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Comments on Climate Change and Security in the Arab Region By Dr. Elsayed Sabry Nasr

Comments on Climate Change and Security in the Arab Region By Dr. Elsayed Sabry Nasr. Is the Arab region likely to be adversely affected ? Worse than other regions ? What elements of CC are particularly important in the region ? Is CC threatening food security ?

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Comments on Climate Change and Security in the Arab Region By Dr. Elsayed Sabry Nasr

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  1. CommentsonClimate Change and Security in the Arab RegionBy Dr. Elsayed Sabry Nasr

  2. Department of Geography & Geology • Is the Arab region likely to be adversely affected ? Worse than other regions ? What elements of CC are particularly important in the region ? • Is CC threatening food security ? • Water scarcity: The management of water resources in transnational river basins. Are international conflicts likely? • Does CC lead to refugee flows, threatening security ? Questions I would like to raise in relation to the themes of the paper

  3. Department of Geography & Geology Rainfall and temperature change – from IPCC 4AR

  4. Department of Geography & Geology Sea Level Rise and the Nile Delta (Dasgupta et al, 2009)

  5. Department of Geography & Geology • Potential for rainfed agriculture may be reduced • Increased competition, potentially provoking conflict, for increasingly scarce water resources for irrigation • Unsustainable use of groundwater resources • Excessively expensive irrigation on the basis of desalinized water • ’Virtual water’ import as a solution (Allan, 2002) CC and food security

  6. Department of Geography & Geology • Examples: • Euphrates • The Nile • The Jordan • Will CC lead to international conflict, or will regional collaboration and integration prevail? Water management in transnational river basins

  7. Department of Geography & Geology • Are claims of CC being the cause of current migrant flows correct ? • Are projections of large future flows realistic ? Climate refugees

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