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REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays The New York Area Story

Federal Aviation Administration. REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays The New York Area Story. Charles R. Everett, Jr., Acting Director New York Area Program Integration Office FAA Eastern Region/Penn State 31 st Annual Airport Conference Hershey, Pennsylvania

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REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays The New York Area Story

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  1. Federal Aviation Administration REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays The New York Area Story Charles R. Everett, Jr., Acting Director New York Area Program Integration Office FAA Eastern Region/Penn State 31st Annual Airport Conference Hershey, Pennsylvania March 2008

  2. Agenda • Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System • New York Metropolitan Area • Flight Delay Task Force (PANY&NJ) • New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee • List of 77 Delay Reduction Initiatives • New York Area Program Integration Office • The Way Ahead • Questions and Discussion

  3. National Airspace System (NAS) An interconnected system of airports, air traffic facilities and equipment, navigational aids and airways.

  4. Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System • Future Airport Capacity Task (FACT) • 291 airports, 223 metro areas • Detailed capacity analysis at 56 airports -35 Operational Evolution Partnership (OEP) and 21 non-OEP • ASV Ratio with TAF & FATE • NAS-Wide Delay with TAF & FATE • ARP, ATO, MITRE & JPDO Team • On-Site Validation (airports and local air traffic control) • Operational Evolution Partnership 15 metro areas (2025 w/o imp) • FACT 2 Next Steps 14 airports, 8 metros (2025 w/imp)

  5. OEP Airports 35 OEP Airports Accounted for 73% of Total U.S. Enplanements in CY2006 SEA PDX MSP BOS LGA CLE DTW JFK EWR ORD PIT PHL SLC MDW BWI IAD DEN CVG DCA SFO STL LAS CLT MEM LAX PHX ATL SAN DFW MCO IAH TPA FLL HNL MIA

  6. Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System 2025 27 airports that need additional capacity If Planned Improvements Do Not Occur • ATL • BOS • CLT • EWR • FLL • HOU • IAD • IAH • JFK • LAS • LAX • LGA • LGB • MDW • MSP • OAK • ORD • PBI • PHL • PHX • PVD • SAN • SAT • SEA • SFO • TUS • SNA 15 metro areas that need additional capacity DC NY PHL PHX SEA SAN SFO SFLA ATL CLT ORD HOU LAS LAX MSP

  7. n Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System 2025 14 airports that need additional capacity After Planned Improvements • ATL • EWR • FLL • JFK • LAS • LGA • LGB • MDW • OAK • PHL • PHX • SAN • SFO • SNA 8 metro areas that need additional capacity Atlanta Las Vegas Los Angeles New York Philadelphia Phoenix San Diego San Francisco

  8. Capacity Needs in the National Airspace SystemAssumptions-OEP airportsDetailed improvements modeled in 2025

  9. Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System NextGen Impact NextGen improvements reduced the total minutes of queue delay at the 56 airports by 25 to 35 percent. Although 2025 ATM assumptions show a positive effect in the FACT analysis, FACT should not be considered a detailed analysis of NextGen benefits.

  10. Capacity Needs in the National Airspace Systemand OEP Metro Areas 15 metro areas that will need additional capacity

  11. Ten Most Populous U.S. Metropolitan Areas Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, April 1, 2000, and July 1, 2005

  12. Stewart International (SWF) Westchester County (HPN) Islip Long Island Mac Arthur (ISP) LaGuardia (LGA) Newark Liberty International (EWR) John F. Kennedy International (JFK) Allentown-Bethlehem (ABE) Trenton (TTN) Atlantic City (ACY) Source: FAA Regional Air Service Demand Study, May 2007. Sponsored by the Federal Aviation Administration, Port Authority of New York and New Jersey and the New York State Department of Transportation.

  13. Airport Operator: PANY&NJ Location: On Jamaica Bay in the southeastern section of Queens County, New York City. 15 miles from midtown Manhattan. Airlines: 80 Daily average non-stop departures: 536 Size: 4,930 acres Opened: 1942, $150M Investment: $5B Regional economic activity: $28B 229,000 jobs $9.8B wages and salaries Lease: New York City, 1947-2050 $218M Delay Reduction Program proposed Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ John F. Kennedy (JFK)

  14. Airport Operator: PANY&NJ Location: In Essex and Union counties between the NJ Turnpike, US Routes 1 and 9 and I78. 16 miles from midtown Manhattan. Airlines: 50 Daily average non-stop departures: 592 Size: 2,027 acres Opened: 1928, $8.2M Investment: $3.9B Regional economic activity: $18.5B 157,000 jobs $6.7B wages and salaries Lease: City of Newark, 1948-2065 Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ Newark Liberty (EWR)

