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Overview of GILDED and the Scottish case study

Overview of GILDED and the Scottish case study . Nick Gotts. GILDED Basics - Reminder. Governance, Infrastructure, Lifestyle Dynamics and Energy Demand

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Overview of GILDED and the Scottish case study

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  1. Overview of GILDED and the Scottish case study Nick Gotts

  2. GILDED Basics - Reminder • Governance, Infrastructure, Lifestyle Dynamics and Energy Demand • European FP7 project, December 2008 – November 2011 April 2012, funded under the topic: Socio-Economic Factors and Actor Shaping the “Post-Carbon” Society • Five case study areas across Europe, each a city and its rural hinterland; in Scotland: Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire. • Mixed methods: Desk study, qualitative and quantitative fieldwork (interviews, survey, minor intervention), agent-based modelling.

  3. A B C D E Map of EU from Wikimedia Commons GILDED Case Study Areas A. Scotland: Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire B. The Netherlands: Assen and Assen Municipality C. Germany: Potsdam and Brandenburg D. The Czech Republic: ČeskéBudějovice and Budějoviceshire E. Hungary: Debrecen and Hajdú-Bihar County

  4. Survey of governance and infrastructure, in Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire • Good environmental awareness in departments in both local authorities, with committed staff. • However: • countervailing pressures for economic development and from oil industry; • limited funds and powers. • Implementation processes need to make better use of collaboration (e.g. between communities and local authorities).

  5. Analysis of stakeholder interviews (1) • 45 interviews in Aberdeen, Aberdeenshire and Edinburgh, with both relevant professionals, and members of the public chosen to provide a wide range of viewpoints. • Many people have an inaccurate understanding of climate change, confusing it with other phenomena such as the hole in the ozone layer. • “More information” is unlikely to be an adequate strategy. • There is fairly broad acceptance that climate change is real. • However scepticism and feelings of powerlessness are also widespread, as is the belief that it is a problem someone else should deal with.

  6. Analysis of stakeholder interviews (2) • People in Scotland are broadly accepting of government regulation • But: it needs to be perceived as fair and not favouring one section of society over another. • Focus on the importance of avoiding waste and generally unsustainable lifestyles may be more effective than one on climate change. • Overall, environmental NGOs are seen as the most effective intermediaries in implementing effective GHG and energy consumption reduction policies.

  7. Other Activities Before The Last Meeting • Designing, for use with a stratified random sample of households in Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire, and the other four case study areas: • A questionnaire • A carbon calculator • An experiment on the effects of an energy-reduction intervention • Designing, building and experimenting with a prototype agent-based model of household direct energy use, ABMED. • Producing two policy briefs (a third has since followed).

  8. Main Activities Since Last Meeting • Field work and subsequent analysis • Analysis of the results of the first survey • Demand reduction initiatives with a subsample of those surveyed • Planning, implementation and analysis of the second survey of the same households • The CEDSS model • Design and implementation • Data collection for the inputs to CEDSS, and for comparison with its outputs • Refinement of the model • Development of policy recommendations

  9. Looking Forward • GILDED itself is ending, but its results are already feeding into work on the Scottish Government’s RESAS Research Programme • Two products of our GILDED work have a significant role in RESAS work on the “Low Carbon Rural Economy”: • The GILDED Scottish dataset • The CEDSS model • In addition the GILDED Carbon Calculator is the first devised for use across such a range of European states

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