1 / 8

Institutional Impact of ‘Hard Brexit’: Challenges & Contingency Measures

Analyzing the profound institutional, budgetary, and policy implications of a 'Hard Brexit' scenario, exploring challenges faced by EU institutions, budget obligations, and policy shifts, with a focus on possible contingency measures. Presented by Prof. Federico FABBRINI.

credle
Download Presentation

Institutional Impact of ‘Hard Brexit’: Challenges & Contingency Measures

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. The Institutional Consequences of a ‘Hard Brexit’

  2. Introduction Hypothesis: ‘Hard Brexit’ - No withdrawal agreement - No transition - No framework for future relations Unlikely but not impossible - Northern Irish question

  3. Structure 1) Institutional implications 2) Budgetary implications 3) Policy implications 4) Conclusions

  4. 1) Institutional implications EU institutions: ‘Hard Brexit’ = Brexit - European Council - Council - Commission - Parliament - Court of Justice - Central Bank Immediate effect Until end of mandate No effect

  5. 2) Budgetary implications EU budget: ‘Hard Brexit’ -> major challenge for budget 2019 & 2020 But from a legal viewpoint: UK has already accepted obligation to pay -> good faith under international law Difficulties due to lack of mandatory adjudication forum and enforcement

  6. 3) Policy implications EU policy: ‘Hard Brexit’ -> major changes particularly in fields: a) Commerce & trade No more free movement + WTO b) Security & Justice No more AFSJ cooperation + CoE Particular challenges for Ireland

  7. Conclusion ‘Hard Brexit’ = negative scenario Implications: limited for EU institutions but major for EU budget and policies Possible contingency measures: - GATT Art. XXIV(3) -> customs - Intergov’t cooperation -> security But risks and legal limitations

  8. Presentation by Federico FABBRINI Full Professor of EU Law & Director, Brexit Institute – Dublin City University Policy Department Citizens’ Rights and Constitutional Affairs Responsible Administrator: Eeva ERIKSSON poldep-citizens@europarl.europa.eu

More Related