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Rome 30-31 May 2008

Rome 30-31 May 2008. Europe. Mr. Federico Corradini, President CEMA European Committee of Agricultural Machinery Manufacturers Associations. Agriculture in the EU-27. Agriculture in the EU-27. Agriculture in the EU-27. Agricultural holdings with agricultural area < 5 ha : 10.34 million

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Rome 30-31 May 2008

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  1. Rome 30-31 May 2008

  2. Europe Mr. Federico Corradini, President CEMA European Committee of Agricultural Machinery Manufacturers Associations

  3. Agriculture in the EU-27

  4. Agriculture in the EU-27

  5. Agriculture in the EU-27 • Agricultural holdings with agricultural area < 5 ha : 10.34 million • Agricultural holdings with agricultural area > = 50 ha : 690.000 (2005)

  6. Agriculture in the EU-27 Total farm labor force: 12.7 million AWUs (2005)

  7. Agriculture in the EU-27 • Agricultural holders < 35 years old : 956.000 • Agricultural holders > = 65 years old : 4.72 million (2005)

  8. Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural contractors: Key players in European agriculture

  9. Agriculture in the EU-27 Extensive integration with food industry

  10. Agriculture in the EU-27 Value of agricultural production • 2005 : €327 billion • 2006 : €326 billion • 2007 : €351 billion Main contributors • Livestock • Fruits and vegetables • Commodities

  11. Agriculture in the EU-27 • Share of total Agriculture added value produced in the EU-15: 85% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-27 added value: 1,9% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-12 added value: 8,5% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-27 labour force: 6% • Share of Agriculture on total EU-12 labour force: 20%

  12. Agriculture in the EU-27 Organic land area in Europe: 3.9% of total utilised agricultural area

  13. Agriculture in the EU-27 A new mission for farmers: • Environmental protection • Forestry preservation and promotion • Rural population inflows • Protection of animal health and welfare

  14. Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural holdings with another gainful activity than agricultural production 2003 : 6,2% 2005 : 12%

  15. The Agri-food trade balance Agriculture in the EU-27 EU-27 • The world's largest importer and exporter of agricultural products • About 20% share in total world exports

  16. The Agri-food trade balance Agriculture in the EU-27 In 2006, trade in agricultural raw productsand food accounted for some 5% of the total EU-27 trade in goods with extra-EU-27 countries.

  17. The Agri-food trade balance Agriculture in the EU-27 • A declining deficit: from €4.3 billion to €3.0 billion • EU-27 global trade deficit for primary agricultural products: €17 billion • EU-27 global trade surplus for processed food products: €14 billion

  18. Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural prices on the rise Structural factors: • Gradual rise in global food demand • New markets, such as bio-fuels • A slow down in yield productivity in the EU • Significant restructuring towards greater competitiveness • Agricultural markets

  19. Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural prices on the rise Short-term factors: • Series of adverse climatic conditions • Behavior of some exporting countries • Impact of investment funds on commodity markets

  20. Agriculture in the EU-27 Agricultural prices on the rise Will it last?

  21. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives Slightly expanding cereal markets and emerging bioethanol markets Development of cereal markets in the EU, 1995-2014 (mio t)

  22. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU to remain net importer of beef EU production, consumption, trade and intervention stocks (mio t c.w.e.)

  23. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives Growth rates for pig meat production and consumption are expected to be lower than in the 90s EU production, consumption and trade (mio t c.w.e.)

  24. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU poultry consumption to grow at a faster rate thanproduction over the medium term EU production, consumption and trade (mio t c.w.e.)

  25. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU cheese market keeps its steady growth over themedium term driven by EU-12 demand EU production, consumption and trade (mio t)

  26. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives EU milk production constrained by quota with decliningdairy herd size EU milk production, deliveries to dairies, dairy cows

  27. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives After a sharp expansion after 1992, farm incomehas been stagnating over many years

  28. Agriculture in the EU-27 Main markets perspectives Relatively favourable medium-term perspectives foragricultural income, notably in the New Member States

  29. Agriculture in the EU-27 Farm income perspectives Main uncertainties: • Potential implications of a (multilateral) trade agreement • Future development of world markets • Economic and policy environment • Climate change, technological developments, biofuels, sanitary conditions • Cost increase for chemical, fuel and machinery

  30. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27

  31. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27

  32. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The demand for new equipment is mainly due to the necessity of having and exploiting new kinds of machines and technologies

  33. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 A new double role: • High quality levels and increased added value for smaller and specialized/niche products farms • Production costs reduction for larger farms

  34. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The role and economic weight of the domestic mechanization industry

  35. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The role and economic weight of the domestic mechanization industry

  36. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 The role and economic weight of the domestic mechanization industry

  37. Evolution for the demand of the agricultural machines

  38. Tractor Europe TIV evolution and medium term projection Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Forecast EU-15: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland,France, GermanyGreece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands,Portugal, Spain , Sweden, UK EU-25: EU-15 + Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia,Lituania, Latvia, Hungary, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia EU-27: EU-25+ Bulgaria & Romania Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange

  39. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines EU 15/25/27 contribution to EU Tractor TIV Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange

  40. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Europe Tractor TIV evolution and projection per HP Segment Source: Eurostat Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange

  41. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Combines Europe TIV evolution and medium term projection Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange

  42. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines EU 15/25/27 contribution to EU Combines TIV Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange

  43. Agricultural mechanization in EU-27 Evolution of the demand for agricultural machines Other H&H Europe TIV evolution and medium term projection Forecast Source: Systematics Shipments Exchange

  44. European agriculturelegislative framework

  45. European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP Current main objectives: • Multifunctionality of agriculture • Rural development • Reduction in the financial resources destined for the CAP through 2013.

  46. European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP The single farm payment independent of production level (decoupling): the main instrument to make farmers more competitive and market-oriented

  47. European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP Support payments linked to: • The respect of environmental and food safety, • Animal and plant health and animal welfare standards, • The requirement to maintain farmland in good agricultural and environmental condition.

  48. European agriculture legislative framework The role of the CAP May 20th 2008 Some new adjustments have been proposed. • Abolishing set-aside rules • Phasing out milk quotas by 1% per year • Simplifying the link between subsidies and environmental, animal welfare and food quality standards • More flexible support for sectors with special problems • Moving some direct aid into rural development • Ending market intervention in certain areas

  49. European agriculture legislative framework Local support policies • Spain : program aimed at the renewal of the agricultural fleet for the period 2006-2008. • Italy: agricultural machinery “scrapping” adopted in 1998/1999 and 2001/2002. • Germany: variable regional programs • Eastern Europe countries rely mainly on EU support

  50. 0.60 0.55 0.50 EU Stage-1 (1997) US Tier-1 (2000) 0.45 0.40 PM [g/kWh] EU Stage-2 (2004) US Tier-2 (2004) (P< 74kW) 0.35 EU Stage-4 (2014) US Tier-4 (2014) 0.30 0.25 0.20 EU Stage-3A (2008) US Tier-3 (2008) EU Stage-2 (2002/3)) US Tier-2 (2001/3)) (> 74kW) 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NOx [g/kWh] EU Stage-3B > 130 kW (2011) US Tier-4 > 130 kW (2011) EU Stage-3B < 130 kW (2012) US Tier-4 < 130 kW (2012) European agriculture legislative framework The role of technical legislation Emission Limits: Off-Highway > 56 kW

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