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CDMA Market Update. Sam Samra. 3GPP2 cdma2000 Technology Workshop June 14, 2012 Guangzhou, China. CDG - A Global Industry Association. One of world’s largest wireless industry associations representing More than 330 operators in 122 countries Over 200 manufacturers and suppliers
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CDMA Market Update Sam Samra 3GPP2 cdma2000 Technology Workshop June 14, 2012 Guangzhou, China
CDG - A Global Industry Association • One of world’s largest wireless industry associations representing • More than 330 operators in 122 countries • Over 200 manufacturers and suppliers • More than 625 Million subscribers • A single voice promoting the interests of the CDMA industry • Defining a long-term technology evolution path • Advancing favorable spectrum allocations and regulatory frameworks • Facilitating the expansion of global roaming • Facilitating device availability and aggregation
CDG Organization CxO Council CDG Executive Board CDG Advocacy Council (CAC) Regional Teams CDMA450 SIG Evolution Team Connected Device Forum(M2M ) International Roaming Team (IRT) Device Strategy Council (DSC) CDMA University Regulatory Affairs Global Strategy Team (GST) Ad hoc Technical Teams Open Market Handsets (OMH SIG) PR Council Device Aggregation Initiatives Global Handset Requirements for CDMA (GHRC) • CxO Council – Senior leadership of CDMA operators at the CxO/President level. Provides strategic guidance for all CDG programs • CDG Executive Board – Carrier/Manufacturer member decision-making body that sets direction and priorities • CDG Advocacy Council –Determines strategic actions to promote success in 3G and 4G for operators and their equipment providers • Global Strategy Team – Executes strategies and plans determined by CDMA Advocacy Council • PR Council – Coordinates public relations activities of the CDG and its members • Regulatory Affairs – Represents members’ collective interests in regulatory affairs • Evolution Team – Sets priorities and defines the technology evolution path • International Roaming Team – Facilitates the deployment of international roaming services • Device Strategy Council – Determines strategic direction for device and application availability and advancements • Global Handsets Requirements Team – Implements strategy as set by DSC for device requirements globally to encourage economies of scale • OMH – Implements requirements for SIM card-based devices • Connected Device Forum (M2M) –Defines requirements for networks, devices and applications and promotes industry awareness of this • rapidly growing market segment • Regional Teams – Define needs specific to the region and execute activities to meet those needs • Ad Hoc Technical Teams – Execute priority initiatives as set by Board
CDMA Subscriber Statistics December 2011
EV-DO Subscriber Statistics December 2011
Global EV-DO Subscriber Forecast 28% CAGR
Projected Mobile Data Growth 1 Exabyte = 1,000,000 terabytes = Equivalent to data storage of 50,000 years' worth of DVD-quality video.
Evolution Path Not All Network Technologies Fit All User Needs CDMA2000 and OFDM-Based Technologies are Complimentary + LTE CDMA2000
CDMA2000 Network Evolution • Ten networks have commercially deployed EV-DO Rev. B, and another nine are in deployment • 32 EV-DO Rev. B devices from 14 suppliers have been commercialized • KDDI, Sprint and other leading CDMA2000 operators will be deploying DO Advanced in 2012 • Sprint is deploying HD Voice now • Nine CDMA2000 operators have deployed LTE, with another 16 in deployment • Over 20+ dual mode (CDMA/LTE) devices are on the market and increasing rapidly • At the end of 2011, China Telecom became the largest CDMA2000 operator in the world serving more than 132M people, including more than 41M EV-DO subs (Feb. 2012) CDMA2000 networks generated over $150 billion in 2011
OFDMA Broadband Overlay 3G CDMA WAN Coverage Today 3G Next 5-10 Years 3G CDMA 3G CDMA OFDMA Urban Zone OFDMA Urban Zone OFDMA Urban Zone OFDMA WAN Coverage Beyond 10 Years 3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM-based solutions until next generation 4G broadband networks are fully capable of delivering: Ubiquitous coverage Carrier-grade VoIP Low-cost devices Global roaming
Device Shipments • 250 million CDMA2000 devices were shipped in 2011 • The CAGR of CDMA2000 device shipments is expected to be 5.5% • Up to 85% of all CDMA2000 devices will be enabled by EV-DO • 93% of new CDMA2000 subscriptions include the purchase of a EV-DO device • Analysts are forecasting up to 741M CDMA2000 subscribers by the end of 2016, including 563M EV-DO subs • As of March 2012, there were more than 15M LTE subscribers worldwide; nearly 75% of these subscribers are on CDMA2000/LTE networks
CDMA Global Handset Forecast 265 Million Units Source : Deutsche Bank Markets Research
CDG Device Initiatives • Device Strategy Council (DSC) • Provide strategic direction for all devices issues • Global Handset Requirements for CDMA • Develop common requirements for CDMA devices • WorldModeTM Devices • Develop solutions for inter-standard devices • OMHTM Devices • Create open devices that can operate across multiple networks • Connected Device Forum for M2M • Develop requirements for smart connected devices and applications • Device Aggregation • Expand distribution and enable access to CDMA2000 and LTE devices
MNO 2 MNO 2 MNO 3 MNO 3 Hub Provider MNO 4 MNO 1 MNO 1 MNO 4 Other Hubs MNO 6 MNO 5 MNO 6 MNO 5 CDG Roaming Initiatives • International Roaming Team (IRT): Develops the tools and assists operators in deploying and marketing CDMA international roaming • Roaming Forum: A forum to exchange ideas and communicate with industry experts • CDMA Roaming Info Exchange Tool (C-RIET): A single, secure interface for access, storage and selective distribution of CDMA roaming information • Preferred Roaming List Tool: To develop, test and maintain preferred roaming lists • CDMA Roaming Hub: Simplifies and expands an operator’ roaming footprint through multilateral agreements
CDG Advocacy Efforts • Promote broadband revenue-generating data services • Large selection of 3G devices and services (video, computing, M2M, LBS, etc.) is driving revenue growth and deployment of 4G • “Smart pipes” enabled by IP connectivity, eHRPD, QoS, etc., support service enablement, data intensive applications and alternative revenue streams • Promote 3G migration and interoperability with 4G • Promote Expansion of the 3G/4G ecosystem Influence opinions to help fortify existing businesses and expand into new businesses
Additional Information Please visit our web site www.cdg.org
Thank You Any Questions?