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Landings Obligation EIA

Landings Obligation EIA. John Anderson Senior Economist. New evidence base and analytical output

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Landings Obligation EIA

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  1. Landings Obligation EIA John Anderson Senior Economist

  2. New evidence base and analytical output • Comprehensive Economic Impact Assessment (EIA) of a move from status quo fisheries management measures to various potential scenarios under the new CFP Landings Obligation (LO). The analysis aims to provide: • An overall assessment of the likely new equilibrium ‘balance’ situation between fleet capacity, onshore capacity, and the new fishing opportunities available under the LO • Sufficient evidence base for input into the formulation of adequate regional (demersal) discard plans that will need to be submitted to COM in mid-2015 • Identification of key challenges for industry and government

  3. Catching sector • Economic performance estimates for individual fleet segments under the LO, taking into account potential for quota trading plus the various flexibilities and exemptions • Areas of investigation will include: • Analysis of ‘choke’ species and affectedfleet segments after ‘uplift’ • Assessment of the potential for quota trading to avoid choke scenarios • De minimis – potential for application at fleet segment level • Implications of altering the ordering of application of quota leasing, flexibility and exemption mechanisms • Compatibility issues with the UK FQA system: • a) Allocation within the UK to DA’s and DA’s to PO’s, U10m and non-sector etc • b) Conversion factors for 9% flex(cod equivalents, tonnage, value etc) • c) Phased introduction for target vs. non target species for different fleets

  4. Onshore sector • Onshore IA to take place once LO fishing opportunities established in the fleet IA. • Assessment will focus on changes in: • Species types (i.e. new diverse species) and volumes (i.e. potential for new markets) • Size and quality of fish landed, market prices • Timing, continuity and geographical location of landings - ability to meet status quo demand • Number, scale, location, structure and viability of onshore businesses • Imports and infrastructure • Opportunities for market development and identification of key barriers to development

  5. Outline of tasks / work packages • Task 1: Fleet segmentation and status quo analysis - UNDERWAY • Task 2: Choke analysis • Task 3: Consult on likely management responses / approach to dealing with choke issues • Task 4: Consult on likely responses of vessel owners • Task 5: EIA of LO on catching sector - based on outcome of tasks 1-4 • Task 6: Onshore / processing status quo analysis – UNDERWAY • Task 7: Consult on likely routes to market for new volumes and species • Task 8: EIA of LO on onshore sector • Task 9: Reporting– FEBRUARY 2015

  6. Thoughts / comments / suggestions welcome john.anderson@seafish.co.uk 0131 524 8662

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