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Converging Technologies: The Perfect Storm Joanne Jacobs Social Media Consultant NATO 24/7: Defining a Digital Media Strategy 1 March 2011, Belgium. Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/ooocha/2705333658 /. Scope of the presentation. Convergence: variations and scope
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NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Converging Technologies: The Perfect Storm Joanne Jacobs Social Media Consultant NATO 24/7: Defining a Digital Media Strategy 1 March 2011, Belgium Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/ooocha/2705333658 /
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Scope of the presentation • Convergence: variations and scope • State of the Network: technologies, infrastructure and content trends • Capitalization on emergent technologies • Strategy development • Questions
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 WHAT’S CONVERGING?
Convergence • Wired vs wireless • Private vs public • Entertainment vs information • Government controlled vs control resistant • Individual vs collaborative media consumption • Unique media product vs multiple media product consumption Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/pagedooley/3032068934/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Wired v Wireless Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/garryknight/4844271836/ Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/thristian/141645528/
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Private v Public TRADITIONALLY PUBLIC OR PRIVATE MONOPOLY TRADITIONALLY PRIVATE TRADITIONAL MIX OF PUBLIC AND PRIVATE PRIVATISED & REGULATED INCREASING PAY PER VIEW CONTENT INCREASINGLY CONCENTRATED
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Entertainment v Information Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/kevin-prichard/2562090457/ Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/el3enawe/328141697/
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Govt Control v Control Resistance Image source: Wikimedia Commons
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Individual v Collaboration Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/meddygarnet/4182588486/ Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/makelessnoise/2827958609/
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Focused view v Multitasking Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/johannesfreund/2320330661/ Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/rhodes/2591964489/
Convergence: Implications • Increasing oligopolisation of communications and content industries • Decreasing means of state or diplomatic control • Increasing appetite for variety and portability of content consumption • Rise of social media for business and personal communication Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/stvheld/4463862500/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 STATE OF THE NETWORK
State of the Network: Users • 1.2 billion internet users in the world at 30 June 2010 – 28.7% of world population (Internet World Stats) • 22% of all time spent online is in social networks (Nielsen) • Fastest growing user group of social media are seniors (Pew Internet) • Facebook most visited site online in 2010 (Experian Hitwise) Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/liebedich/3679711527/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 State of the Blogosphere SOURCE: Technorati State of the Blogosphere Report, November 2010 http://technorati.com/blogging/article/state-of-the-blogosphere-2010-introduction/
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 State of the Twittersphere SOURCE: Twitter stats for 2010, Sysomos: http://www.sysomos.com/insidetwitter/twitter-stats-2010/
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Facebook by country SOURCE: Top countries on Facebook, August 2010:http://royal.pingdom.com/2010/08/12/the-top-countries-on-facebook-chart/
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Facebook as a country SOURCE: Brian Solis, Facebook Connects 500 Million people, July 2010http://www.briansolis.com/2010/07/facebook-connects-500-million-people-defining-a-new-era-of-digital-society/
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 State of the Network: Users (Mobile) • Mobile social networking has grown at least 10% globally in past year (TNS Worldwide, Comscore) • 80% of western world and 20% of developing world will have smartphones by 2014 (Gartner) • Social media to become more popular use of mobile than voice and SMS by 2015 (mobileSQUARED) • Mobile app store revenues will hit US$15billion in 2011 (Gartner via Techcrunch)
State of the Network: Infrastructure • 10 times mobile network bandwidth increase for 2011 (IDC) • SONET/Synchronous Digital Hierarchy technology with virtual concatenation (VCAT) and link capacity adjustment (LCAS) as standard communications protocol for wired networks (replacing PDH) • Satellite technology increasingly being used when wired and mobile networks disrupted (Eg: Iran, Egypt) Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/mrpbps/5225685355/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Smartphone adoption SOURCE: ComScore Mobile Year in Review 2010http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Presentations_Whitepapers/2011/2010_Mobile_Year_in_Review
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Egypt internet access SOURCE: Arbor Networks tracking of Egypt internet traffic, January 27, 2011: http://farm6.static.flickr.com/5291/5395027368_7d97b74c0b_b.jpg
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Satellite infrastructure • Satellite internet can bypass government controls on internet access • Variation 1: portable satellite internet (modem based) • EG: INMARSAT’s BGAN • High cost investment and connection charges (av 256K download) • Variation 2: satellite phone internet access • EG: Iridium • Slow connection (av. 9K download, @ $5/Mb) • Currently >2000 satellites orbiting planet of which at least 500 operational. Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/watchsmart/2058892578/
