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“Understanding and Globally Communicating the LA Region’s Unparalleled Technology Resources”

This presentation highlights the vast technology resources in the LA region and the importance of understanding and communicating globally about them. It discusses the rate of change, the concept of knowledge, and historical examples of misconceptions about technology. It also explores industry clusters, the evolution of industries, and different models of innovation and entrepreneurship.

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“Understanding and Globally Communicating the LA Region’s Unparalleled Technology Resources”

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  1. Presentation “Understanding and GloballyCommunicating the LA Region’sUnparalleled Technology Resources” Ken Dozier Far West RTTC 8/15/01

  2. The Future “When the Rate of Change Outside is Greater Than the Rate of Change Inside, The End Is In Sight” Jack Welch, Chairmen General Electric

  3. What is Knowledge ? Truth Knowledge Belief Universal Social Personal No Debate Diverge on debate Converge on debate Cause Effect Cause 10 Philosophical Mistakes (Adler 85)

  4. The Future “where ... The ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computer in the the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons” “There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home” - Ken Olson, president and founder, Digital Equipment Corp., 1977 - Popular Mechanics, 1949 “The problem with television is that the people must sit and keep their eyes glued on a screen; The average American family hasn’t time for it” “This ‘Telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us” - New York Times, 1949 - Western Union, Internal memo, 1876 “I predict the internet... Will go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse ” - Bob Metcalfe, 3COM founder and inventor, 1995 “Man will never reach the moon, regardless of all future scientific advances” Lee De Forest, Radio Pioneer, 1957

  5. Velocity “ According to Silicon Valley CEO’s, 60 % of the high-tech items they manufacture today did not exist 10 months ago” Lon Hatamiya, Secretary - California Trade and Commerce Agency “Startups are now expected to go public within 6-18 months after venture investment” Donna Jensen, Founder and CEO of startups.com

  6. Industry Clusters (ERI/McGraw Hill,”America’s Clusters”,1965) • “Industry Cluster”: collections of competing and collaborating industries in a region networked into horizontal and vertical relationships, involving strong common buyer-supplier linkages, and relying on a shared foundation of specialized economic institutions. Because they are built around export-oriented firms, industry clusters bring new wealth into a region an help drive the regions economic growth. Key Export Oriented Firms Consumer Electronic Assembly Computer Hardware Assembly Industry Cluster Electronic Key Supplier Oriented Firms Tool, Die & Machinery Office & Production Supply Specialized Component Supply Key Economic Infrastructure Providers Education & Training Institutions Physical Infrastructure Providers Financial and Regulatory Institutions

  7. Industry Clusters (ERI/McGraw Hill,”America’s Clusters”,1965) Home and Lifestyle Products Agriculture and Food Processing Business Services Automotive Energy and Process Materials Info/Media and Entertainment Fashion, Apparel and Textiles Aerospace/Defense Industrial Machinery Educational Services Forest Products Health Services Tourism and Recreation Electronics Machinery and Systems Metals Construction Products Bio-Medical Products Financial Services Transportation and Distribution

  8. Industry Clusters (ERI/McGraw Hill,”America’s Clusters”,1965)

  9. Industry Clusters (ERI/McGraw Hill,”America’s Clusters”,1965)

  10. The Evolution of Industry General Manufacturing Technology-Based Manufacturing Business Services Information Processing Motion Pictures Aviation Electronics Defense Aviation Automobile Manufacturing Food Processing Agriculture Theme Parks Television Motion Pictures Defense Instruments Metal Products General Manufacturing Information Processing Defense Aerospace Theme Parks/ Tourism Visual Media Production Professional Services Multimedia Technology Engineering Services Commercial Aviation Computer Peripherals (ERI/McGraw Hill,”America’s Clusters”,1965) 1990-2015 1940-1965 1965-1990

  11. EZ and Incubator Spatial Distribution

  12. Traditional Entrepreneurship • Typical Waterfall model • Six Stages • basic research, development research, product and process ideas, prototype, production, diffusion • Criticisms • Too much focus on the solution “push” • basic research not the only initiator stage • relationship between research and commercialization is too complex to be linear • Users are the key “pull” to the problems and markets Sung 2001

  13. New Non-Linear Model • 2001 study of startup companies across: Software telecom (35%), Bio-med (19%), Computers (16%), and Semi-conductors (10.8%) • Innovation: research (12%), development ( 22%), application stage (57%), production (9%) • Age:Linearolder ( 35-45), non linear (25-35) • Education:Linear more (28%P,42%M,30%B), Non Linear (7.5%P, 22%M,67%B) • Experience:Linear narrower (59% research, 35% commerce), Nonlinear (37% research, 29% commerce, 17% education) • Both groups agreed on success factors: business plan, leadership, technical skills, management skills, and location Su ng 2001

  14. The Non-Linear Gates “Microsoft” Xerox Jobs “Apple” Xerox Clark “SGI” E&S, Stanford Clark “Netscape” University of Illinois Developers Drivers

  15. Make & Sell vs Sense & Respond Federal Agencies, SBIR: Mission Based, Linear (push) Universities: Curiosity Based, emerging, (push) Chabol (large companies) hierarchy, products based, (push) Venture: Niche markets, public trading (pull) Incubators and Science Parks created to bridge gap between development and commercialization Chart Source: Corporate Information Systems, Applegate

  16. Media Bandwidth Source: 1999 Fall Meeting, Community Development Council, Chuck Matthews INFOWORLD, Sept. 2000 ATM Gigabit Ethernet IEEE 1394 / Firewire LASER / Fast Ethernet 10BaseT / CAT 5 Microwave / Ethernet G3 / Wireless LAN DSL/ Cable G2 Wireless G1 Wireless

  17. Market Redefinition:Radical Change Seven Organizational Change Propositions, Venkatraman 1994

  18. Solutions for Content Distribution Satellite Cable Terrestrial Internet DSL Wireless Encrypted IP Encryptor IP Gateway Content

  19. Security Solutions for Data Broadcasting Network operation Center Content Aggregator Rural Infrastructure

  20. Solutions for Digital Cinema Encrypted IP Encryptor IP Gateway Picture Studios File Servers Digital Projector

  21. 6-D Dimensions of Global Commerce Denationalization Decentralization Disaggregation Despacialization Demassification Disintermediation Source: The Social Life of information, Brown & Duguild

  22. Global Competition • 3 Finland • 4 Luxembourg • 5 Netherlands • 6 Hong Kong • 7 Ireland • 8 Sweden • 9 Canada • 10 Switzerland Source: The world Competitiveness Yearbook IMD International

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