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Diskusi Panel “Broadband Wireless Access Indonesia, Peluang dan Tantangan”. Sept 2, 2010. 3G Has a Strong Evolution Path LTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path. Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services. Enhanced User Experience Improved voice and data capacity. CDMA2000
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Diskusi Panel “Broadband Wireless Access Indonesia, Peluang dan Tantangan” • Sept 2, 2010
3G Has a Strong Evolution PathLTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services Enhanced User Experience Improved voice and data capacity CDMA2000 1X 1X Advanced Simultaneous 1X Voice and EV-DO Data Rel. 0 Rev. A Multicarrier H/W upgrade DO Advanced EV-DO EV-DO Rev. B Rel-6 Rel-5 Rel-10 & Beyond Rel-8 Rel-9 Rel-7 Rel-99 WCDMA HSPA HSPA+ HSPA+ Rel-9 Rel-10 Rel-8 LTE Leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum LTE LTE Advanced 2011 2010 2012+ Estimated commercial launches, LTE launch assumes multimode devices Created 04/06/10
3G Has a Strong Evolution PathLTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services Enhanced User Experience Improved voice and data capacity CDMA2000 1X 1X Advanced 4x increase compared to today’s voice capacity Simultaneous 1X Voice and EV-DO Data Best in class voice capacity Rel. 0 Rev. A Multicarrier H/W upgrade DO Advanced EV-DO EV-DO Rev. B DL: 19.6 Mbps3 and beyond UL: 7.2 Mbps3 and beyond DL: 14.7 Mbps2 UL: 5.4 Mbps DL: 9.3 Mbps1 UL: 5.4 Mbps DL: 2.4 Mbps UL: 153 kbps DL: 3.1 Mbps UL: 1.8 Mbps Rel-5 Rel-6 Rel-10 & Beyond Rel-8 Rel-9 Rel-7 Rel-99 WCDMA HSPA HSPA+ HSPA+ DL: 42 Mbps4 UL: 11 Mbps DL: 28 Mbps UL: 11 Mbps DL: 84 Mbps5 (10 MHz) UL: 23 Mbps5 (10 MHz) DL: 168 Mbps (20 MHz) UL: 23 Mbps (10 MHz) DL: 1.8-14.4 Mbps UL: 384 kbps DL: 1.8-14.4 Mbps UL: 5.7 Mbps DL: 384 kbps UL: 384 kbps 1Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers supported by initial implementation. 2Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with 64QAM in the DL. Rev. B standard supports up to 15 aggregated EV-DO carriers. 3DO Advanced peak rate for 4 Rev. B carriers with 64 QAM in DL 4R8 will reach 42 Mbps by combining 2x2 MIMO and HOM (64QAM) in 5 MHz, or by utilizing HOM (64QAM) and multicarrier in 10 MHz. 5R9 combines multicarrier and MIMO in 10 MHz to reach 84 Mbps. Uplink multicarrier doubles uplink peak data rate to 23 Mbps in 10 MHz. 6Peak rates for 10 and 20 MHz FDD using 2x2 MIMO, standard supports 4x4 MIMO enabling peak rates of 300 Mbps. TDD rates are a function of up/downlink asymmetry. Peak data rates takes overhead into account, per standards 172 Mbps is achievable in 20 Mhz. 7Peak rates can exceed 300 Mbps by aggregating multiple 20 MHz carriers planned for LTE Advanced (LTE Rel-10). Peak data rate can exceed 1 Gbps using 4x4 MIMO and at least 80 MHz of spectrum Rel-9 Rel-10 Rel-8 LTE Leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum LTE LTE Advanced DL: 73 – 150 Mbps6(10 MHz – 20 MHz) UL: 36 – 75 Mbps6 (10 MHz – 20 MHz) DL: up to 1 Gbps7(100 MHz) UL: 375+ Mbps7 (100 MHz) 2011 2010 2012+ Estimated commercial launches, LTE launch assumes multimode devices Created 04/06/10
3G: >1B Wireless Subscribers, 2.8B by 2014 LTE: Continued Support Worldwide 3G Operators committed to combined 3G and LTE Strategy 3G adds ~ 3 million approximately every 4 days1 Mobile WiMAX is approaching 3 million subscribers globally since its existence2 101 operators committed to LTE in 33 countries4~22 LTE networks expected to be commercially launched by end 2010 3 LTE network launched >1 Billion 665 200 Million 160 3G Operators 3G Subs 3G Operators 3G Subs 2005 20103 Sources: 13G - Wireless Intelligence, as of Q2 ’10. 23G WiMAX - Informa, as of Q2 ‘10 3Wireless Intelligence estimates as of Jul 19 for the quarter ending Jun 30, 2010, GSMA and CDG, Jul 2010 4Global Mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) Aug 26, 2010
3G Global Handset Shipments Expected to Reach Nearly a Billion by 2013 3G Technologies Wholesale Handset ASP Trend Note: 3G includes CDMA2000, WCDMA and TD-SCDMA *Shipments refer to sell-through numbers from Informa and Yankee Note: CDMA-based technologies device ASPs are for estimated worldwide device shipments including shipments not reported to Qualcomm. Inclusive: 1X/EVDO/WCDMA/HSDPA *Guidance as of November 4, 2009. Sources: Average of Yankee Group : Global Mobile Device Monitor/Forecast (Oct09), Informa Telecoms and Media (Oct’09) • Transition to data • Ramp in WCDMA and EV-DO • Significant growth in emerging regions • Continued emerging region growth • Continued penetration into GSM base • DOrA, DOrB, HSPA+ growth • Voice–centric devices • Growth in CDMA 2000 • Focus on mature regions
LTE: The Global Solution for Unpaired Spectrum • China and India to deploy LTE TDD • China Mobilecommitted to LTE TDD, e.g. in 2.3 GHz • Major India BWA operators in 2.3 GHz • Strong industry support • Basically all vendors offering LTE TDD • WiMAX industry support declining1 • Leverages LTE FDD • Shares most of FDD design and standard • Common FDD/TDD core network Global TDD Spectrum 3IMT extension band provides 50 MHz TDD in addition to 70 MHz + 70 MHz FDD in most countries. 2B38 will e.g. be used for India and China, can provide up to 100 MHz, but less spectrum may be available in some markets. LTE TDD operator trials in 2010, Commercial launches mid 2011 LTE TDD Multimode commercial launches LTE TDD trials LTE FDD Multimodecommercial launches LTE FDD single mode 3G Evolution (HSPA/HSPA+, EV-DO Rev. A/B , 1X/DO Advanced) 2012+ 2011 2010 1Examples: Clearwire announced LTE trials in press release Aug 4th 2010. Russia’s Yota announced plans to drop WiMAX in favor of LTE in some markets. 2Single mode LTE TDD trials 2H2010, multimode trials 1H 2010 and commercial multimode launch mid 2011
Driving domestic industry, another perspective Gfk Retail Audit Report August 2010: “Local brand acquired ~34.1 % market share incl operator branded” • Potential domestic industry from overall creative concept, app development, local content generation, marketing/promotion, system integration, local customization and handset testing.