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Topics in Development Economics: Country Risk Analysis

Topics in Development Economics: Country Risk Analysis. By Novella Bottini. How to contact me:. Office Hour: Check on liuc.it Tower building 4th floor E-Mail: nbottini@liuc.it. Course Structure (1). 7 Lectures:

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Topics in Development Economics: Country Risk Analysis

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  1. Topics in Development Economics:Country Risk Analysis By Novella Bottini

  2. How to contact me: • Office Hour: Check on liuc.it Tower building 4th floor • E-Mail: nbottini@liuc.it

  3. Course Structure (1) • 7 Lectures: • Class Attendance is required (min 5/7); • Lively Class Participation is expected; • The Economist: 10 minutes presentation;

  4. Course Structure (2) • Course Material: • Book: Country Risk Assessment Authors: Bouchet, Clark and Groslambert Eds. Wiley, 2003. • Additional readings references are provided by the lecturer; • Slides available on line after the lesson. • Final Evaluation: individual essay + class participation

  5. Individial Assignment: • Choose a Developing Country; • Country risk analysis using both the qualitative and quantative methodologies. • 2000 words (Excluding graphs and charts); • Submission by email: 17th May 2010 (not accepted earlier or later submission!).

  6. Course Structure (2)

  7. Lecture 1: Why this course? Trends in global market.

  8. Why a Course on “Country Risk Analysis”? • What does ‘Country Risk Analysis’ mean? • Who could be interested in this analysis?

  9. Why a Course on “Country Risk Analysis”? • Is it an ‘hot topic’? • Why are we interested in other countries’ risk level? • Why is it linked to Development Issues? • Does it regard only Developing Countries?

  10. Globalisation: def and features • What is Globalisation? • Which elements are involved in the globalisation process? “Process whereby domestic product, capital and labour markets become more integrated across borders” • Is it a new phenomenon?

  11. Globalisation:main drivers • Technological Change: • Speed of transportation and communication; • New tradable goods; • Political changes: • China’s economic reform; • Fall of Berlin Wall; • Collapse of Soviet Union; • Economic Policy choice; • Export-oriented policies; • WTO; • Bilateral and regional agreements.

  12. Globalisation’s Elements GOODS

  13. Trade Exposure

  14. Trade and Transaction Costs

  15. Phone Calls

  16. Composition of World Trade

  17. Offshoring – Production Relocation

  18. Intermediate Goods

  19. Offshoring: Definition

  20. Not only Goods……

  21. Service Sector

  22. Service Sector

  23. Globalisation’s Elements CAPITAL

  24. Capital: an heterogeneous identity

  25. International Capital Flows: Trends

  26. International Capital Flows & Developing Countries

  27. International Capital Flows and emerging markets

  28. References • OECD (2007):“Economic Outlook – Making the Most of Globalisation”. • World Bank (2007): “Global Economic Prospects – Managing the Next Wave of Globalisation”, chapter 1-2. • WTO (2008):”World Trade Report: Trade in a Globalizing World”. • Bottini, Ernst, Luebker (2007): ”Offshoring and the labour market: what are the issues?”, ILO working paper.

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