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Grinding it Out: Who Is the Best Putter?

Discover the best putters on the PGA Tour based on their performance in various putting categories. Analyze the statistics and criteria used to determine the top putters.

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Grinding it Out: Who Is the Best Putter?

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  1. Putting on the PGA Tour Roland Minton Roanoke College minton@roanoke.edu

  2. 19,959 Rounds 117 Fields 359,137 Holes 50 Fields 1,212,119 Shots 35 Fields

  3. 2007 ShotLink Tour Stats

  4. Grinding it Out

  5. Who Is the Best Putter? • Putting, 0-3 Feet • McNeill 99.88 • Taylor 99.87 • Parnevik 99.86 • Overton 99.82 • Clark 99.80 • AHansen 99.75 • Olazabal 99.75 • McLachlin 99.74 • Stenson 99.72 • Dawson 99.72 • Average 99.18 • Putting, 3-4 Feet • Perez 96.50 • AHansen 96.43 • Garcia 95.88 • Slocum 95.78 • Kim 95.68 • SMaruyama 95.65 • Green 95.63 • Snedeker 95.40 • Ridings 95.29 • Stenson 95.24 • Average 91.41

  6. Who Is the Best Putter? What is the criterion? Save strokes. What is the appropriate metric? NOT putts per round NOT putts per GIR NOT highest percentage 8-9 feet

  7. Who Is the Best Putter? Example: On hole 1, 2 putts from 8 feet. On hole 2, 1 putt from 15 feet. On hole 3, 3 putts from 60 feet. etc.

  8. Who Is the Best Putter? • Player Rating • JesperParnevik 1.01 • Tim Clark 0.96 • Tiger Woods 0.72 • Zach Johnson 0.71 • Tag Ridings 0.64 • Fredrik Jacobson 0.63 • Brandt Snedeker 0.61 • K.J. Choi 0.60 • Rory Sabbatini 0.60 • Bob Estes 0.59

  9. Why are the Percentages So Low? From 12 feet, the pros made 32.1%. They missed more than 2 out of 3! Dave Pelz’s True Roller from 12 feet: 100% on pool table. 73% at Westchester before round. 30% at Westchester after round! The culprit: Footprints!

  10. A Random Walk Spoiled • Two possible models: • Constant deflections – Brownian motion • Discrete deflections – Modified Poisson One criterion: Werner and Greig experiments show that lateral deflection has standard deviation of 2% of distance.

  11. For a 12-foot putt,

  12. A Model That Works Start at (0,0) with hole at , e.g., (10,0). Follow angle A = 0 for dx = 0.25. With probability p = 1/8, change A; with prob 1/16 each, dA = b, -b where tan 2 b = .0004 6n / [p(n-1)(2n-1)] Follow angle A for dx = 0.25 Repeat until x = 10 Can show that standard deviation is 0.2.

  13. They don’t always bounce out. Tiger Woods on last hole to tie for 2008 U.S. Open. link (Google: “Tiger Woods 18th hole US Open”)

  14. Any Questions?

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