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Child Outcomes for Early Intervention and Preschool Special Education: The National Picture. Lynne Kahn ECO at FPG. Kathy Hebbeler ECO at SRI. Presented at OSEP Project Directors Meeting Washington, DC July, 2012. Overview. National numbers and the quality of the state data
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Child Outcomes for Early Intervention and Preschool Special Education: The National Picture Lynne Kahn ECO at FPG Kathy Hebbeler ECO at SRI Presented at OSEP Project Directors Meeting Washington, DC July, 2012
Overview • National numbers and the quality of the state data • The findings for 2010-11 • Findings for the last 3 years • State variation and data quality Early Childhood Outcomes Center
OSEP Reporting Requirements: Child Outcomes • Positive social emotional skills (including positive social relationships) • Acquisition and use of knowledge and skills (including early language/ communication [and early literacy]) • Use of appropriate behaviors to meet their needs Early Childhood Outcomes Center
If you have not seen it…. www.the-eco-center.org Early Childhood Outcomes Center
State Approaches to Outcomes Data, 2010-11 *Child Outcomes Summary Rating
Child Outcomes: What we know • States are in various stages with regard to building their child outcomes measurement systems • Some phrased in • Some changed approaches Early Childhood Outcomes Center
3 Methods Methods for Calculating National Estimates • States with the highest quality data weighted by child count to represent all states* • All states weighted by child count • All states averaged (each state weighted as 1) *The data we will be presenting for the national picture Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Identifying the States with Highly Questionable Data Criteria for eliminating states: • Not reporting data on enough children • Odd patterns in the data • Review of method reported suggested the data were of questionable quality Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Continued increase in the number of states included Number of States that Met Criteria for Inclusion in the National Analysis Early Childhood Outcomes Center
And nowthe data…. And now the data…. Early Childhood Outcomes Center
OSEP Reporting Categories Percentage of children who: a. Did not improve functioning b. Improved functioning, but not sufficient to move nearer to functioning comparable to same-aged peers c. Improved functioning to a level nearer to same-aged peers but did not reach it d. Improved functioning to reach a level comparable to same-aged peers e. Maintained functioning at a level comparable to same-aged peers 3 outcomes x 5 “measures” = 15 numbers Early Childhood Outcomes Center
The Summary Statements • Of those children who entered the program below age expectations in each outcome, the percent who substantially increased their rate of growth by the time they turned 3 [6] years of age or exited the program. • The percent of children who were functioning within age expectations in each outcome by the time they turned 3 [6] years of age or exited the program. Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Part C: Trends over Time Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Part C: Trends over Time Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Part B Preschool: Trends over Time Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Part B Preschool: Trends over Time Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Looking for Patterns Early Childhood Outcomes Center
% Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Building the national capacity to report and use child outcomes data is a long term endeavor. Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Part C: States continue to report on more children Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Part B Preschool: States continue to report on more children Early Childhood Outcomes Center
% Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Conclusions • The data show good outcomes for many children who attend Part C and Part B, Preschool. • The data quality continues to get better. • The data will be a powerful tool for program improvement when • The data are consistently good at the local level • States and local programs consistently use it. Early Childhood Outcomes Center
For more information…. www.the-eco-center.org Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Identifying States with Quality Data Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Calculating Missing Data for Part C Proxy for missing data = Number with data for C3/ Exiting Data (618) • Do not expect this number to be 100% • ..but we don’t expect it to be 10% either Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Percentage of Exiters Reported by Part C Continues to Increase Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Calculating Missing Data for 619 Proxy for missing data = Number with data for B7/ Child count • Do not expect this number to be 100% • ..but we don’t expect it to be 10% either Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Percentage of Child Count Reported by Part B Preschool Continues to Increase Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Many states reporting a low percentage for “a” but still have a few outliers. Number of States by % Reported in “a,” 2010-11 Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Producing National Estimates Using the States with the Highest Quality Data • Divide the states into those with large, medium, and small child counts. • Identify the states that appear to have the best data. • Weight by child count and calculate the overall OSEP percentages using the “best data” states in each category. • Use the OSEP percents and total child count for each category to get the national estimates. Early Childhood Outcomes Center