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Restructuring and Change of Business Strategy. 6 March 2013. Team Members. Sean Kosowsky Eric Nguyen Hanna Pizzorni Lisa Pucurs Nathan Roberts Benjamin Shoesmith Jamie Thomas Jillian Tober Chelsea Upchurch. Nicholas Abbaticchio Blair Bigwood Luke Burns
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Restructuring and Change of Business Strategy 6 March 2013
Team Members • Sean Kosowsky • Eric Nguyen • Hanna Pizzorni • Lisa Pucurs • Nathan Roberts • Benjamin Shoesmith • Jamie Thomas • Jillian Tober • Chelsea Upchurch • Nicholas Abbaticchio • Blair Bigwood • Luke Burns • Kaiti Boling • Kelly Campbell • Krielow Chamberlain • Caleb Collins • Benjamin Driscoll • Paul Itterly Dr. William Compton Dr. Nivine Richie Associate Professor of Finance Associate Professor of Finance
Industry Overview Paul Itterly, Ben Driscoll, Nick Abbaticchio, Chelsea Upchurch
Mission Statement • Our content presents an analysis of DPOV through: • Macro environment, Industry analysis, and Competitive analysis • Financial Ratios • Strategic recommendations
DPOV Overview • Mother company ČeskéDráhy (CD) created 2002 • DPOV was founded in 2007 as part of CD • Responsible for: Train repairs, heavy maintenance, modernization… etc. • DPOV represents <3% of CD Revenues. • 2004 Czech Republic joined the democracy of the European Union • DPOV is positioned well in the market
DPOV Overview Continued • DPOV’s Strengths: • Skilled workers, euro independence, & the reliance on rail freight • DPOV’s Struggles: • Size of the firm, lack of research & development, • Low services, difficulty in gaining long term contracts, low diversification of customer portfolio • Beneficial Opportunity
Macro Environmental Analysis Political Factors • High Voice and Accountability parameters • Foreign policy • Liberalization of Rail Industry
Macro Environmental Analysis Economic Factors • Czech Republic economy • Czech Freight Transport report • External Economies analysis • S&P Rating Article
Macro Environmental Analysis Social Factors • Demographics • Employment Statistics • Entitlement programs
Macro Environmental Analysis Technological Factors • Research and Development investments (DPOV) • Threats in R&D
Industry Analysis Threat of Entry • High Capital Requirements • Economies of Scale (Supply & demand side) • Switching costs • Government Policy
Industry Analysis Power of Suppliers • Capital Intensive • Dependence On Suppliers • No Ability to Shop around
Industry Analysis Power of Buyers • DPOV customer structure-diversification • Shop for Vendor (CD-Pars Nova) • Economies of Scale • Switching Costs
Industry Analysis Threat of Substitutes • Growth • Rental/Leasing (service contracting)
Industry Analysis Competitive Rivalry • Entry & exit barriers • Switching cost • External pressures • Dimensions of competition
Industry Analysis Overall Industry Attractiveness • Threat of entry-moderate • Power of suppliers-high • Power of buyers-high (DPOV specific) • Threat of substitutes-low • Competitive rivalry-high
CZ LOKO • 160 years old • Construction, modernization, repair, testing, and locomotives for hire • Services in Czech Republic and Lithuania
Pars Nova • 60 years old • Modernization and repair • Serves Czech Republic, Slovakia, Ukraine and other European countries • CD is a customer
EuroMaint • Created in 2001 • Maintenance plans • Services Sweden, Germany and other European countries
Financial Analysis Blair Bigwood, Nathan Roberts, Ben Shoesmith, Kelly Campbell, Kaiti Boling
DPOV Competitors: ROE *2011 averages
Capital Structure & Cost of Debt Capital Structure: Weight of Equity: 41.19% Weight of Debt: 58.81% Corporate Tax Rate: 19% Discount Rate (WACC): Wd * rd (1-t) + We * re WACC = .4119 * .07( 1 – .19) + .5881 * .1467 WACC = 10.96%
Forecasted Profit From Reg. Activities: 46,178,000 CZK Discount Rate (WACC): 10.96% Growth Rate: 2.10% Discounted Cash Flow
Capitalized Excess Earnings • Market value of assets, long-term debt and equity • Capitalization rate: 23.29%
Competitive Analysis Strengths • Czech Republic high economic strength • Independence from the Euro • Overall fairly positive financials
Competitive Analysis Weaknesses • Small geographic scope of business • Lack of research & development • Small scope of services offered relative to competition • Low diversification of customer base • Low leverage to offer long term service contracts
Competitive Analysis Opportunities • Expansion into new markets • Potential of offering new services • Liberalization of the market • Integration of the European Railways • Positive outlook of the service industry
Rolling Stock Services Industry Source: Oliver Wyman 2009
Competitive Analysis Threats • CD Cargo Bankruptcy • Extreme competition in the market • Reliance on CD
Strategic Analysis Caleb Collins, Kelly Campbell, Sean Kosowsky, Hanna Pizzorni
DPOV’s Operating Profit Margin • 2009- 4.34% • 2010- 4.43% • 2011- 4.00% • Improvement from the ground up
Causes of Inefficiencies • Maintenance tasks not standardized • Insufficient planning and preparation • Infrastructure constraints • Spare parts logistics
Improving Inventory Management • Strict management of resources • Total inventory on hand • Effects of inventory holding costs • Improved forecasting • Information can be a substitute
Opportunities in Logistics • Spare parts logistics market • Opportunities with 3PL’s • Physical & geographical advantage
Environmental Improvements • EU Climate and energy package • Competitors more involved with environment • Increase in raw materials used • Pars Nova Eco-energy project • New energy taxes in 2013
UnliberalizedRail System Liberalization Increased Competition among Passenger and Freight Rail Service Providers Better Quality of Rail Services Offered at a Lower Price Pressure to Increase Efficiency Outsourcing of Non-Core Business Activities Increased Number of Competing Stand-Alone Maintenance Firms Increased Competition among Maintenance Firms Better Quality of Maintenance Services Offered at a Lower Price Crowding Out of Inefficient Firms and Increased Market Share for Efficient Firms Implications of Market Liberalization