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Generational Trends – Millenials Change Homeownership Rules . . . And Licensees Glenn E. Crellin Runstad Center for Real Estate Studies University of Washington ARELLO Annual Conference September 21 , 2013. Acknowledgments. Principal Sponsors of this research
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Generational Trends – Millenials Change Homeownership Rules . . . And LicenseesGlenn E. CrellinRunstad Center for Real Estate StudiesUniversity of WashingtonARELLO Annual ConferenceSeptember 21, 2013
Acknowledgments • Principal Sponsors of this research • Washington Department of Licensing, Real Estate Program • Realtor® University Research Center • General Sponsors of Runstad Center Research • Washington Realtors® • Washington State Housing Finance Commission
Generational Trends and Real Estate • Understanding Generations • Population Demographics • Homebuyer Demographics • Licensee Demographics • Demographics and Technology • Demographics and Education
Identifying Generations • G.I. Generation • Born 1900-1924: Age 87+ • Silent Generation • Born 1925-1945: Age 66-86 • Baby Boom • Born 1946-1964: Age 47-65 • Generation X/Baby Bust • Born 1965-1979: Age 32-46 • Generation Y/Millennials/Echo Boom • Born 1980-2000: Age 11-31 • Generation Z/Internet Generation • Born 2001-present
Era of Renters? • Media suggests Millennials prefer to rent … forever • Mobility • Part-time jobs • Fear of ownership • Student debt • Urban lifestyle • Hasty Generalization
Historical Context • Mankiw and Weil, Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1989 • “The entry of the Baby Boom generation into its house-buying years is found to be the major cause of the increase in real housing prices in the 1970s. Since the Baby Bust generation is now entering its house-buying years, housing demand will grow more slowly in the 1990s than in any time in the past 40 years. If the historical relation between housing demand and housing prices continues into the future, real housing prices will fall substantially over the next two decades.”