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Czech BLOSSOM case study

Czech BLOSSOM case study. FLIS Blossom meeting 17 –18 June 2013, Copenhagen Klára Vočadlová CENIA , czech environmental information agency. LONG-TERM THINKING AND GOVERNANCE LANDSCAPE - History.

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Czech BLOSSOM case study

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  1. Czech BLOSSOM case study FLISBlossom meeting 17 –18 June 2013, Copenhagen Klára Vočadlová CENIA, czechenvironmentalinformationagency

  2. LONG-TERM THINKING AND GOVERNANCE LANDSCAPE - History • Before 1989 - 'future thinking' connected with socialist centrally planning, environmental foresights did not exist, absence of legal and institutional framework in the environmental protection • After 1989 (Velvet Revolution) – during 1990s first environment related strategic documents, 1995 first State Environmental Policy • 2004 – accession to the EU, adoption and implementation of EU directives

  3. LONG-TERM THINKING AND GOVERNANCE LANDSCAPE – Present • Conception and strategic documents – environmental or including environmental components, use a forward-looking approach, mostly without scenarios • Future scenarios and long-term foresight studies are not in common use in policymaking • Forecasts and projections, quantitative scenarios x qualitative and context scenarios are lacking • Direct impact on environmental policymaking - primary intended for decision-making, mainly participation of experts, high level of political and ideological involvement • Foresight agenda is not institutionalised, not organised in a particular programme at national level, no formal requirements or methodology • Temporary ad-hoc groups or committeesleadingtheprocess

  4. Responsibilities • Central approach • Level: governmental, national • Role: coordination, setting a main strategy, cooperation • Studies: main cross-cutting strategic documents (Strategic Framework for Sustainable Development ) • direct relevance to the EU legislation and strategic documents • Sectoral approach • Level: Ministries, departmental, national • Role: coordination, cooperation, production • Studies: departmental strategiesintegrating environmental issues (StateEnvironmentalPolicy, State Energy Policy, Potential for reduction of air pollutant emissions in the year 2020)

  5. Responsibilities • Regional and local approach • Level: local authorities and self-governing territorial units (regions, municipalities) • Role: coordination, cooperation • Studies: short-time strategic documents with regional or local extent (Strategic Plan for Prague) • Research and nongovernmental approach • Level: all • research organisations, universities, NGOs, private companies • Role: • scientific support for strategic planning • cooperation with governmental institutions on preparation of strategic documents • external examiners • political and ideological opponents

  6. Institutionsinvolved

  7. Stakeholders and externalrelationships • Public involvement: • Through Strategic Environmental Assessment • Through NGOs and public initiatives

  8. BLOSSOM case study – Processofselection • Find the study key organisations • Criteria • Horizon – time span 5–10 years and more • Coverage – CZ • Topic – economy, demography, environment • Availability – public • 3 studies • 2020, 2040 • Climate change, air pollution, energetics • CZ – national level

  9. BLOSSOM case study – Selectedstudies– Template 2 • National Program to Abate the Climate Change Impact in the Czech Republic – 2020 (2030), Ministry of the Environment, three GHGs emissions scenarios, exploratory, quantitative • Potential for Reduction of Air Pollutant Emissions in the Czech Republic in the year 2020 – Ministry of the Environment, scenariosoffive main air pollutants (GAINS model), normative, quantitative • State Energy Policy of the Czech Republic – 2040, Ministry of Trade and Industry, only one preferred scenario of development and structure of basic energy indicators, exploratory and normative, quantitative

  10. Barriers& Successfactors • Barriers • Forward-looking issues are not institutionalised • Any formal requirement to provide long term analysis • Weak linkage between policy making and foresight (scenarios) – short-term and mid-term policy making • Forward-looking studies - tool for strategic planning and sectoral environmental policy, scenarios are not in common use • Lack of political support and staff continuity (departmental changes) • Success • EU as a driver • Existence of main sectoralstrategies • Good situation concerning climate change and air pollution scenarios • Expert base, research

  11. BLOSSOM: usefulness, challenges, suggestions for ways forward • Find gaps and weaknesses of future thinking in the country • Institutional support and budget allocation is lacking • Weak historical experiences • General mistrust of long-term scenarios – uncertainty x certainty • Recognise new problems and challenges • Input for strategic discussion • Support for current policy • Comparison with other countries – inspiration, lesson learn, deadlocks

  12. BLOSSOM: usefulness, challenges, suggestions for ways forward • Find a way how to…: • Integrate scenarios in common decision making and strategic thinking • Transform a short-term orientation into a long-term • Integrate future organisations – networking, stimulate open discussion, create a commonforesightplatform • Connect scientific and politic rationality • Create pressure on policy makers • Popularise forward-looking approach

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