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What’s Hot and What’s Not? Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years

What’s Hot and What’s Not? Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years. Duncan Green 2013. Book image. Global Financial Crisis. Global Food Price Spikes. The Arab Spring. Climate Chaos. 4 Trends in how we think about Development. Changing understanding of Poverty

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What’s Hot and What’s Not? Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years

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  1. What’s Hot and What’s Not?Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years Duncan Green 2013

  2. Book image

  3. Global Financial Crisis

  4. Global Food Price Spikes

  5. The Arab Spring

  6. Climate Chaos

  7. 4 Trends in how we think about Development • Changing understanding of Poverty • Rising importance of Inequality • Working in Complex Systems • Power and Theories of Change

  8. What is Poverty?

  9. Implications for Aid & Development Agencies • Change your metrics • Tackling hard core chronic poverty – disabled, elderly, remote – needs different policies • Care economy (food price spike, financial crisis) • Smoothing/avoiding/coping with Volatility is more important than we thought • Resilience = the new fuzzword

  10. Inequality

  11. Globally, it’s the 2%

  12. G20 doing badly

  13. LICs doing better (on average)

  14. ‘The Palma’ v Gini: Birth of an Index? • Ratio of income of top 10% to bottom 40% • Falling v Rising Palma index • X3 in reducing hunger and extreme poverty • X2 in progress on access to improved water • +30% in progress on U5MR • Worth pursuing?

  15. Implications for Aid & Development Agencies • Metrics: Gini or Palma? • Multidimensionality: inequality of shame? • Get past outcome v opportunity • Taxation/Domestic Resource Mobilization • Relationships, power and politics • But v tricky politics, esp for official agencies

  16. Complex Systems v causal chains

  17. The power and change cycle Power Analysis Change Hypothesis Monitor, Learn, Adapt Select Change Strategies

  18. So What? • Fast feedback + institutions to respond • Identify and publicise problems, but stop short of solutions (Matt Andrews, PDIA) • Possible approaches • Enabling environment > specific projects (norms, rights, access to info) • Multiple experiments: Tanzania • Convening and Brokering: Tajikistan • Results for grown ups • Rules of thumb, not best practice & toolkits

  19. Broader Implications • Who to employ? • Searchers v planners • Local and rooted v global and nomadic • How to keep/build political support given: • Loss of control • Limits to attribution • Higher failure rates • Demonstrate impact, compare with other sectors (business, military)?

  20. “In telling us what can be achieved by ordinary people through organised action, this book generates hope even as it enhances understanding of what is involved in the removal of poverty.” Amartya Sen

  21. But blogging is more fun....

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