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Tropical Mid-Tropospheric CO 2 Variability driven by the Madden-Julian Oscillation. King-Fai Li 1 , Baijun Tian 2 , Duane E. Waliser 2 , Yuk L. Yung 1 1 California Institute of Technology, Pasadena 2 Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena Special Thanks to Dr. Peter Bechtold (ECMWF).
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Tropical Mid-Tropospheric CO2 Variability driven by the Madden-Julian Oscillation King-Fai Li1, Baijun Tian2, Duane E. Waliser2, Yuk L. Yung1 1 California Institute of Technology, Pasadena 2 Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena Special Thanks to Dr. Peter Bechtold (ECMWF) Li et al. (2010), PNAS 107, 19171
Motivation • AIRS CO2 (~5 km) reveals influences from circulations • Surface sources appearing in mid-troposphere • Convection and stratosphere-troposphere exchange • Jet-streams, synoptic weather systems • How does tropical dynamics matter? [A54D-02: ENSO] Chahine et al. [2008]
Madden-Julian oscillation • Dominant form of intraseasonal variability in the tropics • Strongest during boreal winters • Slow (~5 m/s) eastward-propagating oscillations in tropical deep convection and large-scale circulation • Life cycle ~ 60 days Madden & Julian [1971; 1972], Lau and Waliser [2005], Zhang [2005]
AIRS CO2 • Retrieved from 690 – 725 cm-1 • 2.5°×2° gridded Level 3 • Cloud-cleared • Nov 2002 – Feb 2010 • Sensitivity peak at 5 – 10 km • Accurate to 1 – 2 ppmv Chahine et al. [2008]
Methodology • Intraseasonal anomalies of daily data were obtained by • a. Including boreal winter data only • b. Removing the climatological seasonal cycle • c. Bandpass filtering (30–90 days) • MJO phase determined by a pair of Real-time Multivariate MJO indices (RMM1 & RMM2, 1974–present) [Wheeler & Hendon, 2004] http://www.cawcr.gov.au/bmrc/clfor/cfstaff/matw/maproom/RMM/ • Composite MJO cycle calculated by averaging bandpassed daily anomalies for each phase
RMM Index • Defined as two leading extended EOFs of 36-year OLR data • RMM1− enhanced convection over the Maritime Continent • RMM2− enhanced convection over the Pacific Ocean • (RMM1,RMM2) characterizes the eastward propagation • Use only strong MJO events (RMM12 + RMM22 ≥ 1) × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × ×
Modulated CO2 • Enhanced CO2 over convective regions Li et al., PNAS, 2010
Small Bias due to H2O Absorption • MJO of H2O at 600 hPa ≈ 1.4 g/kg [Tian et al., 2006] • Potential Bias in CO2 ≈ 1.4 0.13 < 0.2 ppmv Observations between 10°S – 10°N Li et al., PNAS, 2010
Vertical Gradient • Verification of vertical gradient using in situ measurements Li et al., PNAS, 2010
Summary • First observation of intraseasonal variability in CO2 • Lower-tropospheric vertical motions drive the MJO of mid-tropospheric CO2 • Vertical gradients in CO2 • Statistically robust • > 20 MJO events and 9 millions of AIRS retrievals being used • Negligible effects due to H2O • Average MJO amplitude ~1.5 ppmv = 0.5% • Critical for determining surface CO2 sources and sinks [Rayner & O’Brien, 2001] • Not seen in ECMWF’s GMES-MACC assimilated CO2 [provided by Dr. Bechtold] • Relationship between tropical dynamics and CO2 not well understood
Thank you! Li et al. AGU Fall 2010 A54D-01