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Intelligence Analysis Anne Lavery Principal Analyst ACPOS NIM/MoPI Team. Intelligence Analysis. Analysis - Analysis is the process of breaking a complex topic or substance into smaller parts to gain a better understanding of it.
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Intelligence Analysis Anne Lavery Principal Analyst ACPOS NIM/MoPI Team
Intelligence Analysis • Analysis - Analysis is the process of breaking a complex topic or substance into smaller parts to gain a better understanding of it. • Intelligence – A piece of information which has gone through a risk assessment process. • “My neighbour is dealing drugs” • “The off-licence down the road sells drink to under-agers” • “Wee Gary from Shettleston assaulted that boy last week” • Inputted onto the Scottish Intelligence Database (SID)
Intelligence Analysis • Role of Intelligence Analyst • Assess all the information and intelligence available • Develop inferences • Put together all the pieces of the jigsaw • Prioritise risks to police service Demographic / Trend Target Profile
Analytical Jigsaw Someone called ‘Smithy’ selling drugs in area Jack Jones associates With Anne Smith Allegation of Drug dealing at main street Anne Smith moved In to 5 Main street 3 months ago Jack Jones is a major Drug dealer who drives a Blue Honda Allegation that blue Honda frequents Main Street every night Increase police calls re loitering Near Main Street Increase in break-ins To motor vehicles Around Main Street Anne Smith has convictions for drug dealing
Prioritising Risks • Risk Assess the threats based on available information • Consider factors such as risk to life, threat of disorder, impact on community, impact on reputation of force • Influence decision making on resource allocation
Analytical Process RISKS RESOURCES RESULTS Analysis identifies key threats Police and partner resources directed to those areas that pose the most significant risk Analysis considers success and outcomes of activity – what does it means for risks Strategic Assessment Tactical Assessment Problem Profile Target Profile Tasking and Co-ordinating Process Results Analysis
NIM Products STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT Long term strategy TACTICAL ASSESSMENT Current Threats RESULTS ANALYSIS Assessment of success of activity – did we make a difference PROBLEM PROFILE In-depth analysis of specific area or issue TARGET PROFILE In-depth analysis of specific individual or group
Analytical Techniques Operational Intelligence Risk Analysis Network Market Profile Demographic / Trend Crime Pattern Target Profile CriminalBusiness Results Analysis • WHO, WHAT, WHERE, WHEN, WHY AND HOW
Research Suggestions • PESTELO Analysis • Political • Economic • Social • Technical • Environmental • Legal • Risk Assessment • what are most important factors • How do we define harm • Understanding causes of crime – links to other social issues
Contact Details E-mail: anne.lavery@spsa.pnn.police.uk Telephone: 01259 732257