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Future Challenges

Future Challenges. The Initial Workshop on USGS/FWS Future Challenges Summary of Global Change Breakout Session. Science Needed to Address Challenge. Long-term Monitoring and Documentation Indicators Synthesis and dissemination of existing information

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Future Challenges

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  1. Future Challenges The Initial Workshop on USGS/FWS Future Challenges Summary of Global Change Breakout Session

  2. Science Needed to Address Challenge • Long-term Monitoring and Documentation • Indicators • Synthesis and dissemination of existing information • Identify schemes, species, areas already showing short-term change for long-term monitoring due to global change • Integrated Studies of Multiple Stressors

  3. Science Needed to Address Change • Models • Model uncertainty • Reduce uncertainty when possible • Multiple scales • Couple GSMs to ecosystems • Couple GSMs to species level • Land Use/Cover Implications • Ecosystems • Environmental

  4. Science Needed to Address Change • Evolutionary Potential of Species • Nitrogen Availability and Affect • Extinction Projections • Vulnerable species • Impact on ecosystem • Data Management

  5. Science Needed to Address Change • Vulnerable Ecosystems • Tundra • Boreal forests • Temperate forests • Alpine meadows • Barrier islands • Near shore marine systems • Coastal and other wetlands • River stream systems • Island surface water

  6. Science Needed to Address Change • Threshold Conditions for Ecosystem Health • Indicators of change • Fertilization Affect of CO2 • Assessment of secondary affects • Sentinal Species

  7. Resource Management Strategies Needed • Extend/Expand Mission and Functions • Adaptive/Mitigation Management Strategies • Appropriate risk levels • Cost/benefit analyses • Ecosystem Level Goals • Reflect Global Change in Management Plans • CCPs • Ecosystem focus

  8. Resource Management Strategies Needed • Promote Evolutionary Potential of Species • Management Priorities • Eliminate administrivia • Information Dissemination Strategy • Scientists to end users • Build capacity within FWS • Acquisition • Ecosystem Teams (e.g., Chesapeake Bay Team)

  9. Resource Management Strategies Needed • Adaptive Management Strategies • Appropriate risk levels • Cost/benefit analyses • Habitat loss • Long-term time component in management plans • Gap Analysis • On the ground • Land acquisition to mitigate losses

  10. Resource Management Strategies Needed • Science-based Changes in Management Goals • Population goals • Identify Implementation Sites for National Goals

  11. Partnerships • FWS, NPS, BLM manage holistically • NOAA • Coastal status and trends • Others needed for monitoring moving species • States • Tribes • Other Feds • GIO/CIO

  12. Partnerships • Hydrologic monitoring partners/network • State cooperators • Army Corps of Engineers • National Program Coordinators USGS/FWS • FWS ecosystem teams with USGS • International partners • Non-friendly stakeholders

  13. Pearls of Wisdom • Issue is global change of which climate change is a subset • Exchanging spatial for temporal • When you come to a fork in the road, take it!

  14. Top Priorities/Next Steps: Short-term • Develop a Comprehensive Communication Strategy • Existing information • Fact sheets aimed at refuge management • Needs sharing specific to Service programs • Bring NGOs on Board

  15. Top Priorities/Next Steps: Short-term • Establish Collaborative Teams at Regional Scale and Refuge Scale • Identify next steps • Develop an Education Plan • Assess state of knowledge and understanding (on-going) • Establish a Working Group • Distill and clarify next steps

  16. Top Priorities/Next Steps: Short-term • Identify Budget Resources • All short-term/ long-term plans • Provide Guidance, Policies and Framing • Develop Tools/Mechanisms for Capturing and Sharing Lessons Learned • Identify Areas Lacking Science Expertise for Monitoring

  17. Top Priorities/Next Steps: Short-term • Develop Catalog of Studies Already Done • Provide a Synthesis of Information • Holistic, ecosystem scale • Impacts of global change on regional species • Develop a framework • Prepare an ‘06 Budget Initiative • Monitoring strategies across Bureaus

  18. Top Priorities/Next Steps: Long-term • Establish an Inter-Bureau Strategic Think Tank • Build Capacity • Models and applications • Acquiring and translating science information • Track Flora and Fauna • Develop a strategy among agencies and partners • Develop Enabling Legislation for Refuges • Vis a vis global change initiatives

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