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Macro Developments of MACEDONIA. Presented by: Denislav Dyakov Magdalena Tsolova. Overview of Macedonian economic situation. vulnerable to economic developments in Europe and the Region the least developed of the Yugoslav republics Started maintaining economic stability recently.
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Macro Developments of MACEDONIA Presented by: Denislav Dyakov Magdalena Tsolova
Overview of Macedonian economic situation • vulnerable to economic developments in Europe and the Region • the least developed of the Yugoslav republics • Started maintaining economic stability recently
Goods Market – GDP Growth by sectors: For 2007: • - retail sector – 10.2% • - construction - 9.7% • - agriculture – 7.2% • - industrial output – 8.3% • GDP by sectors: • - agriculture – 11.4% • - industry – 27.2% • - services -61.4% • GDP(PPP) – $18.97bil
Goods Market - BoP 2007 2008 Current Account: -596.83 -1.209.55 Goods: -1.629.75 -2.551.83 Imports: -4.979.24 -6.522.69 Exports: 3.349.49 3.970.86 Services: (Net) 34.98 2.17 Current Transfers: 1.382.96 1.448.28 Capital Account: 4.91 -18.42 Financial Account: 633.93 1.227.94 *Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA) 2007 2007 2008
Goods Market - FDI FDI 2006(in millions) : €345 FDI 2007(in millions) : €240 Most important contributors to FDI in Macedonia: Austria – 27.4% Slovenia – 16.1% Bulgaria – 13.8% France – 9.1%
Banking System Banking system in the Republic of Macedonia comprises 18 banks and 12 saving houses Main features • Banking activities in the Republic of Macedonia are regulated under the Banking Law • There are no legal obstacles for entrance of foreign banks in the Macedonian financial market; • Foreign banks are also enabled to perform financial activities in the Republic of Macedonia by opening their branches;
Asset Market • High inflation increase in 2008 • Sharp increase in foreign exchange reserves in 2007 • Increased credit growth • Credit control through increased reserve requirements or capital requirements on risky loans
Labour Market • 37% official rate of unemployment • “grey” economy • Problems with human capital
Conclusions: The Global Financial Crisis will have a negative effect on the following issues: Transition from planned economy to a liberal market economy. Shrinking domestic market(Greek trade embargo & Western Trade embargo, decreased demand) Worsen business climate, lower FDI