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Evaluation of pollution levels of lead and PCB-153 over Central Asian (CA) countries within CAPACT project (preliminary results). Ilia Ilyin, EMEP/MSC-E. EMEP/MSC-E. CAPACT , 4-6 July 2007, Almaty , Kazakhstan. Expected results.
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Evaluation of pollution levels of lead and PCB-153 over Central Asian (CA) countries within CAPACT project (preliminary results) Ilia Ilyin, EMEP/MSC-E EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Expected results • Evaluation of air concentrations and total depositions of lead and PCBs over CA countries • Contributions of regions of the Northern Hemisphere to pollution of CA countries by PCBs and contribution of CA countries to the pollution of other regions. Вклады различных регионов • Evaluation of transboundary pollution of CA countries by lead EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Hemisphericmodel • Extent – Northern Hemisphere • Resolution – 2.5°×2.5° Model versions Regional model • Extent – EMEP region • Resolution – 50×50 км2 EMEP reion EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Multicompartment MSCE-POP model Atmosphere Underlying surface Detailed desription: GusevA., Mantseva E., Shatalov V., and StrukovB. 2005. Regional Multicompartment Model MSCE-POP5/2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Input data Emissions of PCB-153 in 2005 Breivik et al, 2007., Science of the Total Environ., 377, p. 296-307. EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Input data PCB-153 emissions in different regions of the Northern Hemisphere in 2005 South-Eastern Asia South-Western Asia Russia Казахстан America Europe Africa EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Model results Annual mean air concentrations of PCB-153 in 2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Model results Depositions of PCB-153 in 2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Transboundary pollution of Kazakhstan by PCB-153 South-Eastern Asia South-Western Asia Russia Казахстан America Europe Africa Planned: evaluation of transboundary pollution for each of Central Asia countries EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Main processes in MSCE-HM model • Processes: • Advection • Turbulent diffusion • Wet removal • Dry depositions • Chemical transformations in the atmosphere (Hg) • Wind re-suspension Detailed description: Travnikov O. and Ilyin I., 2005. Regional model MSCE-HM of heavy metal transboundary air pollution in Europe. EMEP/MSC-E Technical report 6/2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
EMEP calculation domain 135 EMEP domain Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan Turkmenistan Tajikistan 1 1 111 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Preparation • of input • data: • Land-cover • Meteorology • Emissions Extension of EMEP calculation domain to cover CA countries within CAPACT 135 Extended calculation domain Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan Turkmenistan Tajikistan 1 1 159 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Input data Emissions of lead in Europe and Central Asia in2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Input data Total emission of lead in Central Asian countries in 2005 ~4000 t/y EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Input data Spatial distribution of lead emissions in 2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Input data Comparison of emissions from anthropogenic sources and wind re-suspension in Central Asian countries (Pb) Wind re-suspension Anthropogenic emissions ~840t/y ~ 970t/y EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Annual mean concentrations of lead in air in 2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Total emissions of lead(anthrop.andwind re-suspension) Air concentrations of lead EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Total depositions of lead in 2005 EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Transboundary pollution in Central Asia Contributions of different sources to depositions in Kazakhstan EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Transboundary pollution in Central Asia Contributions of different sources to depositions in Kyrgyzstan EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Transboundary pollution in Central Asia Contributions of different sources to depositions in Tajikistan EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Transboundary pollution in Central Asia Contributions of different sources to depositions in Turkmenistan EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Modelling results Transboundary pollution in Central Asia Contributions of different sources to depositions in Uzbekistan EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Current statusand future plans EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan
EMEP/MSC-E CAPACT, 4-6 July 2007, Almaty, Kazakhstan