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DISSEMINATION OF CLIMATE INFORMATION TO USERS : KENYAN SITUATION

DISSEMINATION OF CLIMATE INFORMATION TO USERS : KENYAN SITUATION. By Ayub Shaka ayubshaka@ymail.com. Introduction. Meteorological services - the provision of past information, current information, Advisory information Research findings ,

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DISSEMINATION OF CLIMATE INFORMATION TO USERS : KENYAN SITUATION

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  1. DISSEMINATION OF CLIMATE INFORMATION TO USERS : KENYAN SITUATION ByAyub Shaka ayubshaka@ymail.com Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  2. Introduction Meteorological services - the provision of • past information, • current information, • Advisory information • Research findings , • Future wx conditions- (forecasts and warnings) Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  3. Future wx conditions- • Forecasts and warnings Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  4. Severe Weather Phenomena in Kenya • Floods- Tana and Nzoia River basins • Droughts – Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) • Strong Gusty winds – Associated with thunderstorms • Lightning Strikes – Associated with thunderstorms • Landslides – steep slopes in the highlands • Hailstorms – associated with thunderstorms Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  5. On 2 Aug 2008 Hailstorm hit Gikingi Village Nyahururu Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  6. Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  7. 1300z 1100z 1200z 1400z Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  8. Flash floods in Biashara Street, Kilifi on 16th May 2012 Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  9. GENERATION OF FORECASTS • Model products analyzed by forecasters and discussed in details in a conference • A forecast arrived at in a consensus • This forecast is past over to PWS to write in a dissemination language and disseminated to users through, emails and posted on website. • FM Radio Stations broadcasts and interviews • Rarely Faxed these days Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  10. Warnings and Dissemination • Based on Forecast issued- severe weather areas are identified and zoned • Details of severity of phenomena are noted and included in warning • However for floods- details of severity are forwarded to OP for dissemination to affected areas and response strategy • Occasionally in case of rainfall heavy rainfall warnings – press statements are released Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  11. Kenya: Impacts on Road Transport Networks KENYA HIGHWAYS AUTHORITY A section of the road network expected to have problems OND2012 Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  12. Districts with excess rainfall during November 2004 Risk areas: flooding,, disease and pest outbreaks, disruption of transportation systems and infrastructure, loss of lives Forecast Products Prepared and Issued by KMD FLOOD RISK AREAS (IN PURPLE) Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  13. Avenues of weather dissemination - Press Conferences - Live TV Wx presentations - Radio broadcasts - E-mails to subscribers - Websites Additional Avenues • Radio and TV Interviews • Curricula for schools and Universities • Open Days Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  14. VISIT REMOTE AREAS- Gafarsa, Isiolo OND2012 Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  15. Merti, Isiolo County-OND2012 Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  16. Experience and Impacts • Using many tools made available to confirm a phenomena has increased our confidence levels • There is still a challenge on where exactly that phenomena will occur in an area – point forecast • The more we try to give information and details , the users demand • Probability / certainty still a challenge to users to understand Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

  17. THANK YOU Presentation at SWFDP at Entebbe

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