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INDIA’S WATER FUTURES TO 2025/2050 ISSUES AND SCENARIOS. India’s Water Futures to 2025/2050 – Scenarios and Issues. Phase I Workshop of the “The Strategic Analysis of India’s River Linking Project [NRLP]” Project is part of the Challenge Program for Water and Food [CPWF]
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India’s Water Futures to 2025/2050 – Scenarios and Issues • Phase I Workshop of the “The Strategic Analysis of India’s River Linking Project [NRLP]” • Project is part of the Challenge Program for Water and Food [CPWF] • IWMI is lead center of the project • Tushaar Shah - Poject leader • Upali Amarasinghe – Coordinate the activities from IWMI Delhi office • Project Web site - http://nrlp.iwmi.org
Duration Objectives Time line IWMI-CP project - NRLP analysis Phase I India’s Water Futures Analysis April 2005- April 2006 3 Y E A R S Phase II Analysis of NRLP- How adequate is it? January 2006- March 2007 Phase III Alternative water sector perspective plan April 2007-April 2008
Why another Water Futures analysis? • NRLP is based on Water Futures projections of NCIWRD commission • Hardened positions with inadequate analysis: • Against NRLP- says there is inadequate analysis of alternative options • For NRLP- says that considering the magnitude of the water crisis, NRLP is the only option • Key Missing Issues: • What is the magnitude of crisis itself? • Why interlinking was chosen as the best option? • What is the scope of the alternatives?
Phase I Research Activities • Water Availability, Potentially utilizable water resources of river basins • Mr. AD Mohile / BK Anand • Environmental water Demand of Indian River Basin • Vladimir Smakhtin / M.Anputhas/WWF/ • Regional demographic projections • Aslam Mahmhood / Amitabh Kundu • Regional economic growth/Industrial and service sector water demand • KV Raju / RS Deshapande
Phase I Research Activities 5. Changes in regional consumption patterns – Implications for food and feed demand • OP Singh/Sanjive Phansalkar • WTO - Increasing world trade – Implications for irrigation water demand • Charlotte de Fraiture/RPS Malik/Shilp Verma 7. Future of irrigation/Agriculture • Anik Bhaduri/Upali Amarasinghe/Tushaar Shah 8. Potential of rainfed agriculture in India • Bharat Sharma/ K.P.R.VIttal/K.J.Rao
Phase I Research Activities • Spread of Water saving technologies/ Water productivity improvements/ Rainwater harvesting • Dinesh Kumar/Madar Samad/OP Singh/K Palanisamy/ 10. Intensification of groundwater irrigation- Environmental impacts and implications for water supply and demand • Sundar Krishnan, 11. Water Supply and Demand of India – Scenarios and Issues • Upali Amarasinghe/Tushaar Shah/Shilp Verma/Frank Rijisberman
Grain and non-grain crop demand projections Regional demographic patterns Regional economic growth Food consumption patterns Feed demand Increasing food trade/National self sufficiency targets India’s water futures scenario analysis • Water availability assessments • Total/Potentially utilizable water resources • Environmental water demand • Water Demand projections • Irrigated water demand • Water saving technologies • Water productivity growth • Rain water harvesting • Domestic water demand • Industrial/Service sector water demand • Grain and non-grain crop production projections • Future of irrigation/ agriculture • Rainfed potential • Water productivity improvements • Groundwater irrigation
Second Phase - Analysis of NRLP • Inception workshop in April • Advisory committee meeting in May • Workshop 1, Phase II in December • Workshop 2, Phase II in March 2007