Financial Markets after Civil War

1. Financial Markets after Civil War

2. Two Major Changes • Move to uniform currency • Creation of Federal Reserve system • Both grew out of problems financing Civil War

3. Review • What was money? • Specie, gold and silver coins, later certificates • Bank notes issued by national banks and state chartered banks • Government notes • Economy grows without uniform currency

4. Forms and Values of Currency in the United States, 1860–1915

5. Civil War Financing • How is Civil War financed? • Limited ability to borrow • Europeans unwilling to buy bonds • Excise taxes, tariffs, land sales not enough, so income taxes • First, Treasury issues non-interest bearing notes redeemable in specie

6. When the Union army looses battles, people redeem notes • December 30, 1861 government suspends payment in specie • 1862 Congress proposes new notes, greenbacks, legal tender of payment of debts but non-redeemable for specie • Fiat money

7. Greenbacks • Two sets of prices, one in greenbacks, one in gold • National Banking Act 1863 creates a new system of national banks that issue notes • By 1863 money supply had doubled • Increase in use of paper money • Prices in greenbacks rose, wages may have lagged prices

8. What happens to prices? Prices rise during the Civil War and then fall until 1900 and then rise again.

9. Gresham’s law during the Civil War • Bad money drives out good • If you expect greenbacks to depreciate relative to gold and silver, how can you make money? • Keep gold and silver, use greenbacks now and possible by more in future • By end of Civil War few coins of any kind in circulation

10. After Civil War • What to do with Greenbacks? • Attempt to retire after Civil War leads to deflation • Farmers protest • Businesses want to go back to convertibility • Too many greenbacks out there to maintain it. • Eventually in 1875, convertibility is resumed with gold

11. Silver • At end of war no silver coins in circulation, mint ratio (16 or 15 to 1) was not consistent with price of gold in relation to silver (18 to 1). • Silver coins dropped in Coinage act of 1873 (Crime of 73) • Farmers who felt prices of farm output were falling faster than prices of inputs, wanted increase in money supply by monetizing silver. • Williams Jennings Bryan’s famous speech.

12. Real Per Capita income Prices are falling but the trend in per capita income is up. There are periods of decline which could have been caused by unanticipated deflation. Although there was a great deal of political debate at the time, not much evidence of real effects.

13. Attempts to establish national banking system started in 1861 Required banks to buy gov bonds as capital Not popular, inspite of 2% tax on state bank notes National Banking System

14. National Banking Act of 1864 • 5 or more people • Set capital requirement based on population of city • >50,000 $200,000 • 6,000-50,000 $100,000 • <6,000 $50,000 • 1/3 of capital had to be in gov bonds deposited with controller of currency • Banks got national bank notes equal to 90% of bonds (had to accepted as payment at par unlike state banknotes)

15. Reserve requirements was 25% for Banks in major cities, 15% for country banks • What were reserves? • Vault cash- gold and silver • Deposits with National Banks in 12 “reserve cities” • State banks did not switch even after tax on bank notes increased to 10% • Big decrease in state banks, as a result

16. Resurgence of State Banks • Demand deposits (personal check) allow state banks to get around the tax • Legally checks are bills of exchange drawn on the check writers bank account, payable to the person to whom the check is written • Number of states banks increase up to to 1914

17. Commercial Banks in the United States, 1860–1914

18. Response by government • Reduce capital requirements of national banks • Reduce reserve requirements • Competition between state and national systems lead to weak banks, more bank failures • Financial Panic in 1907 • Many banks suspend payments • Loss of faith in banking system

19. Federal Reserve Act of 1914 • Established a Central Bank • Functions • Clearing house for checks • Preventing bank panics by setting reserve requirements • Banks deposit reserves with the Fed

20. Lender of Last resort by lending to solvent banks caught in panic • Not designed to rescue failing banks • Problems distinguishing between the two • Federal Reserve notes become national currency • No more state bank notes • Open Market operations come later in 1920s • Control of money supply not part of the original vision, goal is to prevent banking panics