State of the Network: Security • CONCERN: Approaching ubiquitous wireless access • CONCERN: Low uptake of security software on mobile and networked entertainment devices • IMPROVED: Storage and backups • IMPROVED: Tracking and data accuracy Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/mrpbps/5226283926/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
State of the Network: Content • Content being created for multiple access channels • Social media being used for immediacy or as an archive • Increasing opportunity to share content creation and indexing with public/consumers • Traditional content sources resistant to shared publishing Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/springfieldhomer/4643181526/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 EMERGENT TECHNOLOGIES
Emergent Technologies • Mobile phone based augmented reality • Geolocation and location based services • 3D, immersive environments and ‘gamification’ • Real time services (translation, content access and sharing, reputation assessment) • Anonymizing architecture and private networks Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/neilspicys/2349764000/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
Researching Emergent Tech • Online media: Slashdot, Mashable, Read Write Web, Boing Boing, Gizmodo, Engadget • Social Bookmarks: Digg (Technology), Reddit, Delicious, Stumbleupon keyword searches • Social media monitoring (see over) Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/danrandom/97980185/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Social media monitoring • Free keyword monitoring tools: • Socialoomph • Blogpulse • Tinker • Surchur • Keotag • Boardtracker • Socialmention • Research.ly • … many more Image source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Social_Media_optimization.jpg
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 User/list monitoring • Users often as, or more reliable than press and published sources • Blog search • Twitter list search • Twitter user search • RSS feeds from identified useful sources • REVIEW VALUE OFTEN Image source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vacker-i-storm.jpg
Evaluating Technologies • Need to consider: • Opportunities, not practice • Listening, not speaking • Green light, not red light regulation • Integration with current practice in content consumption/application adoption • Bandwidth consumption and redundant systems • Price AND cost of use Image source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pulse_evaluation.JPG NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
Capitalizing on Emergent Tech • Rise of social technologies has provided useful market research platform • Users willing to offer time to test/work with data • Mobile access highest adoption growth potential throughout the world • Anonymizing technologies should be considered in addition to data encryption for security. Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/hulagway/4010502408/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 COMMUNICATING DIPLOMACY
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Public Service Communication Needs • Ensuring access • Intuitive information indexing • Regular updates • Listening for questions • Responding to questions in a timely fashion • Intelligence gathering and interpretation Image source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Public_service.jpg
NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011 Crisis Management • Mobile and social technologies uniquely suited to crisis management • Social media networks can handle high number of server requests • Mobile technologies allow fast evidential sharing • Mirroring prevents wholescale shutdown Image source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:NATO_humanitarian_meals.jpg
Crisis case studies (1) • CASE 1: Libya • Full shut down of internet • Google Speak2Tweet • Dial-up modem access • Satellite connectivity • Direct phone conversations from hospitals to mainstream media NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
Crisis case studies (2) • CASE 2: Cyclone Yasi, Brisbane Floods • Widespread power interruptions • Mobile phones most common means of information access/ dissemination • Qld govt site unable to handle requests to site – reverts to twitter • Qld Police takes over and uses Twitter integrated with Facebook for updates NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
Crisis case studies (3) • CASE 3: Wikileaks • Shut down of domain resulted in reinstatement of site in under 12 hours • Mirroring of (encrypted) content to over 1000 different sites • Networks of volunteer supporters/donors • Mainstream media supported crisis management NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
Network, Communications Fragility • Digital divide still exists but is closing • Communications technology gateways still vulnerable • Unified, scalable and accessible protocols for communications providing more robust network • NATO have the opportunity to invest in robust infrastructure in more fragile areas to ensure ongoing success of missions Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/revdave/347411015/ NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
Defining a Digital Strategy • Iterative approach more useful than 6-12 month diffusion strategy • Listening post strategy more useful than broadcast strategy • Access strategy more useful than content restriction strategy • Existing infrastructure more useful than building in-house networks/content streams • Minimum time workload requirement with emergent technologies more useful than maximum time or recommended total time Image source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/29968788@N00/4735595075 / NATO 24/7 Defining a Digital Media Strategy, March 2011
Questions? Joanne Jacobs Social Media Expert Consultant Email: joanne@joannejacobs.net Blog: http://joannejacobs.net/ Twitter: joannejacobs Skype: bgsbjj Skype-in: (+44) 0208 144 9348 Mob: (+44) 07948 318 298