STREP): Applied multi-risk mapping of natural hazards for impact assessment (1 Mio Euro)www.armoniaproject.net MEDIGRID (STREP): Mediterranean Grid of multi-risk data and models (950.000 Euro) MMA FP6 Projects

  11. Topic: Multi-risks NARAS (SSA): Natural Risks assessment, harmonisation of procedures, quantification and information (240.000 EURO) EU-MEDIN II (SSA): Supporting information on Natural Hazards (300.000 Euro)www.eu-medin.org SCENARIO(SSA): Support on common EU strategy for sustainable natural/induced technological mitigation (652.000 Euro) BV FP6 Projects

  12. Framework Programme (Council and EP) Specific Programme (Council + opinion EP) Work Programmes (Commission) Yearly calls (specific topics, choice of instruments,…) EC RESEARCH STRUCTURE

  13. + Cooperation Collaborative research Ideas Frontier Research People Human Potential Capacities Research Capacity JRC (non-nuclear) 4 specific programmes + JRC 3. Information and communication technologies 5. Energy 7. Transport (including aeronautics) 9. Space 1. Health 2. Food, agriculture and biotechnology 4. Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials and new production technologies 6. Environment (including climate change) 8. Socio-eco. sciences and the humanities 10. Security 10 thematic areas A. Climate change, pollution and risks B. Sustainable management of resources C. Environmental technologies D. Earth observation and assessment tools 4 activities (WP) i. Pressures on environment and climate ii. Environment and Health iii. Natural hazards 3 sub-activities (WP) 1. Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting 2. Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts 3. Risk assessment and management 4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies 4 core areas (WP) FP7 - structure 2007 - 2013

  14. + Cooperation 32 413 mill Ideas 7 510 mill People 4 750 mill Capacities 4 097 mill JRC(non-nuclear) 1 751 mill 3. ICT 9 050 mill • Health • 6 100 mill 5. Energy 2 350 mill 7. Transport 4 160 mill 9. Space 1 430 mill 2. Food, agriculture and biotechnology 1 935 mill 4. Nano++, materials and new production technologies 3 475 mill 6. Environment 1 890 mill 8. Socio-eco. Sciences 623 mill 10. Security 1 400 mill • Press. on env. & climate • 2007: est 36 mill ii. Env. & Health 2007: est 19 mill iii. Nat. hazards 2007: est 13 mill Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting ??? 2. Vuln. assess and soc. Impacts ??? 3. Risk assessment and management ??? 4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies ??? FP7 size EUR 50 521 mill 2007 - 2013 CC, poll. and risks ? B. Sust. mngmt. of res. ? C. Env. tech. ? D. Earth obs. & assess. ?

  15. FP7 - Time plan

  16. CooperationEnvironment (incl. Climate Change) - Pressures on environment and climate - Environment and health - Natural Hazards Climate Change, pollution and risks • Conservation and sustainable management of • natural and man-made resources • - Evolution of marine environments Sustainable management of resources Environmental Technologies • - Technologies for observation, prevention, • mitigation,…, of the natural and man-made • environment • protection, conservation and enhancement of • cultural heritage, including human habitat • - Technology assessment, verification, testing Earth observation and assessment tools - Earth observation - Forecasting methods and assessment tools

  17. Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting European storm risk Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts Frame for better vulnerability assessment Risk assessment and management Assessing and managing volcanic threat Harmonising avalanche forecasting, risk mapping and warning Investigating Europe’s risk from droughts Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies European (multi) hazard database analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------- Geo Contributing to the development of a worldwide network of in-situ observatories for seismogenic hazards The Way ForwardCore Work Programme in Natural Hazards2007 Call (indicative budget : 13 Mio Euro)

  18. Natural HazardsRationale – Specific programme • “Management of natural hazards related to climate and geological hazards requires improved knowledge, methods and an integrated framework for the assessment of hazards, vulnerability and risks. • Multidisciplinary research aiming to understand better the underlying processes should be pursued to improve detection, prediction and forecasting methods. • Multi-risk approach combined with spatial planning, mapping, modelling are needed for the development of prevention and mitigation strategies. • Environmental and societal resilience and repercussions of major natural hazards should be quantified.”

  19. Future trends ? Climate related natural hazards will increase throughout Europe, although different type of hazards will predominate in different regions e.g. Increasing risk of floods, snowmelt-related floods, flash floods. Possible storms increase in the north-eastern Atlantic, decrease in storminess and wind intensity in the Mediterranean Extreme precipitation events may increase landslide hazard In mountains, change in T° and snow conditions may increase avalanches, affect permafrost and rock falls In the Mediterranean, decrease precipitation and increased temperature may lead to a longer fire season and dry season. Natural Hazards in Europe

  20. Towards better prediction of landslides events Generation, propagation and fate of sediment and debris in extreme floods Vulnerability assessment of buildings, lifelines systems and network related to earthquakes Environmental, social and economical assessment and management of flood: Present and future scenarios, for EU and key areas in non EU countries Environmental, social and economical assessment of drought risk approaches (EU and non EU perspective) Public perception, behaviour and response to risks Seismic and other geo-hazards risk assessment and mitigation for built environment and infrastructures Towards a European science research agenda in support to the UN strategy for disaster reduction and its European national initiatives Assessment of socio-economic benefit of prevention and mitigation strategies and plans Climate change and social impacts on wild fires regimes and landscape recovery The Way ForwardCore Work Programme in Natural HazardsPossible Future Topics beyond 2007

  21. Information sources and links • EUROPEAN RESEARCH ON NATURAL HAZARDS: Catalogue of selected FP5 and FP6 Projects - Volume 1 • EU research: http://ec.europa.eu/research • More information on European Commission environmental research: http://cordis.europa.eu/sustdev/environment/ http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/index_en.htm • Info on programmes and projects: http://www.cordis.lu/ • RTD info magazine: http://ec.europa.eu/research/rtdinfo/ • Information requests: http://ec.europa.eu/research/enquiries/

  22. Thank you! Questions?

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