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2. Contextual Background
Policy Priorities for 2011/12
Performance and Service Delivery Information
Budget Analysis/Expenditure trends
Programme Analysis
Transfers and subsidies
Key Issues for Consideration by Parliament Overview
3. Moderate positive economic growth (2.9% 2010 vs. – 1.8% 2009)
Contributing factors to GDP
commodity prices
low interest rates
faster global growth
Key components of GDP (Y) in the 2nd Q2010
(C + I + G + X-M)
Consumption = 4.4%
Government spending = 6.0%
Merchandise Exports = 6.3%
Current Account = -3.6% compared to -4% 2009 Contextual Background
4. GDP since 2000
5. South Africa’s growth has not created significant jobs
low ratio of employment to adult (ages15-64)
South Africa (41.4%) compared to African countries - Uganda (83%), Rwanda (80%), Tanzania (78%), & Malawi (78%)
Militancy on the part of trade unions
Impact of labour laws (new amendments)
Lack of development of small businesses
Lack of infrastructure
Challenges
6. “Unemployment, Inequality, and Poverty”
NGP – 10 year plan in unlocking the employment potential in six key sectors and activities
Infrastructure
Agricultural sector (agric value chain/agro-processing)
The mining value chain
The green economy
Manufacturing sectors
Tourism and certain high-level services 2. Policy Priorities for 2011/12
7. Response to the financial crisis:
Of the IDC R6.1 billion, by Dec 2010 R3.6 billion committed and jobs saved or created were 23 322
Of the UIF R2 billion (jobs fund), R219 million has been committed
R2.9 billion training layoff scheme, was a collaboration between EDD, DOL, IDC and CCMA
As of January 2011, scheme benefited a total of 6351 workers
ITAC - revised timeframes for investigations from 12 to 9 months for trade remedies
By end of 2009, 750 tons of smuggled clothing and textile ( value of R90 million) were seized by SARS
ITAC has responded by increasing the tariffs on 35 items of clothing and textile sector
8. 4. Budget Analysis
10. 5. Programme Analysis
11. 5. Programme Analysis
12. 5. Programme Analysis
13. 5. Programme Analysis
14.
6. Transfers and subsidies
16. Since 2011 has been declared a year of job creation
Parliament has a role in the following (as an oversight
tool):
Number of jobs created/reducing unemployment
GDP growth
Employment ratio or absorption rate
Households in poverty
Distribution of earned income
7. Key Issues for Consideration by Parliament
17.
Thank You