1 / 13

Study ‘Impact on employment in the EU-25 of CO2 emission reduction strategies by 2030’

Study ‘Impact on employment in the EU-25 of CO2 emission reduction strategies by 2030’ Construction-housing sector Conference Jobs in a low carbon Europe 20&21 February 2007, Brussels,. Scenarios of CO2 emission reduction in the EU residential sector at the horizons 2012 and 2030 (1).

curran-peters
Download Presentation

Study ‘Impact on employment in the EU-25 of CO2 emission reduction strategies by 2030’

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Study ‘Impact on employment in the EU-25 of CO2 emission reduction strategies by 2030’ Construction-housing sector Conference Jobs in a low carbon Europe 20&21 February 2007, Brussels,

  2. Scenarios of CO2 emission reduction in the EU residential sector at the horizons 2012 and 2030 (1) Reference scenario : BAU (Business as Usual) Application of the 2 existing European Directives : • EPBD Directive (2002/91/EC) : field of application is limited to new & existing buildings of more than 1000 m2 (22% of the heat consumption of the European building stock). • Directive on the final uses of energy and energy services (Dec 2005). It requires that Member States realise energy savings of 1% per year over a period 2008-2017. • This BAU scenario leads to a reduction of 34 millions tons CO2 / year by 2012, or a reduction of 8% compared with 1990

  3. Scenarios of CO2 emission reduction in the EU residential sector at the horizons 2012 and 2030 (2) II) EURIMA Alternative Scenario • Supposes a revision of the EPBD Directive extending its field of application to all dwellings in the EU. • This scenario leads to a reduction of 70 million tons of CO2 a year in the residential sector, or -16%.

  4. Scenarios of CO2 emission reduction in the EU residential sector at the horizons 2012 and 2030 (3) III. “Factor 4” alternative scenario : • reduction of 75% in CO2 emissions in the residential sector in the long term (2030 or 2050). • Decreasing the thermal consumption by 3/4 going from 200 Kwh/m2 on the average 2005 to 50 Kwh/m2. • Increasing the investments in thermal renovation works to go from 34 euros/m2 to 204 euros/m2 (in constant 2006 euros), with technology existing in 2006.

  5. Scenarios of CO2 emission reduction in the EU residential sector at the horizons 2012 and 2030 (4) • The P&M at the national & European levels corresponding to the alternative scenarios: • Regulatory P&Ms • P&Ms in the form of incentives • P&Ms to promote R&D activities in the building industry and the building supply & materials industries • P&Ms for the development of training streams for new skills & new occupations of the players in the “sustainable construction” branch.

  6. The effect on employment of the various scenarios (1) I. BAU Scenario : • EU15 : Invest a further 10 billion euros per year in the residential sector (or 1,1 % of the turn-over of the sector). • From 160 to 500 kiloeuros/year/FTE job • Creation of 20 000 to 62 500 additional FTE jobs. • In the 10 new member States : Invest an amount of 1,6 billion/year in the energy efficiency of the residential sector • Assuming 35 000 euros/year/FTE job • Creation of an average of 45 000 new FTE jobs per year

  7. The effect on employment of the various scenarios (2) II. EURIMA Alternative Scenario • EU 15 : The investments required amount to 25 billions euros per year (or 2,8% of the 2004 turnover of the sector), 2,5 times greater than in the BAU scenario. • Assumption : a range of 160 to 500 kiloeuros/year/FTE job • Creation of 50 000 to 156 000 additional FTE jobs. • 10 new member States : Investments required amount to 4,7 billion euros per year (10,5% of the turnover) • Assumption : 35 kiloeuros/year/FTE job • Creation of 135 000 FTE new jobs

  8. The effect on employment of the various scenarios (3) III. “FACTOR 4” alternative Scenario • For a sample of 16 EU countries (13 billions m2, or 3/4 of building stock EU25) : The investments required amount to 3 145 billions euros overall; • 137 billion euros/year if this program is spread between 2006 & 2030 (14 times greater than BAU Scenario), • 73 billion euros/year if this program between 2006 & 2050. • Hypothesis : 53 kiloeuros/year/FTE job • Accelerated implementation 2006-2030 : Creation of 2,6 millions new FTE jobs per year. • Implementation over the period 2006-2050 : Creation of 1,4 millions new FTE jobs per year

  9. The quality of new jobs • Intensity of the work factor : job intensity of investment in energy efficiency in the residential sector is higher than in the other sectors and jobs can not be delocalised. • The direct jobs created : equipments & materials manufacturing, their installation & maintenance by large & small companies in the construction sector, activities of management, administration & control of energy-efficiency investment programmes, service activities to optimise energy savings : advice, energy audit, marketing, R&D. • A maximum of jobs (50% to 90%) created in the first two categories, i.e manual activities. • The indirect jobs created :17 jobs for 100 new direct jobs

  10. The other social issues of the improvement of energy efficiency in the building stock • The contribution of energy savings to the reduction of energy poverty & social (re)insertion • Training programmes in sufficient quantity & quality must involve all the players in the enlarged sustainable-building branch • Building professionals and those in the thermal material & equipment industries are generally averse to change, innovation & continuing education • Training provisions in the construction sector in EU are generally narrow in scope & poorly financed

  11. The issues of the workers’ training • The public sector must play a key leadership role in implementing demonstration training programmes. • The demands on all initial & ongoing training measures are twofold : • To initiate & train people for occupations in environmental quality in 3 indispensable areas : prior diagnostic techniques, knowledge of all renewable energies & their specific conditions of use and installation; • Reorient or revise the contents in vocational training to emphasise certain contents, for which the demand will be on the increase : insulation & ventilation, heating grids, interior equipment.

  12. P&M required in the training area • Revise the content of initial professional training courses in the construction sector • A new priority for continuing education programmes • Expand access to continuing education • Training for project management occupations • The issues around the emerging new profession of energy auditor • The issues around the creation of a basic and continuing training scheme for the new emerging job of project management assistant.

  13. Thank you for your attention!www.syndex.fr

More Related