210 likes | 383 Views
11A The Binomial Distribution. Are these Bernoulli sequences? Rolling an 8-sided die, numbered 1 to 8, 40 times and recording the number of 6s. Drawing a card from a fair deck, with replacement, and recording the number of aces. Rolling a die 60 times and recording the number obtained.
E N D
11A The Binomial Distribution Are these Bernoulli sequences? Rolling an 8-sided die, numbered 1 to 8, 40 times and recording the number of 6s. Drawing a card from a fair deck, with replacement, and recording the number of aces. Rolling a die 60 times and recording the number obtained.
11A The Binomial Distribution A fair die is rolled 4 times and X is the event of rolling a 3.
11A The Binomial Distribution Pr (X = x) = nCxpxqn-x, where x = 0,1,2,…,n where x is the occurrence of the successful outcome
11A The Binomial Distribution A binomial variable, X, has the probability function Pr (X = x) = 6Cx(0.4)x (0.6)n-x, where x = 0,1,2,3,4,5,6. Find: n, the number of trials p, the probability of success, the probability distribution for x as a table. Pr (X = x) = nCxpxqn-x Pr(X = 0) = 6C0 (0.4)0 (0.6)6 Pr(X = 0) 0.046656 Pr(X = 1) = 6C1 (0.4)1 (0.6)5 Pr(X = 1) 0.186624 Pr(X = 2) 0.31104 Pr(X = 2) = 6C2 (0.4)2 (0.6)4 Pr(X = 3) = 6C3 (0.4)3 (0.6)3 Pr(X = 3) 0.27648 Pr(X = 4) = 6C4 (0.4)4 (0.6)2 Pr(X = 4) 0.13824 Pr(X = 5) = 6C5 (0.4)5 (0.6)1 Pr(X = 5) 0.036864 Pr(X = 6) 0.004096 Pr(X = 6) = 6C6 (0.4)6 (0.6)0
11A The Binomial Distribution A binomial variable, X, has the probability function Pr (X = x) = 6Cx(0.4)x (0.6)n-x, where x = 0,1,2,3,4,5,6. Find: n, the number of trials p, the probability of success, the probability distribution for x as a table. and so on and so on and … … …
11A The Binomial Distribution A fair die is rolled five times. Find the probability of obtaining: a. exactly four 5s, Pr (X = x) = nCxpxqn-x 5C4
11A The Binomial Distribution A fair die is rolled five times. Find the probability of obtaining: b. exactly 2 even numbers, 5C2
11A The Binomial Distribution A fair die is rolled five times. Find the probability of obtaining: c. all results greater than 3, 5C5 1
11A The Binomial Distribution A fair die is rolled five times. Find the probability of obtaining: d. a 5 on the first roll only,
11A The Binomial Distribution A new drug for hay fever is known to be successful in 40% of cases. Ten hay fever sufferers take part in the testing of the drug. Find the probability, to 4 decimal places, that; 4 are cured, nobody is cured, all 10 are cured. 10C4
11A The Binomial Distribution A new drug for hay fever is known to be successful in 40% of cases. Ten hay fever sufferers take part in the testing of the drug. Find the probability, to 4 decimal places, that; 4 are cured, nobody is cured, all 10 are cured. 10C0
11A The Binomial Distribution A new drug for hay fever is known to be successful in 40% of cases. Ten hay fever sufferers take part in the testing of the drug. Find the probability, to 4 decimal places, that; 4 are cured, nobody is cured, all 10 are cured. 10C10
11A The Binomial Distribution • The probability of scoring a bullseye on any one throw is 0.3. • if 6 shots are taken, find the probability, to 4 decimal places, that: • the bullseye is not hit on any shot, • the bullseye is hit at least once. • Find the number of throws to ensure a probability of more than 0.8 of hitting at least one bullseye. 6C0
11A The Binomial Distribution • The probability of scoring a bullseye on any one throw is 0.3. • if 6 shots are taken, find the probability, to 4 decimal places, that: • the bullseye is not hit on any shot, • the bullseye is hit at least once. • Find the number of throws to ensure a probability of more than 0.8 of hitting at least one bullseye.
11A The Binomial Distribution • The probability of scoring a bullseye on any one throw is 0.3. • if 6 shots are taken, find the probability, to 4 decimal places, that: • the bullseye is not hit on any shot, • the bullseye is hit at least once. • Find the number of throws to ensure a probability of more than 0.8 of hitting at least one bullseye.
11A The Binomial Distribution - graphs A fair die is rolled 4 times and X is the event of rolling a 3, .