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Analysis Of Southern Lehigh Elementary School Options. Conclusions. There was insufficient information to do a total economic analysis There was however sufficient information to perform a evaluation of the initial capital costs to meet further student growth
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Conclusions • There was insufficient information to do a total economic analysis • There was however sufficient information to perform a evaluation of the initial capital costs to meet further student growth • To build a new school is more than twice as expensive as any other option • The other options fell in a range that would require more study to determine the best one
Questions needed answering • The operating cost need to be developed for all the schools. This includes both existing and those after any upgrades or additions. • Life cycle costs should also be done for all the schools. Even a new school will experience life cycle costs (i.e. heat pump needs replacement) • The analysis by the SLSD used square ft per pupil that were inconsistent. The new school needs 16% less than the other schools. Is there a reason for that?
Questions needed answering (cont) • The costs to build an addition or new school were not remotely consistent on a per square foot cost. Additions were over 200% more expensive than a new school. Can that be explained? • Hopewell was given a $5 million dollar cost for improvements without any engineering justification. This needs further study.
Introduction • Evaluate Elementary school options for Southern Lehigh School District over next 10 years. • Using three existing schools (Hopewell, Liberty Bell, and Lower Milford) plus the possibility of a new school to replace Hopewell.
Student Capacity Requirements • Future Think did an analysis • Did not identify future needs by region • Used Macro assumptions to try to develop population projections • To address uncertainty in projections will use a range of growth over 10 years of plus 3% to 10%
Elementary Growth over 10 years using 3% to 10% • 810 is existing elementary enrollment of three elementary schools • For 3 % growth-1.03 x 810=828 • For 10 % growth-1.10 x 10=891 • Therefore any option must serve at least 891 by the end of the 10 years • The 891 should try to be met if at all possible; however, not necessary
Schools capacity and square footage • Hopewell • 51,600 Sqft • 392 Student capacity or 132 Sqft/student • Liberty Bell • 59,265 Sqft • 441 Student capacity or 134 Sqft/student • Addition 2,958 at Liberty Bell • Total of 62,223 Sqft • 475 student capacity or 130 Sqft/student
School Capacity and square footage • Lower Milford • 39,000 Sqft • 242 student capacity or 161 Sqft/student • Additional 14,258 Sqft at Lower Milford • Total of 53,258 Sqft • 410 student capacity or 130 Sqft/student • New School • 67,000 Sqft • 500 student capacity or 134 Sqft/student
Capital Costs for Schools • Hopewell • Identified $7.5 million • Additional $5 million was used in SLSB analysis but not verified by study • Will use range of $7.5 million to $12.5 million • Lower Milford • $3 million was used in SLSB analysis • Documentation revealed the $1 million used for replacing sewage system which is a life cycle cost and is probably not needed • Therefore $2 million to upgrade • Expanding by 14,258 Sqft x $297 ft/sq=$4.3 million • The total cost to upgrade and expand is $4.3 +$2=$6.3 million
Capital Costs for Schools next 10 years • Liberty Bell expanded • Additional 2,958 Sqft x$297 ft/sq=$.9million • New School • 67,000 Sqft • At $303 per Sqft which includes $6 demolition gives: • 67,000 x 303= $20.3 million
Operating Costs • Per Ms. Christman operating costs changes were not identified, but were expected to be similar to today’s with some savings due to new systems • Operating costs are composed of fixed and variable and the variable are highly dependent on the number of students • Since the data was not available, it was not part of this study
Travel Time and Busing Costs • Optimum travel would have no busing or schools near all students • Require many schools throughout District • Probably very high capital and O&M cost • Having only one school has the highest busing cost and travel time • To minimize travel time school must be situated at centroid of population • Unfortunately the centroid will probably change year to year • Number of schools and their location need to balance above constraints
Possible Options to meet Student Population of 828 • Hopewell 392+Liberty Bell 441+Lower Milford 242=1075 • New school 500+Liberty Bell 441=941 • Liberty Bell expanded 475+Lower Milford expanded 410=885 • Liberty Bell 441+Lower Milford expanded 410=851 • Liberty Bell 441+Lower Milford 242 +New Smaller school 102=885
Capital Costs for options $Million • Hopewell $7.5 to $12.5 +Liberty Bell $0+ Lower Milford $2=$9.5 to $14.9 • New School $20.3+Liberty Bell $0=$20.3 • Liberty Bell Expansion $.9+Lower Milford Expansion $6.3 M=$7.2M • Liberty Bell $0+Lower Milford Expansion $6.3=$6.3 • Liberty Bell $0+Lower Milford $2+New Smaller School $5.2=$7.2