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Resilience Planning Local Workgroup Meeting #2

Resilience Planning Local Workgroup Meeting #2. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience : What’s the Difference. Seaside , Oregon March 18, 2013. Josh Bruce, AICP Interim Director Oregon Partnership for Disaster Resilience Community Service Center, University of Oregon

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Resilience Planning Local Workgroup Meeting #2

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  1. Resilience Planning Local Workgroup Meeting #2 Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience: What’s the Difference Seaside, Oregon March 18, 2013 • Josh Bruce, AICP • Interim Director • Oregon Partnership for Disaster Resilience • Community Service Center, University of Oregon • jdbruce@uoregon.edu Funding and support from:

  2. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org

  3. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Threat • The presence or potential of a hazard or hazard event BikePortland.org

  4. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Threat • The presence or potential of a hazard or hazard event • Can include natural, technological, or man-made hazards • Short term, chronic, long-term, or catastrophic hazards • Threat Assessments determine which hazards are most likely to affect a local community BikePortland.org

  5. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Threat Example • Tsunamis are a threat to the Clatsop coast BikePortland.org Cascadia Subduction Zone quake of 1700

  6. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Vulnerability • Local systems or assets likely to be affected by hazard events

  7. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Vulnerability • Local systems or assets likely to be affected by hazard events • Energy, water, food, transportation or communications systems • Coastal communities, elderly populations, roads & bridges • Vulnerability Assessments determine which aspects of a community are most threatened and by which hazard

  8. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Vulnerability Example Cannon Beach Elementary School’s current location is highly vulnerable to both a near and distant tsunamis BikePortland.org DOGAMI Tsunami Inundation Map, Cannon Beach, 2013

  9. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Risk • The potential losses and impacts should a hazard meet a vulnerability

  10. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Risk • The potential losses and impacts should a hazard meet a vulnerability • Loss of critical facilities, resident’s safety, local economy • Risk Assessments determine the potential outcome of a hazard event, and consider magnitude, probability and exposure BikePortland.org

  11. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Risk Example In it’s current location, Cannon Beach Elementary School could be inundated and destroyed by a near-shore tsunami caused by a Cascadia earthquake. Risks include: loss of life, destruction of building, interruption of education, social fabric disruption. BikePortland.org Earthquake & tsunami damage Nakano Elementary, Japan

  12. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Resilience • The ability to anticipate, absorb, adapt to, and recover from disruptions BikePortland.org

  13. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Resilience • The ability to anticipate, absorb, adapt to, and recover from disruptions • Focuses on adaptations • Built environment and infrastructure, government and emergency services, the local economy, social cohesion and cooperation • Resilience Assessments identify a range of adaptations and actions BikePortland.org

  14. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience • Resilience Example • Community resilience depends on effective adaptations BikePortland.org

  15. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Resilience Example Having relocated the school prior to tsunami, Cannon Beach recovers quickly without loss of life or property BikePortland.org

  16. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Resilience Example Having relocated the school prior to tsunami, Cannon Beach recovers quickly without loss of life or property Having only an evacuation plan, everyone is safe, but the school is destroyed BikePortland.org

  17. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Resilience Example Having relocated the school prior to tsunami, Cannon Beach recovers quickly without loss of life or property Having only an evacuation plan, everyone is safe, but the school is destroyed Without relocating the school or an evacuation plan, the community loses lives as well as their school BikePortland.org

  18. Minamisanriku – Relocation to Higher Ground Two Levels of Tsunami Protection: 100 yr (seawalls) and 1000 yr (elevation) Forested Hills Entire City Sea Before Forested Hills After Ind./Com. Sea Housing/Tourism/Gov. Hazard Zone A: 1000 Year Tsunami B: 100 Year Tsunami

  19. Minamisanriku – Recovery Plan

  20. Minamisanriku – Recovery Vision

  21. Vulnerabilities in Clatsop County BikePortland.org

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