  15. Airport Operator: PANY&NJ Location: In the Borough of Queens, New York City, bordering on Flushing Bay and bowers Bay. 8 miles from midtown Manhattan. Airlines: 25 Daily average non-stop departures: 563 Size: 680 acres Opened: 1929, $40M Investment: $1.3B Regional economic activity: $11B 100,000 jobs $4B wages and salaries Lease: City of New York, 1947-2050 Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ LaGuardia (LGA)

  16. Airport Operator: PANY&NJ Location: Newburgh/New Windsor, New York at the intersection of the New York State Thruway (I87) and I84. 60 miles north of New York City. Airlines: 5 Daily average non-stop departures: 50 Size: 2,400 acres Opened: 1939 Investment: $78.5M Lease: November 2007 - 93 years $500M Capital Program Source: Stewart International Airport (SWF) Facts, PANY&NJ Stewart (SWF)

  17. Airport Owner and Operator: PANY&NJ Location: In the Boroughs of Teterboro and Moonachie in Bergen County, NJ. 12 miles from midtown Manhattan. General Aviation Reliever Size: 827 acres Opened: 1917, $8.2M Investment: $175M Regional economic activity: $1.8B 15,500 jobs $670M wages and salaries Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ Teterboro (TEB)

  18. U.S. Airport Ranking by Passengers 2006 Source: Airports Council International-North America, 2007

  19. New York Area Major Airports Activity Source: Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, March 2008

  20. New York Area Major Airports Activity Source: Federal Aviation Administration, Aviation Policy & Plans, Terminal Area Forecast, December 2007

  21. Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

  22. Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

  23. Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

  24. Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

  25. Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007 New York airports compared to National average for On-Time arrivals and NAS-Wide Delays demonstrates local area delays. Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

  26. Port Authority Flight Delay Task Force • Established June 2007 by the Chairman, Anthony R. Coscia and Executive Director Anthony E. Shorris • Mission - To develop recommendations for mitigating congestion and reducing flight delays, as well as to propose recommendations for improving the customer experience during extensive flight delays. • Composed of representatives from various stakeholder groups: • Major airline senior executives • FAA officials • State and local officials • Representatives of terminal operators • Other local business leaders • Transportation advocates • Port Authority of New York and New Jersey staff Subcommittees (2) -Technical and Customer Service Working Groups • Term-6 months • Report Issued: November 29, 2007

  27. Port Authority Flight Delay Task Force Technical Working Group identified 77 recommendations: • Procedural Address modifications to air traffic control procedures—the rules that govern runway occupancy, spacing between aircraft, flight routes, airspace navigation and the use of runways (Increases number of operations per hour at airports). • Technological Focus on underutilized technologies, including satellite-based, such as text-based communication and GPS (Provides more info to pilots and controllers regarding air traffic conditions. The precision of the technologies improve safety and permit aircraft to use ground and airspace more efficiently). • Capital Consider major construction projects that change the infrastructure of the airport to make it more accommodating to larger numbers of flights, more simultaneous operations and bigger aircraft. These include additions and rehabilitations on taxiways and runways at JFK, LGA and EWR (Improves surface movement and overall operations).

  28. Port Authority Flight Delay Task Force Customer Service Working Group identified 19 recommendations that, taken together, address three deficiencies: • Need for improved communications with passengers - Create and implement a communications plan. • Lack of coordination among service providers - Improve coordination of existing customer service programs and expand use of community–wide programs. • Lack of planning and coordination with accommodation providers and transportation services in the event of extended delays - Enhance airport accommodations and transportation planning.

  29. New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee • Chartered September 27, 2007 by Secretary of Transportation Mary Peters. • Mission – To explore ideas to ensure that any action undertaken by the Federal Government would be fully informed and avoid unintended consequences. To identify ideas that would reduce congestion, efficiently allocate the scarce capacity of New York area airports, and do both without creating major disruptions. • Composed of representatives from various stakeholder groups: • Officials from the Office of the Secretary of Transportation • FAA officials • Port Authority of New York and New Jersey • State of New York • Airlines • Consumer groups • Other interested parties Subcommittees (5) • Term: 3 months • Report Issued: December 13, 2007

  30. New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee • Working Group 1: Operational/Infrastructure Improvement – New York Airspace Czar, General Aviation, Voluntary Reductions • Working Group 2: Congestion Pricing, Auctions, and Aircraft Gauge • Working Group 3: Gate Utilization and Perimeter Rule • Working Group 4: Priority Aviation Traffic Preferences • Working Group 5: IATA Scheduling Guidelines, Other Administrative Options

  31. New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee Working Group 1: • List of 77 (five categories) - Efficient airport surface movement - Departure efficiency - Arrival efficiency - Regional airspace efficiency - Technology 17 items to be completed by Summer 2008 • Focus on excessive spacing on final approach, runway/taxiway improvements, 2nd J80 airway, and surface management systems.

