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Utilization of WRF-ARW in Hurricane Forecasting in New York State

Explore the operational use of WRF-ARW and MET tools in Southeastern New York for Hurricane Irene prediction and validation. Detailed analysis of model forecasts and evaluation.

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Utilization of WRF-ARW in Hurricane Forecasting in New York State

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  1. Operational Utilization of WRF-ARW and the Model Evaluation Tools (MET) in Forecasting and Validation in Southeastern New York State as Applied to Hurricane Irene James Cipriani, Lloyd Treinish, Anthony Praino IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center Yorktown Heights, NY

  2. Deep Thunder New York Forecast for Tropical Storm Irene • One of six operational forecasts covering the event with this one showing tropical storm not hurricane strength at landfall with two days lead time • Heavy rainfall predicted with similar distribution to reported rainfall Visualization of Clouds, Wind and Precipitation, including Rain Bands

  3. Deep Thunder New York Forecast for Tropical Storm Irene • Fourth of six operational forecasts covering the event confirming the earlier forecast of tropical storm not hurricane strength at landfall and showing the track to the north • Heavy rainfall predicted with similar distribution to reported rainfall Visualization of Clouds, Wind and Precipitation, including Rain Bands

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