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Racing Flow TM www.racingflow.com. January 8, 2014. A Brief History of Racing Flow TM www.racingflow.com. Phil Gregoire 30y handicapper with 25y in construction industry R Jake Jacobs 40y handicapper with 35y in pharmaceutical industry Timeline
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Racing FlowTMwww.racingflow.com January 8, 2014
A Brief History of Racing FlowTMwww.racingflow.com • Phil Gregoire • 30y handicapper with 25y in construction industry • R Jake Jacobs • 40y handicapper with 35y in pharmaceutical industry • Timeline • Research into “pace makes the race” analyses – 2003 • Calculation of figures for own handicapping – 2005 • Private sales of figures – 2007 • Website established – 2008 • Litfin & Horseplayer Magazine articles – 2009 • Virginia Incorporation – 2009 • Subscriber growth each of past 4 years
Racing FlowTM Figureswww.racingflow.com • FLOW • Did the race shape favor speed vs. closers? • Range -300 to +300 • BIAS • Did the surface favor speed vs. closers? • Range -300 to +300 • CFR (closer favorability ratio) • Did the combined effects of FLOW & BIAS favor speed vs. closers? Range 1-100 (percentile ranks) • BL12 • Lengths the winner raced from the lead at the first two calls, combined. • Wire to wire winner = 0.0. A winner 6 lengths back at the first call and 3½ back at the second call receives a figure of 9.5.
Racing FlowTM – Assetswww.racingflow.com • Built a 103,000 Race Database • Developed software to calculate FLOW, BIAS & CFR figures • We don’t sell the software, just the calculated figures • Tracks Covered • NYRA – Aqueduct, Belmont, Saratoga • Kentucky – Keeneland, Churchill Downs, Ellis Park, Turfway Park • Chicago – Arlington, Hawthorne • South Florida – Gulfstream, Calder • Southern California – Hollywood, Santa Anita, Del Mar, Fairplex • Others – Woodbine, Monmouth, Oaklawn, Fairgrounds, Indiana Downs
Racing FlowTM – Flow + Bias Reportwww.racingflow.com Winner BIAS FLOW BL12 CFR 04/06/2013 Aqu 1 DIRT 6.5 Lovely Syn 44 -132 1.0 15 04/06/2013 Aqu 2 DIRT 8.0 Midnight Taboo 44 -126 0.7 16 04/06/2013 Aqu 3 TURF 8.5 Front . -25 4.9 42 04/06/2013 Aqu 4 DIRT 8.0 Withgreatpleasure 44 19 9.2 64 04/06/2013 Aqu 5 DIRT 6.5 Ground Force 44 -9 0.0 56 04/06/2013 Aqu 6 DIRT 6.0 Do I Amuse You 44 64 0.0 77 04/06/2013 Aqu 7 TURF 8.5 Gimme Credit . -10 11.4 48 04/06/2013 Aqu 8 DIRT 9.0 Close Hatches 44 33 0.0 68 04/06/2013 Aqu 9 DIRT 7.0 Declan's Warrior 44 72 8.0 78 04/06/2013 Aqu 10 DIRT 7.0 Swagger Jack 44 81 10.9 81 04/06/2013 Aqu 11 DIRT 9.0 Verrazano 44 -104 4.0 23 04/06/2013 Aqu 12 DIRT 8.0 Greeley's Law 44 98 12.1 85
Racing FlowTM – Extreme Race Reportwww.racingflow.com Winner BIAS FLOW BL12 CFR 04/07/2013 Kee 8 TURF 8.0 Emotional Kitten . 283 14.1 100 04/06/2013 Crc 1 DIRT 6.5 Kanavayen -79 -219 0.0 2 04/06/2013 Crc 6 DIRT 8.0 Riversrunrylee -79 -213 0.0 2 04/06/2013 Kee 3 DIRT 8.5 Barrymore 129 203 16.5 99 04/06/2013 Kee 5 DIRT 7.3 Winning Cause 129 176 20.3 98 04/06/2013 OP 3 DIRT 6.0 Midnight Rider 37 235 0.0 100 04/06/2013 SA 3 DIRT 6.0 Declassify -190 -119 0.5 3 04/06/2013 SA 10 DIRT 6.5 Points Offbench -190 -198 2.2 1 04/05/2013 GP 6 TURF 9.0 Perfect Timber . 210 17.4 99 04/05/2013 Kee 6 TURF 8.0 I'll Call . -197 5.5 3 04/05/2013 SA 5 TURF 10.0 The Only Key . 286 15.5 100