  32. List of 77 Initiatives

  33. ASDE-X Deployment

  34. JFK Delay Reduction Program

  35. New York Area Program Integration Office To oversee the integration of all FAA activities, projects and initiatives to address aviation congestion and flight delays in the New York area, particularly those requiring interagency interaction and communication.

  36. INTERACTION ANALYSIS INTERNAL INTERACTION ANALYSIS Stakeholders Process Owner(s) Suppliers Process Customers INPUTS OUTPUTS Technology/ Application

  37. INTERACTION ANALYSIS EXTERNAL INTERACTION ANALYSIS Stakeholders Process Owner(s) Suppliers Process Customers INPUTS OUTPUTS Technology/ Application

  38. The Way Ahead • 17 short-term initiatives (STI) of the total List of 77 to be completed by the start of Summer 2008. • Meeting with customers and other stakeholders from both groups (Port Authority Flight Delay Task Force and the Federal New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee) to be held Spring 2008 to determine next set of delay reduction priorities. • Analysis of long-term initiatives to be accomplished to determine estimates of potential delay reduction benefits. • Development and implementation of plan to make New York Area Program Integration Office fully operational.

  39. Questions & Discussion

  40. List of Works Consulted Airport Master Plans, Advisory Circular 150/5070-6B, U.S. Department of Transportation, FAA, July 29, 2005 Airport Planning & Management, Second Edition, Alexander T. Wells, McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1992 Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System 2007-2025, Federal Aviation Administration and The MITRE Corporation Center for Advanced Aviation System Development, May 2007 Flight Delay Task Force Report, Port Authority of New York and New Jersey Flight Delay Task Force, November 29, 2007 National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS) 2007-2011, Federal Aviation Administration, September 2006 Next Generation Air Transportation System, Integrated Plan, Joint Planning and Development Office, December 2007 New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee Report, New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee (ARC), December 13, 2007 New York Regional Air Service Demand Study, Federal Aviation Administration, May 2007 Planning & Design of Airports, Fourth Edition, Robert Horonjeff, Francis X. McKelvey, McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1994 Strategic Airport Planning, Robert E. Caves, Geoffrey D. Gosling, Pergamon, 1999 The Airport System Planning Process, Advisory Circular 150/5070-7, U.S. Department of Transportation, FAA, November 10, 2004 The National Economic Impact of Civil Aviation, DRI•WEFA, Inc., The Campbell-Hill Aviation Group, Inc., July 2002 Greater New York City satellite image provided by National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER), September 2, 2002 “Looking South From Top of the Rock (Rockefeller Center), New York City”, by David Schwen, Licensed by the Creative Commons Attribute Sharalike 2.5, Wikimedia Commons.

  41. Backup Slides

  42. Airport Runway Projects Generalized Schedule, 10 years Planning Environmental Design Construction Support/Opposition 3-5 years 2 years 2-3 years 1-2 years 2-3 years

  43. Anticipated Future System Capacity Limitations During the next two decades, demand will increase, creating a need for a system that: (1) can provide two to three times the current air vehicle operations; (2) is agile enough to accommodate a changing fleet that includes very light jets (VLJs), unmanned aircraft systems (UASs), and space vehicles; (3) addresses security and national defense requirements; and (4) can ensure that aviation remains an economically viable industry. Planning for a Range of Futures

  44. Hub and Spoke: Current fleet mix and business model (both hub and spoke and low cost carrier point to point) Business Shift: Growth beyond OEP airport capacities comes from smaller aircraft (approx 100 passenger) and new flights at under-utilized regional airports near OEP airports Future Fleet Mix and Business Model Assumptions Future Scenarios A. Pax/Cargo Demand B. Fleet Mix/ Aircraft Types C. Business Model/ Schedule • Current (1X) • TAF Growth to 2014 & 2025 • (1.2X, 1.4X) • 2X TAF Based Constrained Growth • 3X TAF • Current Scaled • More Regional Jets • New & Modified Vehicles • VLJs • UAVs • E-STOL/RIA • SST • Cleaner/ Quieter • Current (mostly Hub & Spoke) • More Point to Point + Regional Airports • Massive Small Airport Utilization

  45. Additional 2025 Delay Reduction at OEP Airports due to assumed improvements, including NextGenNAS-Wide Average Arrival Delay using TAF Forecast

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