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Rome 30-31 May 2008. Europe. Mr. Federico Corradini, President CEMA European Committee of Agricultural Machinery Manufacturers Associations. Agriculture in the EU-27. Agriculture in the EU-27. Agriculture in the EU-27. Agricultural holdings with agricultural area < 5 ha : 10.34 million
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Europe Mr. Federico Corradini, President CEMA European Committee of Agricultural Machinery Manufacturers Associations
Agriculture in the EU-27 • Agricultural holdings with agricultural area < 5 ha : 10.34 million • Agricultural holdings with agricultural area > = 50 ha : 690.000 (2005)
Agriculture in the EU-27 Total farm labor force: 12.7 million AWUs (2005)
Agriculture in the EU-27 • Agricultural holders < 35 years old : 956.000 • Agricultural holders > = 65 years old : 4.72 million (2005)
Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural contractors: Key players in European agriculture
Agriculture in the EU-27 Extensive integration with food industry
Agriculture in the EU-27 Value of agricultural production • 2005 : €327 billion • 2006 : €326 billion • 2007 : €351 billion Main contributors • Livestock • Fruits and vegetables • Commodities
Agriculture in the EU-27 • Share of total Agriculture added value produced in the EU-15: 85% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-27 added value: 1,9% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-12 added value: 8,5% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-27 labour force: 6% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-12 labour force: 20%
Agriculture in the EU-27 Organic land area in Europe: 3.9% of total utilised agricultural area
Agriculture in the EU-27 A new mission for farmers: • Environmental protection • Forestry preservation and promotion • Rural population inflows • Protection of animal health and welfare
Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural holdings with another gainful activity than agricultural production 2003 : 6,2% 2005 : 12%
The Agri-food trade balance Agriculture in the EU-27 EU-27 • The world's largest importer and exporter of agricultural products • About 20% share in total world exports
The Agri-food trade balance Agriculture in the EU-27 In 2006, trade in agricultural raw productsand food accounted for some 5% of the total EU-27 trade in goods with extra-EU-27 countries.
The Agri-food trade balance Agriculture in the EU-27 • A declining deficit: from €4.3 billion to €3.0 billion • EU-27 global trade deficit for primary agricultural products: €17 billion • EU-27 global trade surplus for processed food products: €14 billion
Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural prices on the rise Structural factors: • Gradual rise in global food demand • New markets, such as bio-fuels • A slow down in yield productivity in the EU • Significant restructuring towards greater competitiveness • Agricultural markets
Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural prices on the rise Short-term factors: • Series of adverse climatic conditions • Behavior of some exporting countries • Impact of investment funds on commodity markets
Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural prices on the rise Will it last?
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives Slightly expanding cereal markets and emerging bioethanol markets Development of cereal markets in the EU, 1995-2014 (mio t)
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU to remain net importer of beef EU production, consumption, trade and intervention stocks (mio t c.w.e.)
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives Growth rates for pig meat production and consumption are expected to be lower than in the 90s EU production, consumption and trade (mio t c.w.e.)
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU poultry consumption to grow at a faster rate thanproduction over the medium term EU production, consumption and trade (mio t c.w.e.)
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU cheese market keeps its steady growth over themedium term driven by EU-12 demand EU production, consumption and trade (mio t)
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU milk production constrained by quota with decliningdairy herd size EU milk production, deliveries to dairies, dairy cows
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives After a sharp expansion after 1992, farm incomehas been stagnating over many years
Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives Relatively favourable medium-term perspectives foragricultural income, notably in the New Member States
Agriculture in the EU-27 Farm income perspectives Main uncertainties: • Potential implications of a (multilateral) trade agreement • Future development of world markets • Economic and policy environment • Climate change, technological developments, biofuels, sanitary conditions • Cost increase for chemical, fuel and machinery
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The demand for new equipment is mainly due to the necessity of having and exploiting new kinds of machines and technologies
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 A new double role: • High quality levels and increased added value for smaller and specialized/niche products farms • Production costs reduction for larger farms
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The role and economic weight of the domestic mechanization industry
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The role and economic weight of the domestic mechanization industry
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The role and economic weight of the domestic mechanization industry
Tractor Europe TIV evolution and medium term projection Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Forecast EU-15: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland,France, GermanyGreece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands,Portugal, Spain , Sweden, UK EU-25: EU-15 + Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia,Lituania, Latvia, Hungary, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia EU-27: EU-25+ Bulgaria & Romania Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines EU 15/25/27 contribution to EU Tractor TIV Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Europe Tractor TIV evolution and projection per HP Segment Source: Eurostat Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Combines Europe TIV evolution and medium term projection Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines EU 15/25/27 contribution to EU Combines TIV Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange
Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Other H&H Europe TIV evolution and medium term projection Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange
European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP Current main objectives: • Multifunctionality of agriculture • Rural development • Reduction in the financial resources destined for the CAP through 2013.
European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP The single farm payment independent of production level (decoupling): the main instrument to make farmers more competitive and market-oriented
European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP Support payments linked to: • The respect of environmental and food safety, • Animal and plant health and animal welfare standards, • The requirement to maintain farmland in good agricultural and environmental condition.
European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP May 20th 2008 Some new adjustments have been proposed. • Abolishing set-aside rules • Phasing out milk quotas by 1% per year • Simplifying the link between subsidies and environmental, animal welfare and food quality standards • More flexible support for sectors with special problems • Moving some direct aid into rural development • Ending market intervention in certain areas
European agriculture legislative framework Local support policies • Spain : program aimed at the renewal of the agricultural fleet for the period 2006-2008. • Italy: agricultural machinery “scrapping” adopted in 1998/1999 and 2001/2002. • Germany: variable regional programs • Eastern Europe countries rely mainly on EU support
0.60 0.55 0.50 EU Stage-1 (1997) US Tier-1 (2000) 0.45 0.40 PM [g/kWh] EU Stage-2 (2004) US Tier-2 (2004) (P< 74kW) 0.35 EU Stage-4 (2014) US Tier-4 (2014) 0.30 0.25 0.20 EU Stage-3A (2008) US Tier-3 (2008) EU Stage-2 (2002/3)) US Tier-2 (2001/3)) (> 74kW) 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NOx [g/kWh] EU Stage-3B > 130 kW (2011) US Tier-4 > 130 kW (2011) EU Stage-3B < 130 kW (2012) US Tier-4 < 130 kW (2012) European agriculture legislative framework The role of technical legislation Emission Limits: Off-Highway > 56 kW