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Trade & Environment

Trade & Environment. prof. Bjørn Lomborg. www.lomborg.org. Background for Environmental Concern. Need to remove our myths Doomsday is not neigh Thus, we don’t have to act in desperation Essential information necessary to make the best possible decisions

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Trade & Environment

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  1. Trade & Environment prof. Bjørn Lomborg www.lomborg.org

  2. Background for Environmental Concern • Need to remove our myths • Doomsday is not neigh • Thus, we don’t have to act in desperation • Essential information necessary to make the best possible decisions • There is only one bag of money but many good uses

  3. Are things really getting better? • We have more leisure time, greater security and fewer accidents, more education, more amenities, higher incomes, fewer starving, more food and a healthier and longer life. • Both for the industrialized and developing world

  4. Calories for developed and developing countries, 1961-2030 FAO 2001

  5. Resources- is there enough?

  6. Oil, Consumption Time Simon et al. 1994 & EIA 1997, 1999, 2000

  7. Prices on Raw Materials, 1845-2000 Economist 2001

  8. Pollution- are we undermining welfare?

  9. Particles and SO2 in London, 1585-1995 Brimblecombe 1977, Laxen & Thomsen 1987, Elsom 1997 SO2 Smoke

  10. And the developing world? • Pollution has a tendency to get first worse with economic growth, then better • Thus, both growth and environment 120 100 1972 80 Particles, mg/m3 1986 60 40 20 0 100 1000 10000 100000 Income per capita, 1985 PPP$ World Bank 1992, Shafik 1994

  11. Trade and the concern for the Environment • Concern easily becomes first world protectionism • Air pollution is a form of comparative advantage • Pollution of poverty • Focus on poverty alleviation • Doesn’t mean no concerns but important to focus on need for free market access • Especially for agriculture and textiles

  12. The worth of the 21st century with focus on different concerns IPCC 2000

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