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Explore factor analysis results on tech stock daily RV, ln(RV), and ln(Bipower Variation) for market insights in ECON 201FS. Discover significance tests and regression findings for informed decision-making.
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ECON 201FS Factor Analysis and HAR-RV Zed Lamba 4/7/08
ECON 201FS Recap of Factor Analysis Results • Daily RV of all 10 tech stocks (CSCO, DELL, EMC, HPQ, IBM, INTC, MSFT, ORCL, TXN, XRX) had high communality and was well-explained by 1 common factor • It was suggested that a factor analysis be conducted on their logs, as that is a smoother function that doesn’t blow up
ECON 201FS Factor Analysis on ln(RV) I
ECON 201FS Factor Analysis on ln(RV) II • Average uniqueness decreases from 0.3510 to 0.2374! • Similarly, conducting factor analysis on ln(Bipower Variation) decreases average uniqueness from 0.3625 to 0.2526! • Will try to include market in analysis on Wed.
ECON 201FS HAR-RV I • Note that R-squared is quite high • Hopefully coming on Wednesday – including the market into the regression, so industry and market effects can be separated
ECON 201FS HAR-RV II • DELLRVL1 appears to be significant, the same as in regular time-lagged regressions done previously
ECON 201FS Significance Test – 1 day lags
ECON 201FS Significance Test – 5 day average lags
ECON 201FS Significance Test – 22 day average lags • Will separate out by company for next time