Ken Hespe, Manager, Outreach & External Affairs

1. 30TH ANNUAL Ken Hespe, Manager, Outreach & External Affairs National Consortium for Aviation Mobility, Hampton, Virginia AVIATION FORECAST CONFERENCE - - March 16 - 17

2. Why an Industry Consortium?

3. The Small Aircraft Transportation System concept is a safe, affordable travel alternative that will provide new mobility and create equitable access to more communities in less time for the general public. An augmentation to “hub and spoke” and a key to the “Next Transportation System . . . ”

4. Need for Transformation “Transportation is critical to our nation’s economy and our quality of life…but today we are straining its capacity limits, producing delays and congestion…”

5. Resources over 5 years: • $69 million NASA • 50/50 Cost Share (NASA & NCAM) • NASA/FAA/NCAM • FY2001-2005 What is SATS? SATS is a research & development project on Aviation capabilities leading to integrated flight demonstrations in 2005 • Higher-Volume Operations in Non-Radar Airspace at Non-Towered Facilities:Reliable Access to More Destinations through Efficient Use of Underutilized Airspace • Lower Landing Minimums at Minimally-Equipped Landing Facilities:More Landing Facilities Available More Often At Less Cost • Increase Single-Pilot Crew Safety & Mission Reliability: Safer Small Aircraft Operations, Greater Throughput in Underutilized Airspace • Enroute Procedures & Systems for Integrated Fleet Operations:Increased Mobility Without Sacrificing Capacity

6. Higher Volume Operations

7. Eclipse Adam Aircraft Cessna Mustang Toyota Market Pull for Increased Mobility • Booming Business Aircraft Market • Dramatic growth in fractional ownership • New class of Very Light Jets/Prop aircraft • Designed to access small airports • On-demand services emerging in market And others….

8. Uses accepted transportation analysis methods Socio-economic based (county level detail) Demand and supply relationships Multi-mode in scope Aerospace technology sensitive Can be applied to other NASA and FAA projects Two presentation schemes: Computer platform independent (Matlab version) Platform dependent (Stand-alone model with GUI & integrated DLLs) Employs Geographic Information Systems (GIS) technology Map Objects VB interface What is SATS TSAA? Transportation Systems Analysis Assessment Model

9. Honda Cessna Mustang 2010 On-Demand Forecast 13.4B Transported Passenger Miles 8.3K Additional Business Jets Diamond Eclipse 2010 Aircraft Production Constraints Avocet 8.2B Transported Passenger Miles 5K Existing Low-Cost Jets Adam Aircraft 2022 On-Demand Forecast 2022 Potential Demand 22.0B Transported Passenger Miles 13.5K Additional Business Jets Could generate additional 41K Flts 50% Increase in IFR flts Toyota Analysis of Trip Demand for Low Cost Air Taxi System

10. Single Pilot Performance

11. Future Transportation Safe - - Efficient - - Fast From Wheels To Wings on America Equitable On-Demand Widely Distributed Point-to-Any Point 21st Century Air Mobility

13. Site Plan 450’ X 450’

14. Arrival at Airport

15. Inside Main Tent

16. NCAM Village

17. Thank You for Flying the Friendly Skies of NCAM

18. In 2010 the potential annual demand is 16.6 million person round trips requiring approximately 8,300 aircraft Current certification and production plans indicate a maximum of 5,000 VLJ’s available by 2010 5,000 VLJ air taxis could generate approximately 16,000 additional flight per day - a 27% increase in IFR flights In 2022 the potential demand grows to 27 million person round trips requiring approximately 13,500 aircraft 13,500 VLJ air taxis could generate approximately 41,000 flights per day – a 50% percent increase in IFR flights VLJ Air Taxi Demand Forecast TSAA National Market Demand Studies Indicate