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Deaths from smoking. in Japan. Deaths from smoking in Japan. Particular emphasis is given to the number of deaths in middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69) Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net. • This presentation provides estimates of the number of deaths caused by smoking in Japan.
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Deaths from smoking in Japan
Deaths from smokingin Japan • Particular emphasis is given to the number of deathsin middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69) • Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net • This presentation provides estimates of the number of deaths caused by smoking in Japan
Source of data: “Mortality from Smoking in Developed Countries, 1950–2000” • Uses WHO mortality data for lung cancer and for other diseases, and UN population data • Updated edition of a 1994 book, authored by an international team of scientists: – Richard Peto, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Oxford – Alan Lopez, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Queensland – Jillian Boreham, Senior Research Fellow, University of Oxford – Michael Thun, Chief of Epidemiology, American Cancer Society www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Japan Deaths from smoking, 1950 to 2000 • About 40% (1 million) of them were still in middleagewhen they died • This was about one in fourteen of all the deaths inmiddle age during this period (1 million out ofthe 13.4 million deaths at ages 35-69) • About 2.5 million people died from smoking during this 50-year period in Japan www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Japan, year 2000 Annual deaths from smoking • About 33,000 die in middle age from smoking • Many of those killed in middle age would have lived on for 10, 20, 30 or more good years • About 22 years of life are lost, on average, by those killed in middle age by smoking • Smoking kills about 113,000 people a year in Japan www.deathsfromsmoking.net
113,000smoking 73,805*non-medical Murder/assault Falls Suicide Drowning Road accidents Poisoning Plane crashes Fires Train crashes Floods/storms Accidents at work Other natural disasters Accidents at home Other accidents *in year 2000 Japan, year 2000 Smoking causes more deaths than all non-medical causes put together www.deathsfromsmoking.net
21,000vascular (heart disease,stroke and other diseases of the arteries and veins) 62,000 cancer* 10,000 other 20,000 respiratory *includes 42,000 (78%) ofthe 53,724 lung cancer deaths Japan, year 2000 Smoking kills 113,000 people a year,from many different diseases www.deathsfromsmoking.net
62,000 (21%) from smoking 295,000total cancer deaths 52,000 (29%)from smoking 179,000 male 10,000 (9%) from smoking 116,000 female Japan, year 2000 About one in five of all cancer deathsis due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Male deaths in middle age from smoking • This pattern is seen first in middle age, then in old age • The next three slides concentrate on male deathsin middle age • The main pattern of increase and, eventually, decrease in premature deaths from smoking is at a more advanced stage among men than among women www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Japan, year 2000 About one in six of all deaths inmiddle-aged men is due to smoking* *29,000 (16%) of the184,000 deaths at ages 35-69 www.deathsfromsmoking.net
• 21die in middle age* • 3 of these 21 deaths are from smoking 3 21% *risks at year 2000death rates for ages 35-69 Japan, year 2000 Of 100 men aged 35 years … www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Smoking All causes 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 50% <1 1 43% 42% 2 3 40% 36% 4 4 31% 28% 4 25% 4 4 23% 23% 4 3 21% *risks at period-specificdeath rates for ages 35-69 Japan, 1950-2000 Male death in middle age: changing hazards* www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Japan, year 2000 Summary for the whole population In Japan: • Smoking kills about 113,000 men and women every year • About 33,000 die in middle age from smoking • Smoking causes more deaths than all non-medical causes put together • About one in five of all cancer deaths is due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Messages for the individual smoker • Those killed in middle age lose many years • Stopping smoking works • Even in early middle age, those who stop (before they have lung cancer or some other fatal disease) avoid most of their risk of being killed by tobacco • Stopping before middle age works even better • The risk is big: about half are killed www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Deaths from smoking:an electronic resource • www.deathsfromsmoking.net • Published by • International Union Against Cancer (UICC), Geneva: Switzerland, 2006 • Funded by • Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), University of Oxford • International Union Against Cancer (UICC) • Fogarty International Center, US NIH • UK Medical Research Council • Cancer Research UK • Project team Richard Peto, Judith Watt, Jillian Boreham • Project management Sinéad Jones • Advice and support Steve Woodward, Konrad Jamrozik, Lesley Walker, Trish Cotter • Design bwa-design.co.uk