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Explore the concepts and strategies linking environmental issues to global security, analyzing causation and prevention for a sustainable future. Understand the intricate balance between humanity, ecosystems, and strategic leadership.
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Rethinking Security:The Environmental Connection Gregory D. Foster National Defense University March 2, 2005
The Conceptual Problematique • Defining Security • Establishing Environmental Causation
Strategic Effectiveness = f(Goal Attainment Perceptions Management) STRATEGY Strategic Systems • Philosophy ofThinking Thinking Global Conduct • Perceptions Management • Marriage Ends-Means • Exercise of Power
Being Strategic • Big Picture • Long View • Residual/Hidden Consequences • Causation • Prevention
Environment Humanity Societies Institutions Individuals
Why Be Strategic? • Moral Obligation of Government • Crisis Inoculation • Sustainable Consensus • Strategic Leadership
Question: What should humanity’s relationship to the environment be? • Master? • Steward? • Servant?
Revisiting Some Basics? Sovereignty? Territorial Integrity? Aggression? Intervention?
World Order Values Peace Human Rights/Social Justice Economic Well-Being Humane Governance Ecological Balance
Democracy’s Strategic Aims • Assured Security • Crisis Prevention • Civil Society
Security < Defense? Security = Defense? Security > Defense?
The Essence of Security Freedom from: • Harm and Danger • Threat and Intimidation • Doubt and Fear • Need and Want
Self-Evident Truth All human beings, from birth, equally deserve to enjoy the same natural rights—including, but not limited to, life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. It is the purpose of government (of, by, and for the people) to secure these rights.
From Needs to Rights Rights Food Food Security Water Water Security Air Climate Security Needs Fuel Energy Security
Toward Assured Security • National Unity (a More Perfect Union) • Justice • Domestic Tranquility • Common Defense • General Welfare • Liberty
Security: Deductive or Inductive? Global Security National Security Domestic Security Individual Security ? ?
The Environment-Security Linkage Effects Environment Security Effects
Cause – Effect – Symptom Cause Effect (Cause) Effect (Cause) Effect Symptom (Cause) Symptom Symptom Cure Treatment Diagnosis
What is a Threat? That* which endangers/ harms/degrades security. *Conditions? Events? Actors?
Environmental Environmental Insecurity? Degradation? Threat?
Judging Threat Worthiness • Deaths? • Injuries? • Destruction? • Costs? • Violence? • Intentionality?
Chicken or Egg? •Population? or• Environmental • Poverty? Degradation? • Ignorance? • Resource • Resource Scarcity? Inequity? • Government Incapacity? • Infrastructure Deficiency?
A Masking Phenomenon? Ostensible political, social, military, and economic causes of unrest, violence, conflict, destabilization (e.g., turmoil, repression, incompetence, deprivation, exploitation, dislocation) may mask underlying, less visible, less obvious environmental sources of dissatisfaction, discontent, alienation (e.g., diminished quality of life, threats to safety/well-being).
Four Strategic Imperatives • Targeted Causation Management • Appropriate Situational Tailoring • Institutionalized Anticipatory Response • Comprehensive Operational Integration
Exercising Power • Coercive • Persuasive • Inspirational Ideational
The Cosmic Pecking Order Superpowers f(Possessions/Resources •Knowledge/Ideas Great Powers• Wealth • Viable Institutions Major Powers• Productive Territory • Productive Population Minor Powers• Strategically Effective Military Leadership/Example Credibility/Stature Reach Unity)
Integrated Sustainability • Sustainable Development • Sustainable Energy • Sustainable Consumption • Sustainable Business • Sustainable Security
To Rethink, Reorganize Initially, we organize the way we think. How How We We Think Organize Thereafter, we think the way we’re organized.
Institutional Leapfrogging • U.S. Security Council • Secretary of Energy/ Environmental Affairs • Regional Super Ambassadors • Regional Collective Security Regimes • UN Under Secretary General • Operational UNEP